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Ouch! That would seriously hurt my newbie ego as well as my wallet. I'm guessing that if you're in for that kind of loss, you take some pretty nice profits too. I hope I get there some day. Right now it's just micros for me and my modestly impaired ego.
If only we had a time machine. Then we could empirically test how the market's behavior changes based on a single lot. That impact should be small, but we should theoretically be able to find edge cases where it did change the outcome. Especially if it's a small or illiquid market.
I'll give you an example. The 5yr hardly ever has any volume. Maybe a dozen contracts traded during the day. So on 2/7 I take a trade literally because there's no volume there. I'm the first contract to trade that day. Boom all the sudden there's a hundred contracts traded that day. I'm pretty sure that if I hadn't taken a trade on my stream that day there'd only be a dozen contracts traded.
