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Is anyone actually making money?


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Is anyone actually making money?

  #191 (permalink)
 
Joseph Connors's Avatar
 Joseph Connors 
Colorado Springs, CO USA
 
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vmodus View Post
Totally off-topic here, but I love your signature. It is one of my all time favorite quotes and something I live by.

~vmodus

Thanks! It's always been my favorite. I believe it embodies the essential characteristics of gaining success in this game!

Persistence! Nothing in the world can take the place of persistence.
Talent will not ... nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent.
Genius will not ... Unrewarded genius is almost a proverb.
Education will not ... The world is full of educated derelicts.
Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent!
Calvin Coolidge
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  #192 (permalink)
 
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 Tripken 
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josh View Post
It further proves my $25K / $25 parity comment -- it's not about the money, it's about being unable to accept risk (not the same as the inability to take risk).

Insightful, been struggling with this very issue, you've given me something to think about.

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  #193 (permalink)
 
Tripken's Avatar
 Tripken 
Knoxville, TN/USA
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mattz View Post

In my opinion, if the world's best trader decided to write a course, at best, it would help marginally. This applies to any expertise you seek. The best expert advice helps you slightly because the rest is your personal experience and application of things your way. Any information or plan when you don't have practical experience is just a model.

An excellent point and here is something that's been around I'm sure, not mine, but it's always rung true.


System

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  #194 (permalink)
 
Joseph Connors's Avatar
 Joseph Connors 
Colorado Springs, CO USA
 
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Tripken View Post
An excellent point and here is something that's been around I'm sure, not mine, but it's always rung true.


System


All this talk of being "true" to yourself and not following others, brings to mind the story
of the so called "Turtle Traders" from the early 80s. It was supposedly the inspiration for
the movie "Trading Places".

In 1983 commodity traders Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt conducted an experiment
to see if traders were made or born. Dennis believed they were made and could be taught to follow a
specific trading plan with no deviation and Eckhardt believe that they were born with the skills.

Dennis placed and ad in the Wall Street Journal for traders. He received over 1000 replies. He culled
the list down by asking them all a simple question: If you were presented with a trade opportunity
according to the rules of the system but you believed in your heart that it would be a losing trade, would
you execute according to the rules of the system?

VERY few answered that they would execute according to the rules. I believe it was less than 10 of the
original 1000! He hired the ones who said they would execute the system no matter what. Thus were
born the "Turtle Traders" as they became know!

My point is that a disciplined trader can execute any system he is told to execute! Whether or not he believes
in it. Don't get me wrong, believing in a system is VERY important, but I for one can execute a system
that I know makes money even if I don't believe every trade will turn out.

Persistence! Nothing in the world can take the place of persistence.
Talent will not ... nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent.
Genius will not ... Unrewarded genius is almost a proverb.
Education will not ... The world is full of educated derelicts.
Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent!
Calvin Coolidge
Reply With Quote
  #195 (permalink)
 planetkill 
New York City + NY/United States
 
Posts: 356 since Sep 2018
Thanks Given: 108
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And that is why people are always asking if a mentor is legit, and for proof. @josh we're all looking for a Richard Dennis, with a proven system. Unfortunately that chances of finding a Richard Dennis through Google or YouTube is zero.
Joseph Connors View Post
All this talk of being "true" to yourself and not following others, brings to mind the story
of the so called "Turtle Traders" from the early 80s. It was supposedly the inspiration for
the movie "Trading Places".

In 1983 commodity traders Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt conducted an experiment
to see if traders were made or born. Dennis believed they were made and could be taught to follow a
specific trading plan with no deviation and Eckhardt believe that they were born with the skills.

Dennis placed and ad in the Wall Street Journal for traders. He received over 1000 replies. He culled
the list down by asking them all a simple question: If you were presented with a trade opportunity
according to the rules of the system but you believed in your heart that it would be a losing trade, would
you execute according to the rules of the system?

VERY few answered that they would execute according to the rules. I believe it was less than 10 of the
original 1000! He hired the ones who said they would execute the system no matter what. Thus were
born the "Turtle Traders" as they became know!

My point is that a disciplined trader can execute any system he is told to execute! Whether or not he believes
in it. Don't get me wrong, believing in a system is VERY important, but I for one can execute a system
that I know makes money even if I don't believe every trade will turn out.


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  #196 (permalink)
 
bobwest's Avatar
 bobwest 
Western Florida
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planetkill View Post
And that is why people are always asking if a mentor is legit, and for proof. @josh we're all looking for a Richard Dennis, with a proven system. Unfortunately that chances of finding a Richard Dennis through Google or YouTube is zero.

Well, yes....

It is also true that:

1. The turtles had widely different results, because even with the initial selection of traders and the clear system rules and all that, they didn't execute the same trades anyway. I think most people who follow a system don't -- the temptation to just make little adjustments to improve things, or to take into account something else, or whatever, is too great.

2. The Turtle system stopped working when the markets changed and a basic trend-following system stopped working. Dennis stopped trading after some serious reversals, but since he got out in time he kept most of his money. If you had been totally disciplined and not changed a thing in the system, you would have gone broke following it.

Which doesn't seem fair, because you'd lose if you changed it and you'd lose if you didn't, but there it is.

So finding a Richard Dennis won't do it either.

I think the moral of the story is not to look for a trading mentor, guru or system. You do have to do it on your own. What if you had found Dennis right at the point that he started losing money? His track record at that point was beyond awesome, but it wouldn't have guaranteed you a thing.

You can get help and you can learn from others, but that's different. Looking for someone to follow is a very risky way to go.

Link for Dennis: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Dennis

Bob.

When one door closes, another opens.
-- Cervantes, Don Quixote
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  #197 (permalink)
 Sairi 
Braunschweig Germany
 
Posts: 12 since Dec 2019

Yes and I am one of those people. Maybe it is just you and you need to understand that you are not alone. There are those who are earning and those who are not. The difference between them is how they handle themselves in here . You need todo something about it.

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  #198 (permalink)
 Dotilar 
Pamplona Spain
 
Posts: 9 since Jan 2020

Of course there are quite a number of people making money. Think about it, how long has this site been runnning and how many people are using it. If there was no one earning then there would not be anyone here or new people joining. What you need to do is develop a better strategy if you have not been making any profit.

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  #199 (permalink)
 Aranin 
Pskov Russia
 
Posts: 4 since Jan 2020

There are people making money and there are people that are not making money. If you are among those peole that are not making money then you are doing something wrong. You are gonna have to work harder and improve on what you have been doing. Strategy is everthing in here.

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  #200 (permalink)
 
Analytic's Avatar
 Analytic 
New York NY/United States
 
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Aranin View Post
There are people making money and there are people that are not making money. If you are among those peole that are not making money then you are doing something wrong. You are gonna have to work harder and improve on what you have been doing. Strategy is everthing in here.

The following is just a basic guideline based on the current 'accepted' thinking.

A) People Making Money

1) Most Commercial Traders -> Market Makers, Commercial Hedgers
2) 'Large Specs' -> Elite Quant Funds using Machine Learning with correct robust statistical methods for financial time series data
3) 'Small Specs' -> 5% of retail traders (mostly using statistically proven mechanical methods)

B) People Not Making Money

1) 'Small Specs' -> 95% of retail traders
2) 'Large Specs' -> Large amount of dumb money piled into sub-par funds that have bad trading methods

If you are not making money then obviously you need to find a way to move from Group B to Group A

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