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is Forex a zero sum game ?


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is Forex a zero sum game ?

  #1 (permalink)
 momop540 
seattle, wa
 
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As far as I know, all the securities (stocks/futures) are all zero sum game. Not sure if commodity trading is also a zero sum. Is Forex a zero sum game too ?

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  #3 (permalink)
 Zoethecus 
United States of America
 
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At best, it's a zero sum game.

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  #4 (permalink)
 momop540 
seattle, wa
 
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Interesting..so price can be destroyed without anyone winning ?

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  #5 (permalink)
 Zoethecus 
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Well, the losers may not know, but the winners--banks and market makers--know.

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  #6 (permalink)
 
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 Big Mike 
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I do not and have not traded FX, but from what I have read from other people on the forum, I would not classify Forex as a zero sum game, I would say instead it is a losing proposition.

This is due to the wide bid/ask spreads and due to the unregulated broker markets that bet against you.

You would be better off trading currency futures, in my opinion, if you are asking the question.

Mike



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  #7 (permalink)
 Michael.H 
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I would agree with big mike on this....
You broker will create an unfair advantage by manipulating price, making sure you don't get filled..

Thats not a zero sum game

Trading currencies on the CME would be a zero sum game.

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  #8 (permalink)
 
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 Fat Tails 
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It comes close to a zero-sum game if you include the forex broker. The broker wins and the traders lose. So it is a losing proposition for the trader. So you need to overcome transaction fees, the spread and your trading costs.

For shorter time frames and a typical retail account the transaction cost is likely to be much higher than your edge. So even trading off a 5 minute chart has the odds against you. To trade shorter timeframes than that profitably is next to impossible.

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  #9 (permalink)
 MetalTrade 
 
Posts: 1,055 since May 2010

There's only a few forex brokers on this planet that will let you make money on Forex and that one of them is Dukascopy and I might say PFG if you negotiate good.

Because of the brokers profit this is not a zero sum market because in a zero sum market there is for every loser an even winner, in forex there is a broker in between that takes profit of the winner, so it's not 'even' anymore.

I must be doing something wrong because for me winning in Forex cash markets is possible.

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  #10 (permalink)
 Zoethecus 
United States of America
 
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A bit OT: I've always been fascinated with economic theory and zero sum. For those who seek more brain food, I suggest reading Lester Thurow's, The Zero-sum Society.

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Last Updated on July 15, 2010


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