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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets


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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets

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  #1621 (permalink)
 GaryD 
Orlando, Florida
 
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Sumnary for yesterday +69 ticks long.

Yesterday I felt very confident about the support area. Today I am not sure where we crude is. I see what id did overnight, I see that the ES broke above it's 618 retracement thgouth the overnight session... But the struture to base a trade on for me is a little less obvious right now.

Crude could be in a major wave continuation with this minor section having key retracements at 106.09 and 105.42.



The prior top at 105.62 and minor LSP at 105.47 make that zone preferred to me, but that is quite a good distance down this morning.



Meanwhile, crude is coming out of a local double bottom off key support, and so shorting does not feel righ today yet, despite the fact that crude has made a 6 range reversal to the downside.





I am going to just watch for awhile. The jobs number was not that pretty.

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  #1622 (permalink)
 GaryD 
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And, to complicate my opinion, the ES has reversed around the 618 area, with a local and a global double top standing proudly overhead. If ES can't breach 1370 is it bearish in my view.

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  #1623 (permalink)
 GaryD 
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  #1624 (permalink)
 josh 
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GaryD View Post
And, to complicate my opinion, the ES has reversed around the 618 area, with a local and a global double top standing proudly overhead. If ES can't breach 1370 is it bearish in my view.

Friendly reminder that ESM is front month as of right now, and by end of day today should be fully rolled over by most people.

 
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  #1625 (permalink)
 GaryD 
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2 scalps, trying to decide what I am doing...-11, +15, both short. I want to buy at 105.50, but should have probably held my short at 106.71.

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  #1626 (permalink)
 GaryD 
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josh View Post
Friendly reminder that ESM is front month as of right now, and by end of day today should be fully rolled over by most people.

I checked this morning, volume was still in March

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  #1627 (permalink)
 GaryD 
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Moderate buyers hitting the 382 at 106.09


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  #1628 (permalink)
 GaryD 
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they got run over...lol

I still think 105.50


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  #1629 (permalink)
 Sunil P 
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2 winners,1 BE for me today so far....the night is young! hehe



+80



0


Taxes are unconstitutional, so I don't pay them( I pay BTW,dont want to join Wesley Snipes)

Ron Paul might agree.


edit +20 on pullback from low of day.

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  #1630 (permalink)
 GaryD 
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We may have just found front runners around 105.85


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