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traders talks and videos
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traders talks and videos

  #1 (permalink)
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traders talks and videos

This thread is for FIO members to post their thoughts and notes on various podcasts and trading videos they have watched.

So they can post their take-aways or summaries of what professional traders have shared so that other FIO members can go through the list and see what talks/videos might appeal to them. Each of us might have different goals and different views on trading and sharing our take-aways or summaries can help each other zoom into topics that might appeal to us.

This could save us time and guide us to talks/videos we might enjoy.

Also it can serve to highlight key points that others might not pick-up on when they listen/watch later.

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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  #2 (permalink)
Quick Summary
Quick Summary Post

Please add links to new talks and videos here after you have posted them

Table of contents



Momentum trading active stocks -Ivanhoff



Jack Schwagger


Andrew Falde -avoid feeling you need to predict

Tom Basso -a market Wizard

Luke Cummings

Harnessing the power of machine learning for money making algo strategies w/ Bert Mouler

Jon Boorman

Yves Hilpisch, The Python Quants

Jared Tendler - mental game coach


-------------
Please note I am prone to making typos.

Each talk has it's source, and if you go to that page it will have notes and the links from the talk.
e.g. I mis-typed fundseeder.com as fundseeker but if you go to the page notes you will find the links.
Here from the page notes:
source:https://chatwithtraders.com/ep-027-jack-schwager/ you will see link at the bottom,
"FundSeeder.com – A platform designed to reveal undiscovered trading talent, where traders link to their broker and display a track-record of verified trades. Traders also have access to visualization tools to analyze progress."


Last edited by aquarian1; April 9th, 2019 at 07:03 PM.
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  #3 (permalink)
Elite Member
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Momentum trading active stocks -Ivanhoff


024: Ivaylo Ivanov
How Ivan rides industry momentum & uses high probability swing setups to capitalize on short-term gainers
https://chatwithtraders.com/ep-024-ivanhoff/

Ivanhoff

Momentum trading active stocks

"Ivan" hails from Bulgaria and started trading on his own there. He has moved to the USA and trades his own money. He looks for stocks that have a positive earning surprise and plays them on a consolidation for a 3 to 10 day period.

His points
  • Most stocks are not active 80% of the time and he screens stocks for key break-outs with volume and momentum being clues.
  • New traders should find one good setup with an edge and thoroughly master it. Knowing:
  • -When to trade the setup?
  • -When does it have an edge?
  • Many traders fail because of trading setups that don't have an edge and then if they find a setup with an edge switching too quickly to another setup without mastering it.
  • He trades only 0.5% of his capital on nay one trade - risk management is important.
  • The opportunity cost of capital is important to him and if in his scans he finds another stock with a good setup he will sell one that is not preforming and re-allocate that capital
  • He focuses on hot industries.

I like the talk because he was clear and direct in his answers. His thought about thoroughly mastering a setup was echoed by another traders talk. It is interesting that in his trading journal he not only notes his trades and outcomes but reviews opportunities missed to find out how he might have caught them.

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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  #4 (permalink)
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Jack Schwagger

Jack Schwagger

Jack worked as the director or futures at several major firms, started a small fund which was bought out, has done consulting for funds, written several books starting with the Complete Guide to Futures, and including the market wizards series. He is currently working with fundseeker.com (verifies traders track records via linkage to traders account with the idea of finding great traders that funds might like to hire) and trade Shark Indicators.

His points:
  • Fundamental analysis for trading is flawed and lacks timing and is inherently counter risk management (if something is cheap at $5 and falls to $4 it is even cheaper and one should buy more - the opposite of risk management)
  • Efficient Market Hypothesis (which includes by extension Random Walk Theory) is proven wrong, both by the number of elite traders who can consistently outperform the market over long periods of time and by inefficient pricing (gave example of CountryWide financial).
  • There is a logic flaw widely used: Out performing the index is hard therefore EMH is correct. (If A gives B then if B then A is a logical flaw). e.g. Polar bears are white mammals, therefore all white mammals are polar bears. Not true an artic hare is a white mammal and it is not a polar bear.
  • Though it is very hard to be an elite trader there are many ways to do this. (Find method right for you and your personality)
  • Not everyone has the makeup/skills/characteristics (he doesn't say that what these are is known) to be an elite trader. He gives the example many people can with persistence, practice and the basic skills can become a competent violinists very few have the special ingredient(s) to be a solo violinist at the New York Philharmonic Orchestra.
  • Jack doesn't consider himself a good trader but feels that he does know many of the traits from his many interviews and contacts.


source:
https://chatwithtraders.com/ep-027-jack-schwager/
July 1, 2015

“There’s a million ways to make money in the markets, unfortunately they’re all very difficult to find.”

“Look for the trading method that’s right for you, and it’s not going to be the same for everybody.”

“Know where you’re getting out before you get in.”

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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  #5 (permalink)
Elite Member
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 3,604 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 1,409 given, 2,229 received

Andrew Falde -avoid feeling you need to predict

Andrew Falde

At the end of the interview Andrew states that the top reason that people who are smart or successful in business or other careers fail in trading is they believe they can apply the same techniques (more effort etc) to trading and suceed.

Andrew moved from commerical real estate to trading after the 2008 crash. He trades options with SMB and creates courses etc.

(My "feel" on this talk is that he is too much the salesman for selling trading systems, however as with all salesmen it is a good presentation.)

