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Changes in the market in the next 10 years


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Changes in the market in the next 10 years

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  #1 (permalink)
Philadelphia
 
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Simple question. What changes do you foresee occurring with the markets in the next 10 years? Regulations, hfts, market structure, fees, account rules etc. This can be about any market from forex, the stock market, futures etc.

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Quoting 
...10 years?

I expect a big announcement from Ninjatrader that will go like this:

Coming soon... Version 9 is in the pipeline

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  #4 (permalink)
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I've heard from some people that they don't expect the structure of the market to change. Since I've been playing chartgame.com with daily candles of real data dating back even before 2000 I haven't noticed any difference with the amount of patterns and their follow-through. I expect human psychology to stay the same for the most part unless there is some massive breakthrough in technology with the way people learn.


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Itchymoku View Post
Simple question. What changes do you foresee occurring with the markets in the next 10 years? Regulations, hfts, market structure, fees, account rules etc. This can be about any market from forex, the stock market, futures etc.

As mentioned over PM, I can hardly predict what happens today so it's probably too much to request that I think of what happens in the next 10 years, but I feel obligated to respond to your request anyway so here goes.

Regulation and market structure: Probably see more work done on collecting an audit trail and increased frequency of ATS reporting. I think business forces will drive re-consolidation of ATSes, but not by much. The other front that's moving along fast is in the domain of products that are still dominated by OTC trading.

Technology: Since MSFT will finally open-source and take charge of the cross-platform ports of .NET, I believe we will see a lot more C# .NET implementations of production systems for both back-end and front-end. https://github.com/Microsoft/dotnet I think this will kill off any new attempts at open-source Python, R, MATLAB trading software etc. The cloud backtesting platform phase is also slowing down; Equametrics and Quantconnect will be wiped out soon enough and Quantopian probably has strong enough of a funding base, hype and management to pivot into something else; more back-end oriented cloud software (e.g. Lucera, AWS) will still be around for specific purposes.

Fees: Will continue to go down, driven by technological innovation. More standardized fees (not necessarily lower/higher) for trading and data.

Markets: 1-2 acquisitions of exchanges for other asset classes by the dominant exchanges in futures (CME, ICE, Deutsche Boerse) probably.

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