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Wyckoff Trading Method
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Wyckoff Trading Method

  #581 (permalink)
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David_R View Post
Gary, thanks for commenting.

Question: On the Feb 22 the close was well off the low. Also, price has dipped below the low of the 22 nd and has not followed through to the down side. If it is supply should the downside continue?


Yes. Since we had some selling in the background, those two large down bars need to be overcome.

Gary

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ES weekly chart

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Bonds - weekly and hourly charts


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thanks

thanks, Gary, would you please comment today's Euro before taking off? in trading range, most bars show lack of demand. thanks

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supermht View Post
thanks, Gary, would you please comment today's Euro before taking off? in trading range, most bars show lack of demand. thanks


In my day class, I had a target of the 13282 area, which was a mark-down bar. The euro trend overall is down, but we are currently in a trading range with support being 12975 to 13500.

Gary

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Gary,

How does one decide whether or not to take a spring or UT? In other words, We want to by springs in an
uptrend, correct? The hourly bond chart you posted is in a downtrend. Is the spring valid because of higher timeframe support in the area of the spring?

David


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David_R View Post
Gary,

How does one decide whether or not to take a spring or UT? In other words, We want to by springs in an
uptrend, correct? The hourly bond chart you posted is in a downtrend. Is the spring valid because of higher timeframe support in the area of the spring?

David


Regarding the bond spring, I was able to identify support and the hourly objective was the 137 area. This is a counter trend trade of the recent bond action, but to me, set up a good reward, low risk type of setup. But for the most part, springs should be avoided in downtrends unless for a scalp. This was the purpose of the chart.

Gary

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possible upthrust?

let's see

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  #589 (permalink)
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supermht View Post
let's see

Three possibilities come to mind...

Could be an upthrust- but in an uptrend these fail right.
Could be absorption for a move higher- trap in shorts and then markup price.
Could be distribution.

Closes will help solve this one.

What do we Know:
We have ease of movement to the upside
we are in a small uptrend - retrace
we have not seen the two things that change uptrend- lack of demand or a buying climax
We still have volume to the upside

I favour up... but we will see soon

my 2 cents

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supermht View Post
let's see

supermht,

if this is an upthrust, it will usually be complete within 1-3 bars many times, imo. Gary in post #465, speaks of this referring to a spring in his second chart posted. I assume the concept is reversed for upthrusts.

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