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Wyckoff Trading Method
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Wyckoff Trading Method

  #1061 (permalink)
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crude Update

So crude did sell off today. I guess the inability to move higher and what I thought was E v R turned out to be correct. I don't know how far it will fall, or if it will continue to fall. It seems to be in a big range. It can continue to be in a range. Watch the levels and how it acts. I've posted and 5K tick and a 60 minute for two different views.

D
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  #1062 (permalink)
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My take on CL, all comments are appreciated.

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We are currently in the middle of a Trading Range (TR) between 92 and 97 with a midpoint (MP) at 95, this within the context of the longer term congestion. The uptrend that started in April is gone, but in the meantime buyers could try to take prices again to the top of the TR all the way to 97. So there is a small profit opportunity for longs intraday.

Beware the fact that we are around the MP, so there could be congestion, it could finally resolve to the upside or we could also see an intraday reversal towards the bottom of the TR.

Only time will tell.

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  #1063 (permalink)
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130529 ES D


130529 ES D

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Daily e-mini June S&P retested the previous highs at the 1673-1674 area. The reason why I mentioned this is because the area above this area were funds specs buying and the composite operator selling so this was weak buying to me (specs/funds buying versus cm selling). The poor close on Tuesday can lead to lower prices. The key area is the 1633-1630 ice area. Caution is warranted here. Trend is up but shows signs of selling. If that's the case supply is possible.

There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures and options. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The opinions expressed here are those of Gary Fullett, and are not to be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell commodity futures or options. This is for educational purposes only.
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  #1064 (permalink)
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Well, buyers did not have it in them to push harder and we are back below the MP. If sellers man up we could see prices going all the way to 92 and a Lower High (LH).

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  #1065 (permalink)
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We just broke out of the TR, and are still in a downtrend. Today looks like we are in a Retracement (RET) day and 93.5 is the MP of the last downswing so be watchful for a short opp or a strong Reversal (REV). With oil you never know...

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As for a zoom in, we have found S around 92.20 with a nice test premarket, buyers took prices all the way to the Supply Line (SL) from the 28th and there found R at the top of the TR from Friday. At the open we could see a continuation of the uptrend which would mean a break of the SL and a possible attempt to get to 94. Or a test of R could prove that buyers lost their mojo and perhaps sellers will try to get to break the Demand Line (DL) to get to 91.

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  #1066 (permalink)
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130610 ES W

130610 ES W

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Weekly June e-mini S&P shows a higher volume week last week with a tad higher close. The position of the close relative to the channel is not an edge.

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  #1067 (permalink)
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130617 ES W

130617 ES W

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Weekly June e-mini S&P shows a similar range from the week before within the defined trading range. Not much to say. Stock options and futures expire this week on Friday.

There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures and options. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The opinions expressed here are those of Gary Fullett, and are not to be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell commodity futures or options. This is for educational purposes only.
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  #1068 (permalink)
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two entry using David Weis method

learnt from David Weis webinar, the best Wyckoff webinar.

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still holding

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9.5 points, not bad

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add position again


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