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Robots run amok?


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Robots run amok?

  #11 (permalink)
 
mattz's Avatar
 mattz   is a Vendor
 
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When the equity index "avalanche" happened, I also thought that the drop was due to algorithmic activity.
However, I also think that the retail space specifically those who were involved in shorting volatility whether via VIX, OTM short selling, and/or other strategies that rely on calm markets were caught and has to liquidate due to declining P&L and margins calls. For example, if you look at the landscape of CTA many who had a positive expectancy in the last few years where short options sellers. I don't know the total number of AUM, but I would guess it was a few billions between all. When the market dropped, it was very hard to execute and many had to exit also after hours when the market was less liquid. That contributed to further declines in my opinion.

Matt Z
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TWDsje View Post
And then you have today. What happened today? The treasuries had a trend down day and completely blew through their lows from last week. Yields moved up. Many levels that equities were worried about treasuries hitting were breached....and equities went up!

So now all of the sudden the market no longer cares about all of the things that it was panicking about last week. So we have two conflicting moves. I say that the one that pushed equities up today is the rational one, and all the strategies dumping stocks last week because of rising interest rates are on the wrong side of the trade.

The reason the market went up is the US govt buys dips of 10% and forces it up so that at the end of close RTH there is never a 10% drop and the Title "Market Correction" does hit the next day headlines for the masses.

They have done this 3 times before always at -10%.

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