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Would you share your Holy Grail?


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Would you share your Holy Grail?

  #351 (permalink)
 
Aurac's Avatar
 Aurac 
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bobwest View Post
OK, so suppose you had such a limited, "mini" guaranteed profit-making thing, call it what you will.

If you just take that as the meaning, then what would you do with it?

- Trade it and be rich?
- Show everyone else how to do it so they can be rich too?
- Sell it and give up the riches from trading in exchange for the sales income? (The third choice sort of makes one think that the miraculous system is snake oil, sold by a vendor because he doesn't have anything he can trade himself. Which is part of the discussion too.)

The questions of the thread have to do with what you or anyone would do with any real whiz-bang system, whatever you call it.

Sure, the phrase "Holy Grail" is pretty ambiguous. But I know what my answer would be, without a shred of hesitation: I would trade it and let you guys find your own. ( ) I'm not really into giving money away, and if it works, I'm not selling it either.

You could also say, as many have already, that there is no perfect system, and that you don't need perfection to do OK in the markets anyway. I think this is closer to reality, at least for most of us.

But I don't think there's really any one answer. It's just a way to focus on different ways to think about trading. And it has generated a lot of discussion, although not necessarily agreement, which is all to the good.

-------------------------

Incidentally, if anyone isn't familiar with where in the world such a strange phrase came from, it's a combination of a number of medieval legends and stories, some connected with the knights of King Arthur and quests they went on (no, I'm not joking). For some background, see this article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holy_Grail. A quote: "The term "holy grail" is often used to denote an elusive object or goal that is sought after for its great significance."

It's kind of mythological then, as is the perfect trading system....

Bob.

I think originally "Holy Grail" was intended to mean some mechanical system that did not have losing trades. In other words you could perfectly predict each and every move in the market you are trading. So no losing trades. That I accept would be mythological.
But I think a more practical way of defining "Holy Grail" is more along the lines of Jack Schwager where you need to find a system that suits you.
So it's in that sense that I am using it here which doesn't mean it's the only way of defining it.
But it does mean you have to go search for it like Sir Galahad but instead of the "Holy Grail" you actually discover your "holy grail".
On second thoughts maybe "holy grail" is not a good name for this alternative but I would welcome suggestions along these lines.
Thanks
L

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  #352 (permalink)
 hyperscalper 
boise idaho
 
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Aurac View Post
I think originally "Holy Grail" was intended to mean some mechanical system that did not have losing trades. In other words you could perfectly predict each and every move in the market you are trading. So no losing trades. That I accept would be mythological.
L

OK, I have to disagree; because my definition of "A Trade"
differs from almost every other Trader.

I advocate the concept of a "Meta Trade" which is a multi-position
(potentially long lasting) sequence of individual positions, where
each position benefits from Profit taking or being removed at a
reasonable Loss to "reduce exposure"... with a view toward
adding exposure again when conditions change.

This is nothing more than the concept of "exposure modulation"
where we increase or decrease our exposure (overall position
size) according to market conditions... and in my case that
happens "within the Meta Trade"...

So, to get to the point; my system DOES NOT HAVE "every
trade (i.e. position) profitable"; but it DOES HAVE every
"Meta Trade" (or "trading frame") resolving itself as profitable.
[EDIT] Well, I mean a very high percentage of the time....

Not every single position taken needs to go to profit; rather,
the Meta Trade is evaluated as Profitable or not.

It's fairly easy to have EVERY Meta Trade profitable; and I've
sort of side-stepped the (unnecessary) requirement that
EVERY Trade be profitable (in the "Holy Grail Quest") in favor
of a multi-position trading "frame" I call the Meta Trade.

