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Fed Taper
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Fed Taper

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Fed Taper

This thread is for any Fed tapering discussion.

Will the Fed taper on it's October 30th meeting?

Will The Fed start tapering Oct 30th?

Total votes: 87
 


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Big Mike View Post
This thread is for any Fed tapering discussion.

Will the Fed taper on it's October 30th meeting?



Vote and discuss.

Mike


the bond market doesn't seem to to think so

the long end, that is

overall, the fear in the treasury market continues to be confined to t- bills

whose yields have exploded due to

fears of a technical default

stocks are just beginning to realize they are the tail

and the t-bill market is the dog

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Since the first poll question was overwhelmingly "no", I created a second poll just now to look further into the future (end of March 2014).

Will The Fed Taper by the end of Q1 2014?

Total votes: 398
 


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Fed ta[ering

The Fed will never taper. They can't unless we can find someone besides the Fed to buy our debt paper. If they do, then they can begin tapering. Otherwise, it won't happen.


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Quoting 
If there were any doubts that the Fed would start tapering later rather than sooner, those may have been put to rest with this morning's release of the September Non Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. While economists were expecting an increase of 180K, the actual increase was just 148K. This was the third straight month that the report came in weaker than expected.

Not only have we seen three straight months of weaker than expected employment reports, but we have also seen an increasing trend where the change in NFP in the most recent report has been weaker than the change in the prior month. So far this year, there have only been three months where the change in NFP was greater than the prior month and six months where the current month's change was weaker than the change in the prior month. As shown in the chart below, as red bars become more frequent, the Fed will be less likely to bite the bullet and finally start to taper.

Mike

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Fed could up QE to USD 1 trillion a month: Marc Faber

Read more at: Fed could up QE to USD 1 trillion a month: Marc Faber - Moneycontrol.com


Quoting 
Marc Faber, publisher of The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, told CNBC on Monday that investors are asking the wrong question about when the Federal Reserve will taper its massive bond-buying program. They should be asking when the central bank will be increasing it, he argued. "The question is not tapering. The question is at what point will they increase the asset purchases to say USD 150 [billion], USD 200 [billion], a trillion dollars a month," Faber said in a "Squawk Box" interview. The Fed—which is currently buying USD 85 billion worth of bonds every month—will hold its October meeting next week to deliberate the future of its asset purchases known as quantitative easing.



Faber has been predicting so-called "QE infinity" because "every government program that is introduced under urgency and as a temporary measure is always permanent." He also said, "The Fed has boxed itself into a position where there is no exit strategy." The continuation of Fed bond-buying has helped support stocks, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 Index are coming off two straight weeks of gains, highlighted by record highs for the S&P. While there may be little inflation in the US, Faber said there's been incredible asset inflation. "We are the bubble. We have a colossal asset bubble in the world [and] a leverage or a debt bubble."

Back in April 2012, Faber said the world will face "massive wealth destruction" in which "well to-do people will lose up to 50 percent of their total wealth." Also read: 'Massive wealth destruction' about to hit: Marc Faber In Monday's "Squawk" appearance, he said that could still happen but possibly from higher levels because of the "asset bubble" caused by the Fed. "One day this asset inflation will lead to a deflationary collapse one way or the other. We don't know yet what will cause it," he said.


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