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Wyckoff Trading Method


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Wyckoff Trading Method

  #1161 (permalink)
metobi1
Lagos, Ikeja. Nigeria
 
Posts: 55 since Apr 2012
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bbburaot View Post
Hi Everyone,

Usually we go into lower time frames to see what is going on in the bar. Like peeping through a microscope. Can CO intent be spotted on higher time frames when it's not clear on lower time frames? Here is a chart of JCP on different time frames (Daily, weekly, monthly)... TIA

My thougts on the attachment

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  #1162 (permalink)
Rock Sexton
Scottsdale
 
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metobi1 View Post
WLT? could you post a screen shot

Well it's sorta too late now. Thursday the move I was looking for took place. I ended up chasing back into the stock at 15.00. I sold towards the last hour at 15.40 because I wasn't going to have access to trading today and was paranoid of the jobs #'s. Alas, it went on to hit that 15.80 target I stipulated. I guess I do need to resolve why I was shaken out on my first entry.

I've detailed in the 15min chart where my entry was and where I stopped out. I was so frustrated after the 2nd day of it harshly selling off the highs and spooked by the upper wick at 15.09 on the 60min. So I gave up on my analysis and tried to prevent virtually no loss. I exited my 14.69 position at 14.65. It's slightly ridiculous in that I didn't even let it attempt support at the trend line that you see on the larger 60min chart. A larger problem I have is quitting on trades before stops or targets are hit, so I might've already answered my own question ..... but did I miss something Wed/Thurs that should've kept me in original position?




Here's the end result as it went on to my target.


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  #1163 (permalink)
 supermht 
Naperville IL
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninjatrader
Broker: NT broker
Trading: NQ ES 6E GC CL
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Hi, this is SOHU weekly chart, after price broke supply line and then broke demand line with increasing volume. then price rally with decreasing volume, I think price will drop further to around $ 40, what do you think, thanks


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  #1164 (permalink)
metobi1
Lagos, Ikeja. Nigeria
 
Posts: 55 since Apr 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 62


supermht View Post
Hi, this is SOHU weekly chart, after price broke supply line and then broke demand line with increasing volume. then price rally with decreasing volume, I think price will drop further to around $ 40, what do you think, thanks


My thoughts are on the chart

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  #1165 (permalink)
metobi1
Lagos, Ikeja. Nigeria
 
Posts: 55 since Apr 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 62

Attachment 130727
Rock Sexton View Post
Well it's sorta too late now. Thursday the move I was looking for took place. I ended up chasing back into the stock at 15.00. I sold towards the last hour at 15.40 because I wasn't going to have access to trading today and was paranoid of the jobs #'s. Alas, it went on to hit that 15.80 target I stipulated. I guess I do need to resolve why I was shaken out on my first entry.

I've detailed in the 15min chart where my entry was and where I stopped out. I was so frustrated after the 2nd day of it harshly selling off the highs and spooked by the upper wick at 15.09 on the 60min. So I gave up on my analysis and tried to prevent virtually no loss. I exited my 14.69 position at 14.65. It's slightly ridiculous in that I didn't even let it attempt support at the trend line that you see on the larger 60min chart. A larger problem I have is quitting on trades before stops or targets are hit, so I might've already answered my own question ..... but did I miss something Wed/Thurs that should've kept me in original position?

Here's the end result as it went on to my target.



My Thoughts are on the attachment

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  #1166 (permalink)
 supermht 
Naperville IL
 
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metobi1 View Post
My thoughts are on the chart

thanks for the analysis, the only thing bothers me is the grinding rally from support, since I did not see any good reaction from there, and the volume on rallying is not convincing, looks like no demand really after weakness.

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  #1167 (permalink)
metobi1
Lagos, Ikeja. Nigeria
 
Posts: 55 since Apr 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 62


supermht View Post
thanks for the analysis, the only thing bothers me is the grinding rally from support, since I did not see any good reaction from there, and the volume on rallying is not convincing, looks like no demand really after weakness.

If you are looking to short, there is an edge that I have indicated in the attachment, but even if price bounces off it for he low, I will only expect a retest and take it from there depending on what appens. So at best there may be a pull back to the defined support. I dont trade like that though, I always want to see a reason to base my buying (long or short term) on, and for now price may have hesitated due to the resistance. As for long term indication for a lower price, I don't see any cause built.

Then again, I may be wrong, Just look at the facts and try take it from there. Only beware that we somtimes force analysis if we are baised for a direction for one reason or another.

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  #1168 (permalink)
 supermht 
Naperville IL
 
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Posts: 962 since Feb 2010
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metobi1 View Post
If you are looking to short, there is an edge that I have indicated in the attachment, but even if price bounces off it for he low, I will only expect a retest and take it from there depending on what appens. So at best there may be a pull back to the defined support. I dont trade like that though, I always want to see a reason to base my buying (long or short term) on, and for now price may have hesitated due to the resistance. As for long term indication for a lower price, I don't see any cause built.

Then again, I may be wrong, Just look at the facts and try take it from there. Only beware that we somtimes force analysis if we are baised for a direction for one reason or another.

thanks again, I won't short, since I bought at $52 and still hold it now, stupid me I did not sell around $86. I wondering if I should exit now.

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  #1169 (permalink)
metobi1
Lagos, Ikeja. Nigeria
 
Posts: 55 since Apr 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 62


supermht View Post
thanks again, I won't short, since I bought at $52 and still hold it now, stupid me I did not sell around $86. I wondering if I should exit now.

I know the feeling, but your decision, should depend on what type of trader you are? Are you an investor(long term) or a day to day/swing trader.
Look at the facts based on intraday or weekly charts and conclude based on your trading rules. The end result good or bad can be recorded and later studied/learnt from.

Colud you tell me what indicator you are using on ninja trader?, I like the way specific bars/volumes are highlighted, It quickly draws once attention to some possible game changing actions

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  #1170 (permalink)
Rock Sexton
Scottsdale
 
Posts: 120 since Feb 2012
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Anyone care to give me their opinion on the current 60min BCRM chart?

It re-visited the 27.80 level again (secondary testing) in what appeared to be a bullish defense of that level. However it sold off the 28.86 level harder than I anticipated.


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