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Weekly Leading index from ERCI
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Weekly Leading index from ERCI

  #1 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: Multichart
 
Posts: 43 since Feb 2010
Thanks: 7 given, 27 received

Weekly Leading index from ERCI

Hi, people

I would like to put new idea and think out of the box in term of investing. I always like to find new way to anticipate market and found my hedge.

I came accross idea that connect my backgroup knowledge and technical anlaysis. Why not taking economic indicator and try to incorporate into technical analysis. Sure economic indicator are analyse from lagging, leading and coincident from each others. But I came accross on the net that a economic indicator that analyse multiple economic indicator and came with a weekly leading index. You can download the data from there website and plot on your chart platform.

http://www.businesscycle.com/files/ecri_data/uswliw.xls

You need to work a little bit the data and you came with a csv file that can be import in the platform of your choice.

This indicator are watching from multiple economist.

Check How much this indicator are good in general with a sort of Squeeze indicator. Not perfect but if you manage a long term portfolio you will have in genral good signal.

I would like to know if people look at the economic indicator for his long term portfolio.

Thx

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  #3 (permalink)
Elite Member
arizona
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Posts: 211 since Oct 2009
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Interesting chart, thanks for posting. The weekly leading index really does appear to lead the SPX much of the time, and appears to be more decisive when it starts to trend. There are a number of occasions I can see on the chart when the weekly leading index showed a clear trend change earlier than SPX did.

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  #4 (permalink)
Elite Member
Canada
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: Multichart
 
Posts: 43 since Feb 2010
Thanks: 7 given, 27 received

HI, GoldStandard

This is what I will look for my long term investment. One of my criteria. Because it's seem be good in general to detect the big picture of what it going on with the economy. Not the holly grail but a good picture. I upload the my data series that I use on my chart.

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