Free video series of about 10 min each with 7 steps:
http://www.smbtraining.com/blog/free-seven-part-series-on-systems-trading

source:
https://chatwithtraders.com/ep-028-andrew-falde/#disqus_thread

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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  #6 (permalink)
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aquarian1 View Post
Jack Schwagger

Jack worked as the director or futures at several major firms, started a small fund which was bought out, has done consulting for funds, written several books starting with the Complete Guide to Futures, and including the market wizards series. He is currently working with fundseeker.com (verifies traders track records via linkage to traders account with the idea of finding great traders that funds might like to hire) and trade Shark Indicators.

His points:
  • Fundamental analysis for trading is flawed and lacks timing and is inherently counter risk management (if something is cheap at $5 and falls to $4 it is even cheaper and one should buy more - the opposite of risk management)
  • Efficient Market Hypothesis (which includes by extension Random Walk Theory) is proven wrong, both by the number of elite traders who can consistently outperform the market over long periods of time and by inefficient pricing (gave example of CountryWide financial).
  • There is a logic flaw widely used: Out performing the index is hard therefore EMH is correct. (If A gives B then if B then A is a logical flaw). e.g. Polar bears are white mammals, therefore all white mammals are polar bears. Not true an artic hare is a white mammal and it is not a polar bear.
  • Though it is very hard to be an elite trader there are many ways to do this. (Find method right for you and your personality)
  • Not everyone has the makeup/skills/characteristics (he doesn't say that what these are is known) to be an elite trader. He gives the example many people can with persistence, practice and the basic skills can become a competent violinists very few have the special ingredient(s) to be a solo violinist at the New York Philharmonic Orchestra.
  • Jack doesn't consider himself a good trader but feels that he does know many of the traits from his many interviews and contacts.


source:
https://chatwithtraders.com/ep-027-jack-schwager/
July 1, 2015

“There’s a million ways to make money in the markets, unfortunately they’re all very difficult to find.”

“Look for the trading method that’s right for you, and it’s not going to be the same for everybody.”

“Know where you’re getting out before you get in.”

fundseeker.com is not available anymore.. anyone know what happened to it? I always wonder, who actually verifies traders? Let's say I have my 2 years of trading profits I want to make available to someone. Who's actually an authority to say yes this trader is legit?

Sent from my SM-G930F using Tapatalk

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  #7 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Bathinda Punjab India
 
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Posts: 4 since Jan 2019
Thanks: 5 given, 1 received

Trend

How do i spot a trend; when the market opens?

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  #8 (permalink)
Elite Member
Os, Norway
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
Platform: Ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: ES, FDAX
 
Posts: 2 since May 2011
Thanks: 1 given, 1 received


CarpetHooligan View Post
fundseeker.com is not available anymore.. anyone know what happened to it? I always wonder, who actually verifies traders? Let's say I have my 2 years of trading profits I want to make available to someone. Who's actually an authority to say yes this trader is legit?

Sent from my SM-G930F using Tapatalk

There is a typo in the post above, try fundseeder.com.

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  #9 (permalink)
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Tom Basso -a market Wizard

Tom Basso -a market Wizard
(‘Mr Serenity’ in Jack Schwager’s ‘The New Market Wizards’)

Tom was working as a chemical engineer and saving some of his salary for his retirement. Then He got to thinking that he could do better by investing it started doing so and then friends asked him do the same for them and it continued to the point of having a fund TrendStat. At the time of the interview, Tom had been retired 12yrs which would put him at 50 when he retired. Tom's method was/is(?) a diversified trend following system. Tom will now only spend 20 min a day on his trading if he is on a holiday.

Key Points:
1. two trades can make up all of the profits of your portfolio so you want to be diversified enough to capture those.
2. being too concentrated in one area (his 5 contract silver trade in the Hunt Brothers silver corner spike) is too volatile.
3. develop your own thinking, you shouldn't be caring what Tom Basso tweets (he has a big twitter following).
4. Take responsibily for yourself and your decisions.
5. View life like a movie and relax "enjoy the ride".
6. His fund was all about automating the process, which he compares to process flow in engineering (data in, process, orders out) and he automated everything except a double check by a human to ensure the computers hadn't made an obvious error.

Tom gives his method for adjusting positions for volatility.
1. Compute the 20 day average range per contract in dollars (he uses 20d exponential but says it doesn't matter). Lets say that is $2,000.
2. Divide by your portfolio size (e.g. $100,000) giving dollar volatility $2,000/$100,000 => %2.
3. If the percentage is different that your desired percentage (e.g.1.5% ) the sell or buy to bring it in line.
(he doesn't mention how he sets the desired percentage. e.g. 1,5%)

“A lot of people look at me as a trader, yet I felt like the president of a data processing company.”
“A really good day at the end of the ’74 bull market was 10M shares on the entire NYSE.”
Tom shares a quote from Dr Van Tharp, “Good trading is following your strategy that day, it’s not whether you made or lost money that day.”

source:
https://chatwithtraders.com/ep-030-tom-basso/

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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  #10 (permalink)
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Posts: 3,604 since Dec 2010
Thanks: 1,409 given, 2,229 received


Discussion on Tom Basso's thought of random entry experiment

https://futures.io/traders-hideout/46482-discussion-notes-traders-talks-vidoes.html#post710839

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