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Does more trading = more money?

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Does more trading = more money?

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  #1 (permalink)
Market Wizard
OC, California, USA
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB/TWS, NinjaTrader, ToS
Trading: stocks, options, futures, VIX
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Some people become impatient with trading systems that don't yield enough trading signals. However, this may not be a bad thing. It all depends on your expectancy. Here's a video that explains the math.

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  #3 (permalink)
Omaha, NE
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great video. I agree completely that most people have that "work harder = trade more = more money" and I think it screws up a lot of traders by overtrading or always seeking that "better setup".

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  #4 (permalink)
Atlanta, GA
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Actually, the expectancy presented in the video is a little simplistic because it does not consider trade risk. Suppose the $15/trade system risks $15 while the $50/trade system risks $5000. A few losing trades in a row for the $50 system could wipe out an account. A trading system's expectancy is better expressed as expectancy per dollar risked (as detailed in Chapter 6 of Tharp's book "Trade your way to Financial Freedom"). In this case the $15 system would have an expectancy of $1 per dollar risked and the $50 system would have an expectancy of $0.01 per dollar risked. When using expectancies to compare systems, it's best to normalize the expectancies to risk.

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March 14, 2010

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