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Are Fibonacci retracements and projections useful?
Started:October 27th, 2015 (01:44 PM) by Big Mike Views / Replies:23,800 / 430
Last Reply:August 18th, 2016 (10:41 PM) Attachments:76

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Are Fibonacci retracements and projections useful?

Old October 27th, 2015, 01:44 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Are Fibonacci retracements and projections useful?

Are fibonacci retracements and projections useful in a quantifiable way?

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Are Fibonacci retracements and projections useful in a quantifiable way?

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Old October 27th, 2015, 01:44 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Old October 27th, 2015, 01:52 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Absolutely not, and this is coming from someone that only trades the chart and price action.

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Old October 27th, 2015, 01:59 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Can't live without it, in confluence with other tools.

Picture some combination / projection.

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Old October 27th, 2015, 02:13 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Futures Edge on FIO
Good thing about Fibs is that there is always one around and if you can't find one- just change your timeframe
Took me several years and thousands of hours/dollars to discover that...

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Old October 27th, 2015, 02:18 PM   #6 (permalink)
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I voted no but it is possible, only because in general I am not a fan of subjective TA. Which includes trend lines, channels or anything else that if 1 person draws one way another person could draw another way.

However it is possible, the only issue here is determining an criterion that would determine the swing high to swing low. Simply off the top of my head, use a zig zag indicator and then have that draw a fib retracement. would work although the issues with zig zag are well known due to its redrawing. But conceptually it would be similar. Another method could be some highest high / lowest low of the some x group of bars etc etc.

possible yes, a lot of trouble for a small pay off is more likely. But then again you never know....

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Old October 27th, 2015, 02:23 PM   #7 (permalink)
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i think they are in the since that they give you simple measurement. so if you wanted to look for at least situations, such as first target is 150 of prior swing. or price has to at least pull back 50% to consider scaling or what have you. along with vwap and other tools they serve as a measuring tool, like trend lines, not magical numbers. just my noob opinion.

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Old October 27th, 2015, 02:24 PM   #8 (permalink)
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For me Fibs are useful in general.
But wondering about the quantifiable way. Wouldn't quantifiable mean having a statistic on our hand?
Just thinking what kind of question such a stat should be based on.

Looks quite difficult to me how such a stat could be build.

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Old October 27th, 2015, 02:37 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Old October 27th, 2015, 02:40 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Sure, they are useful, and they can be "quantifiable" - if you mean that there are certain retracement and/or projection levels that are more significant than others. I have been using them for years with good results, once I understood that like most tools, they cannot be used in a vacuum. When used as relative measures of support and resistance - to be confirmed with other methods - they can be very useful.

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