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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets
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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets

  #991 (permalink)
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CL futures

Pre market 12-22-2011

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  #992 (permalink)
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mfbreakout View Post
Pre market 12-22-2011


40 to 50 ticks moves may be noise for lot of traders but this is what I want everyday - with more volume and lesser holding time.

Prices moving up and down 60 ticks in a minute- i find difficult to trade. I call this trading Price Action.

Sorry for Jim Cramer - the CLOWN- picture. I love watching him sweat at John Stewart show from couple of years ago though.

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The trendline took a direct hit, to the tick

 
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Crude is consolidating in the resistance area. It briefly tested the high point of the zone (100% alt of prior major wave) but as of yet remains unable to escape it.

 
  #995 (permalink)
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I don't know how well crude is correlating with equities right now, but equities have been on an absolute tear. I had a nice long on ES this morning for +4.25 handles, and called it a day around 11:30 so I could go do a little shopping and end the week on a good note. This is the s&p cash chart, and to me is up until the 66 resistance is hit. Beyond that, we'll have to see if we continue the rally to the high 1200s, but if crude is following equities much, it will probably tag along higher for just a little while longer.

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https://futures.io/psychology-money-management/16458-2011-lessons-learned-2012-goals-set.html#post179002

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I may add an additional element to my trading in 2012, where I will be watching multiple markets after the close for potential swing trade opportunities. I wrestled with the notion of going for larger moves this year, but that style fights with a method that makes me feel more confident, and feel I have more opportunities. But I have a theory that it will produce a much better reward to risk ratio. A large part of my trading core is risk awareness; risk to opportunity, risk to reward, risk versus time, risk-to-risk, etc.

I am starting with a year end view of 8 markets. (I may replace silver with something far less ballistic, but this is my lineup for today.) I may not find what I am looking for for months. I may find it week one. I may decide to stick with what I did in 2011


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Watching for a crude buy around 100-100.50. If I could tell the market exactly where, it would be 100.20-100.30 But a lot of things need to happen first.

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Crude did find buyers willing at 100.37, but that was way too spiky for me. If we get a retest, or better a washout...

I'd like to see the ES get a little happier.

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ES is bouncing right now at an area I had set to watch from 52 to 53.50 .. next down if it goes is 46, and if it does not get happy there, I'm not sure.

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