Hey guys, I still keep having a couple good trades only to finish negative because of a couple bad ones.
The first one was pretty good (green arrow). The next two were risky. The EMA was showing grey but it always does (I haven't gotten rid of it yet). on the 2nd trade, I exited on the yellow bar. Was I too impatient?
On the 3rd trade I tried it again and exited again on yellow bar which turned out to be entry bar.
On the fourth I had some short setups on my tick charts so i felt like it was ok to take this one. I'm not sure if I should let my other setups influence me on the "All you need" method or not. On one hand it's good for other confirmation, on the other I could end up trading the same system.
So I'm studying my chart. I see the EMA is flat there for the 2nd & 3rd trades (the failed long trades). I guess that was my clue. Wait for the market to prove itself.
Another thing I noticed is maybe if the bars overlap a lot that means it's a weak move and we should be careful. What do you think?
PS: I stayed up until 3am reading that "The System II" thread someone linked to. Thanks a lot, I was tired all day today! I'm simming it and doing some backtesting now to see how it works. It's so simple, I love that.
Check out the ES 6 range bar chart I posted. It's on one of my LBR templates. the trade of the morning was an awesome first cross at 7:47 PST. Right now a "holy grail" trade is setting up. Oh...... personally I never trade or am "holding" during a major news announcement. I usually try and wait 10-15 minutes or so after the news to resume trading. Just doing that would have saved you a lot of grief this morning.
Just another way to look at it. This is much like "feb" in that thread on forex factory. No matter what you call it.... first cross..... first pullback.... it's all the same thing. Just different ways to look at it.
It's a good morning ! Three trades. At the open the market was too strong to get on board (no good pull backs) Then news at 7:00 PST (got to be patient) Wait till news filters into market.... then double top right at R1 (classical Pivots) nice trade. Then get a perfect 50% pullback. Jump on it a bit early but...... turns out to be the trade of the morning ! I move my target to three ticks above previous swing low and nab 20 points and I'm out. Market continues to tank...... LBR holy grail trade sets up.... jump on it for the last trade of the morning. So.... traded a two lot... 2 "7/11" trades and a 20 pointer for $380.00. Done.
The following user says Thank You to Jeff Castille for this post:
Thanks for posting you charts. This helps me see if I'm doing the same thing.
As for the ES I know a new system that is called the vipertrading system for
ninja and they also use 6 range charts.
Usually...... it's not a hard and fast rule but... the morning is the best time to trade. No sense giving back in the afternoon what you make in the morning. I don't know which post it is but there is a post in this thread about the times of day that I trade. Basically, I try to trade when there is maximum participation..... so you get good follow through. I find that there are two other times in the afternoon that I like to trade. I watch for an 11:00 PST trade and one at the close...12:35 or so usually. The one at the close is dangerous because all of the mutual funds and etf's are gettiing all their orders taken care of to finish the day.
Last edited by Jeff Castille; September 1st, 2009 at 12:43 PM.