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Upwind Trading Journal
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Upwind Trading Journal

  #71 (permalink)
Elite Member
desert CA
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NT7, TOS
Broker/Data: AMP/wCQG, TDA
Favorite Futures: CL,YM
 
Posts: 2,027 since Jul 2011
Thanks: 2,211 given, 1,551 received

New show premiering today! on CNBC

I liked watching American Greed on CNBC. How every other show there's some ponzi scamming wealthy people of tens of millions, or in the worst case, unfortunate frugal middle-class people of their life savings, and it was a shock to me to see how many millions were ponzi'd and also at the same time how so many people had millions to be duped off of and the crazy details of all the fraud shenanigans that were done. Now with the show in reruns and hardly showing up anymore. I noticed there's a new CNBC show premiering today.

Investigations Inc: Filthy Rich
Premieres Thursday, February 23rd 9p | 10p | 12a | 1a ET

News Headlines

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  #72 (permalink)
Elite Member
desert CA
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NT7, TOS
Broker/Data: AMP/wCQG, TDA
Favorite Futures: CL,YM
 
Posts: 2,027 since Jul 2011
Thanks: 2,211 given, 1,551 received

Three days in a row starting with a major loser , then having to claw back to positive. Didn't trade too long.

CL
-11-7 (big loser)
-1+2+6.5+7 (double scale-in)
+2+7+5 (fine)
-5+0+2+2+5+5 (double scale-in)
+0+4 (fine)

= +23.5

(fees&commissions ~ -29%)

I added more indicators (but not the vendor indicators) that I have on my chart to the report charts. And more explanations on what I was thinking about taking the trades based on the 250 tick chart. (and of course the mistakes). I just started trying out vwap and standard deviations. Still new to it.

options trades:
GLD - terrible, last adjustment to it. Vega to delta still 10 to 1. Should not have put this trade on in the first place. Probably going to be a big loser. Wiping out more than double the gain in RUT last week.
BAC - not dropping. Option is May expiration.

Attached Thumbnails
Upwind Trading Journal-cl022312.jpg   Upwind Trading Journal-stat022312.jpg   Upwind Trading Journal-gld022312.jpg  
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  #73 (permalink)
Elite Member
desert CA
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NT7, TOS
Broker/Data: AMP/wCQG, TDA
Favorite Futures: CL,YM
 
Posts: 2,027 since Jul 2011
Thanks: 2,211 given, 1,551 received


Terrible trading today. Complete losers. Complete losing day. I felt bad about it.

I was trying another method with lagging indicators(don't they all) for ES. Didn't work out at all. I didn't really look at FatTails' vwap even though I had it on the chart. Could have kept me out of severe trouble if I had probably. I gave up. I was out of emotional capital after having to claw back from initial loss in the previous days.

ES
-9-4 = -13 (completely whipsawed)
CL
-7-10 = -17 (same here)

tot = -30

(fees&comissions ~ -19%) (meaning tack on another 19% of debit)


GLD -$5400, getting worse and worse. Most people say calendars and iron condors don't work, a myth designed to get newbies or others who try to prove otherwise. Propaganda put out by the cboe and optionetics.
I've tried for 3 years to be consistent on calendars. Instead I suffered -300% in losses abouts. Maybe time to toss it. I'm no good at stock picking too.

Attached Thumbnails
Upwind Trading Journal-cl022412.jpg   Upwind Trading Journal-es022412.jpg   Upwind Trading Journal-stat022412.jpg  

Last edited by Cloudy; February 24th, 2012 at 06:09 PM. Reason: posted too many inappropriate comments. 2nd thoughts about leaving it and self moderation
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  #74 (permalink)
Elite Member
desert CA
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NT7, TOS
Broker/Data: AMP/wCQG, TDA
Favorite Futures: CL,YM
 
Posts: 2,027 since Jul 2011
Thanks: 2,211 given, 1,551 received

Forget what I said about the new "Filthy Rich" cnbc show. Turns out it was only a one time special. Probably to be repeated on weeknights when there's nothing else on CNBC