(Heck, if Facebook can rename itself so the umbrella company
is "Meta", then I can introduce the concept of the Meta Trade;
and such a methodology does result, with a high probability,
in "every Meta Trade" being Net Profitable, costs accounted
for, of course)

Now, that should be Controversial; if anything is... LOL

hyperscalper

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  #353 (permalink)
 
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 bobwest 
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Aurac View Post
I think originally "Holy Grail" was intended to mean some mechanical system that did not have losing trades. In other words you could perfectly predict each and every move in the market you are trading. So no losing trades. That I accept would be mythological.
But I think a more practical way of defining "Holy Grail" is more along the lines of Jack Schwager where you need to find a system that suits you.
So it's in that sense that I am using it here which doesn't mean it's the only way of defining it.
But it does mean you have to go search for it like Sir Galahad but instead of the "Holy Grail" you actually discover your "holy grail".
On second thoughts maybe "holy grail" is not a good name for this alternative but I would welcome suggestions along these lines.
Thanks
L

My only problem with the term is that it means almost anything, and also almost nothing, and it depends on who's talking about it.... which is not terrible in itself, since everyone does have a sense of it.

There's been some discussion about what is the real "Holy Grail," which is why I pointed out the origin of the term -- in legends from the Middle Ages about Sir Lancelot and Sir Galahad and those guys, worked over by authors who liked a story. Given that context, it's sort of hard to worry about using the term "correctly."

But if all we mean is "something really good," then of course there are many good ways to trade. We can call them whatever we want to.

Bob.

When one door closes, another opens.
-- Cervantes, Don Quixote
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  #354 (permalink)
 
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 bobwest 
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I can't seem to just write clearly what I mean today, for some reason:

I think worrying about how to define this term is just an exercise in hair splitting. Who cares?

There, that's what I wanted to say.

Not meant as a criticism, just an observation.

Bob.

When one door closes, another opens.
-- Cervantes, Don Quixote
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  #355 (permalink)
 
Aurac's Avatar
 Aurac 
London+United Kingdom
 
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bobwest View Post
I can't seem to just write clearly what I mean today, for some reason:

I think worrying about how to define this term is just an exercise in hair splitting. Who cares?

There, that's what I wanted to say.

Not meant as a criticism, just an observation.

Bob.

I actually was agreeing with you even though I didn't make myself clear as well. But before that I was alluding to history in the sense that there was The "Holy Grail" being searched for by everyone. Back then in the days of old when men where bold there was no multiple individual definition of the term.
The "Holy Grail" was a well defined term and completely unambiguous.
Considering how it has now being amended to be a more individual definition I was just wondering if a different wording should be use to accord with current use such as "personalized grail" to show the difference.
In any case as you most astutely pointed out, apart from the entertainment value it is an exercise in hair splitting.
There, that's what I wanted to say.

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  #356 (permalink)
 hyperscalper 
boise idaho
 
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bobwest View Post
I can't seem to just write clearly what I mean today, for some reason:

I think worrying about how to define this term is just an exercise in hair splitting. Who cares?

There, that's what I wanted to say.

Not meant as a criticism, just an observation.

Bob.

Hey, wait just a minute ! Since when is it a waste of time
to try and define something, as a basis for discussion?

At least 2 of you are saying this; so I must speak out for
Truth and the American Way lol

Just sayin'... ?

hyperscalper

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  #357 (permalink)
 
Aurac's Avatar
 Aurac 
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hyperscalper View Post
Hey, wait just a minute ! Since when is it a waste of time
to try and define something, as a basis for discussion?

At least 2 of you are saying this; so I must speak out for
Truth and the American Way lol

Just sayin'... ?

hyperscalper

“Many a true word hath been spoken in jest.”
That's all I got to sat to that

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  #358 (permalink)
MichaelFlowTrader
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Holy Grail 'systems' do NOT exist: Holly Grail skills do, infrastructure advantages exist, information advantages exist, and experience to trade over multiple market states exist.

Paint by numbers trading and the search for infinite certainty mask the baseline insecurity that keeps trading a 'game' where 90% fail long run.

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  #359 (permalink)
 kingoliver 
Los Angeles, CA
 
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Yes.

Holy grail for me, very FT71-esque. (should not be a surprise around here, if you see the same thing over and over from consistent traders)

- Mindset/Relationship with risk
- Stats/confluence

Active participation, and WAITING for your signals.

Thats it. I have made multiple systems work. Just pick one that suits you, with a style that suits you and your account. don't trade too big. For me, edge is working the same system, measuring it, and tweaking it to your own person relationship with what you are seeing.


I overthought this for a decade. Hope this helps!

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