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Coronavirus COVID-19


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Coronavirus COVID-19

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  #1 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Coronavirus COVID-19

Clippings on the Chinese virus

Wear a mask, mandate others to wear masks, & remember that @WHO is criminally incompetent. To repeat:@WHO is criminally incompetent. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) March 31, 2020
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Market Wizard
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The flu of 1918

I couldn't bear to watch and bailed after min 24

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UDY5COg2P2c



Wear a mask, mandate others to wear masks, & remember that @WHO is criminally incompetent. To repeat:@WHO is criminally incompetent. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) March 31, 2020
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  #3 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Summary


  • The virus started in Wuhan
  • It probably came from a bio-lab where a scientist was trying to make a flu so strong even bats would die from it
  • It may have spread from the bio-warfare alb to the live market only a few 300m away
  • Suppressing the info the flu until the first death (~8 Jan)
  • reports are in that the Chinese are cremating the bodies and lying about the body count.
  • quarantines are stringent and too little to late
  • jail-time 7yrs awaits those that non-govt approved info
  • The WHO director receives large amounts of money from the Chinese govt downplays the virus
  • CDC has been refused entry into China until a couple of days ago.
  • 1/2 of the Chinese pop is now under quarantine
  • the Chinese workers have been ordered to return to work
  • Hong Kong closes schools and many ex-pats are leaving to continuing their childrens school studies abroad
  • food hording is adding to Hong Kong pressures
  • The flu can be asymptotic for 14 days and those people infecting others may show no systems making screening by temperature not effective in this period
  • the virus can live many days (9+) on surfaces both hard and soft surfaces - CCP is reported burning currency in heavily infected areas
  • the flu spreads though the air and a sneeze or cough can fill the air with tiny droplets
  • both mask and eye protection are needed
  • The US flies home 14 Americans off the Japanese quarantined ship on a plane with 300 others.
  • Tokyo cancels its enormous annual marathon
  • In Spain a large annual hi-tech conference is cancelled
  • Apple announces delays in iPhone production from Chinese plant
  • Some investment houses forecast GDP slow-downs

Wear a mask, mandate others to wear masks, & remember that @WHO is criminally incompetent. To repeat:@WHO is criminally incompetent. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) March 31, 2020
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Market Wizard
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stats


Wear a mask, mandate others to wear masks, & remember that @WHO is criminally incompetent. To repeat:@WHO is criminally incompetent. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) March 31, 2020
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  #5 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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CDC policies

Health officials say the CDC is conducting screening for those landing at one of 11 U.S. airports from China. From there, if a patient shows no symptoms they are self-quarantined at home for self-monitoring with public health supervision.



so no symptoms no quarantine

Wear a mask, mandate others to wear masks, & remember that @WHO is criminally incompetent. To repeat:@WHO is criminally incompetent. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) March 31, 2020
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Thanks @aquarian1 for the thread. Means some real outcome on the worldwide markets and the countries. Some thoughts about an upcoming recession - especially with the burning acceleration of Corona by today - you may read here:

GFIs1

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  #7 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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GFIs1 View Post
Thanks @aquarian1 for the thread. Means some real outcome on the worldwide markets and the countries. Some thoughts about an upcoming recession - especially with the burning acceleration of Corona by today - you may read here:

GFIs1

Thanks GFIs1

I will check out your link.
The coming recession could be awful - far worst than the great depression.

In the Spanish flu video one of the keys was that the first version of the flu wasn't that bad killed a few in Kansas. But the virus mutated. The American soldiers brought it over to Europe and it spread and mutated. Then when it returned to the USA it was much much worse.

It the trenches it killed more soldiers than the enemy and then when it returned it was very deadly

Wear a mask, mandate others to wear masks, & remember that @WHO is criminally incompetent. To repeat:@WHO is criminally incompetent. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) March 31, 2020
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Market Wizard
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Italy

Italy Update
  • 11 towns, 50,000 people, placed in lockdown.
  • Armed forces and police forces have been mobilized to form an insurmountable "health belt" around contagion areas. Roadblock violators risk up to a 3 months prison sentence.
  • Schools closed in Lombardy, Veneto, Friuli Venezia Giulia, Emilia Romagna, Liguria, and in Trentino Alto Adige regions. Universities closed in Piedmont.
  • Mayor of one of the towns in lockdown says they've run out of coronavirus testing kits.
  • 78 new cases in Italy and 1 new death.
  • Carnival in Venice and all sport and public events in Veneto cancelled.
  • All public and private events, including sport, cultural, and religious events in Lombardy cancelled. Movie theaters closed.
  • More than 40 football matches, including at least 4 Serie A games, postponed.
  • Armani cancels his fashion show today in Milan.
  • Teatro alla Scala in Milan suspends all performances.

    source: mishtalk

Wear a mask, mandate others to wear masks, & remember that @WHO is criminally incompetent. To repeat:@WHO is criminally incompetent. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) March 31, 2020
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Market Wizard
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melting down

melting down


Wear a mask, mandate others to wear masks, & remember that @WHO is criminally incompetent. To repeat:@WHO is criminally incompetent. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) March 31, 2020
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This is live counter. Numbers are from sources like WHO, so they are very under-representative of the true story. But its a good indicator of where we are at in terms of spread and its conversion into Pandemic from Epidemic status.

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6


It was around 30k in first week of Feb, around 60 ke on around 14th feb and now its touch short of 80k. Just yesterday morning it was around 78, 800/-, now that number is about 650/- up.

This is very serious trend in rise, there is false sense of security within communities due to low casualty rate against infected compared to SARS but like I said, real numbers are not public so relying on that is not a good idea. Also, we are in phase where its not just spreading from ground zero, there are cases coming to light which have no history of traveling to China or getting in contact with already established carriers, means there is tendency of secondary or dormant spread present.

This is only going to get worse, please take care and adhere to needed precautions.

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