Last edited by Cloudy; February 26th, 2012 at 12:02 AM.
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  #75 (permalink)
~R!$K~
Volcano, HI
 
Futures Experience: None
Platform: Ninja
Broker/Data: AMP/CQG
Favorite Futures: Futura2000
 
dakine's Avatar
 
Posts: 188 since Dec 2009
Thanks: 379 given, 131 received

Hi Cloudy,

I see you have added the Market Stats indi to your charts. If you are using Jperls methods to aid in your decision making you should know that the PVP used in this indi is not accurate. I have asked forrestang to use gomi's MP for the PVP but it is not an easy task. Just thought you should know...

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  #76 (permalink)
Elite Member
desert CA
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NT7, TOS
Broker/Data: AMP/wCQG, TDA
Favorite Futures: CL,YM
 
Posts: 2,027 since Jul 2011
Thanks: 2,211 given, 1,551 received

Thanks Dakine, I was going to give jperl a try when I get around to reading it. Is it only the POC , skew numbers shown that's off? FatTail's vwap std deviations and the fp_market seems to have the same values for vwap and the band values. For now I'm just watching how price behaves in relation to the vwap and it's stddevs.

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  #77 (permalink)
~R!$K~
Volcano, HI
 
Futures Experience: None
Platform: Ninja
Broker/Data: AMP/CQG
Favorite Futures: Futura2000
 
dakine's Avatar
 
Posts: 188 since Dec 2009
Thanks: 379 given, 131 received

The skew is based off the pvps relation to the vwap so an incorrect pvp will give you incorrect values for the skew, deviation size and skew to standard deviation. I would just use Fat Tails VWAP and if your going to add Market Stats to your decision making overlay Fat Tails VWAP on a Gomi MP chart. This will give you accurate PVP and VWAP info.

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The following user says Thank You to dakine for this post:
 
  #78 (permalink)
Elite Member
desert CA
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NT7, TOS
Broker/Data: AMP/wCQG, TDA
Favorite Futures: CL,YM
 
Posts: 2,027 since Jul 2011
Thanks: 2,211 given, 1,551 received

I'm getting whiplashed in the ES again trying to follow volume indicators which I'm probably doing wrong.
I've decided to stop posting # of contracts and p/l in $ as it's silly since I'm the only one doing it. Reminds me of "What's in your wallet?" cc commercials.

Amazing, as I write this, my current trade is over 1pt profit. (severe losses earlier) Today it seems ideas from Futurestrader71 seem to be more effective. Cory's volume-stop indicator hvc's seems to have picked the bottom of where one should have entered too. Instead I had gone the opposite just before. It's far easier to hold a trade after suffering previous losses when in a blaise mood. "I don't care, take all my money today". Ugh, wasn't watching and it hit my auto stop for -3. If I would modify the volume-stop, I would have "hvc" print above the bars when hvc occurs in an upmove, and below in a downmove, similar to emini-watch's pro-am showme indicator. whoo-hoo, finally a 2.5 pt gain in the ES! And no doubling down or anything. Maybe this is what I need to do for a while. I decided to drop market stats, nor will I go to investorRT. Unfortunately, I've spent or wasted(scams) too much on trading tools and expenses already.

Also I must thank Fat Tail's generosity on these boards. I had not really looked at trying his many indicators until recently and now realize how much work he had put into these and he keeps coming out with more and further improving and updating them. Fine German engineering. Thanks to Cory too for his indicator VolumeStopV7. Remind me of emini-watch except it's generously downloadable here. And lest I forget, da big dawg, Big Mike's relative volume, VolumeGraph I've overlayed with VolumeStopV7.

ES
-2.5 -3 (bad, did not wait for candle to finish. ,2nd revenge trade, thought it would go farther, did not watch and tighten stop)
+2.5 +1
= -2 (-8 ticks)

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