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Wyckoff Trading Method
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Wyckoff Trading Method

  #801 (permalink)
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ES monthly and daily charts

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  #802 (permalink)
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Question

How do you define the bar with the green arrow ? great effort from buyers ended with a poor result ?
Next bar is lack of demand from the buyers.
Regards.

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Charlie D View Post
How do you define the bar with the green arrow ? great effort from buyers ended with a poor result ?
Next bar is lack of demand from the buyers.
Regards.

We first need to look at background and trend. In this case, the trend and background are both down. So in order to change this background, you would need to see some stopping action. The green arrow bar was not stopping action to the downside, thus the market needed to go lower to find the stopping action.

Gary

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Gary Fullett View Post
We first need to look at background and trend. In this case, the trend and background are both down. So in order to change this background, you would need to see some stopping action. The green arrow bar was not stopping action to the downside, thus the market needed to go lower to find the stopping action.

Gary

Yes Gary stopping action to the down side : VOB, Selling climax, Stuffing in a trading range,Springs Sot bars Lack of selling all supported by buying demand or a SOS or a JOC in the right side of the range. NO one bar can stop a down trend.I must to print this in my mind.Some times i'm lacking of demand
They were in liquidation aka increase of the volume on the wide range down bars.
It was the first test of broken ice in the daily i haven't saw it.

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Last edited by Charlie D; June 11th, 2012 at 01:11 PM.
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Charlie D View Post
Yes Gary stopping action to the down side : VOB, Selling climax, Stuffing in a trading range,Springs Sot bars Lack of selling all supported by buying demand or a SOS or a JOC in the right side of the range. NO one bar can stop a down trend.I must to print this in my mind.Some times i'm lacking of demand
They were in liquidation aka increase of the volume on the wide range down bars.
It was the first test of broken ice in the daily i haven't saw it.


What is important to understand is that markets go through a sequence. Our job is to try to identify, as best as we can, this sequence. The sequence always begin with trend. And we are always judging the strength and weakness of the trend. So one bar may be the beginning of a sequence, but is not all that there is.

Gary

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SP monthly

hi, Gary, would you please comment this SP500 index monthly chart, It looks like a big TR, also, the current up trend seems forming 3-push(wedge) reversal pattern. if that happens, SP will go to 700?

Error retrieving image, please check URL again


if I add BB and MACD, even clear. we can see the first break is 2 bars down, then up 8 bars, the second break is 5 bars down, then up 5 bars, now we are at the top of 3-push, near top of BB. also MACD momentum has divergence ....

I am confused....

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supermht View Post
hi, Gary, would you please comment this SP500 index monthly chart, It looks like a big TR, also, the current up trend seems forming 3-push(wedge) reversal pattern. if that happens, SP will go to 700?

Error retrieving image, please check URL again


if I add BB and MACD, even clear. we can see the first break is 2 bars down, then up 8 bars, the second break is 5 bars down, then up 5 bars, now we are at the top of 3-push, near top of BB. also MACD momentum has divergence ....

I am confused....

Error retrieving image, please check URL again


It appears to me the S&P may be undergoing distribution. If so, your count may be accurate. We are on the right hand side of the monthly charts where we get a sign of weakness or a sign of strength type of activity. So until that occurs, we will stay in this trading range.

There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures and options. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The opinions expressed here are those of Gary Fullett, and are not to be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell commodity futures or options. This is for educational purposes only.
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EURO BOBL DAILY IS IN AN UP TREND
SP MINI 15 M
ITALIAN BANK STOCK

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Last edited by Charlie D; June 13th, 2012 at 04:07 AM.
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Hi, Gary, I did this trade because of testing vertical supply bar, would you comment ? thanks

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supermht View Post
Hi, Gary, I did this trade because of testing vertical supply bar, would you comment ? thanks

Error retrieving image, please check URL again


I wouldn't consider that a retest of a vertical supply bar. I would prefer to look at it as more of a test where selling came in, and a test of a reaction high. But having said that, in my opinion, it was a proper trade to sell the market.

Very good understanding of where the proper edge would be. Great job!!

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