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Will The Fed raise interest rates in 2013?
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Will The Fed raise interest rates in 2013?

  #11 (permalink)
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Big Mike View Post
Fed has been even more clear on QE, saying it will continue until the end of days...

We all know the situation the fed has painted themselves into. Even a slight interest rate bump is going to send shockwaves...

They've said rates will remain at 0.25% until inflation hits 2.5%. We've been at 0.25% since Dec 2008. Historically since 1971 rates have average 6%, so there is an enormous gap here and every knows rates must increase, and everyone knows The Fed has printed so much that it is going to get real messy real fast.

I know The Fed likes to reassure everyone the rates will remain free and QE will continue until the end of days, but in reality it will one day revert and I'm no economist but it seems rates will need to go much higher than the average 6% in order to keep up with inflation. I want to be short indices ahead of those FOMC minutes...


From 0.25% to 6 %
That is a HUGE HUGE Increase Mike. I do not think that this could happen even in a decade.

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  #12 (permalink)
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ab456 View Post
From 0.25% to 6 %
That is a HUGE HUGE Increase Mike. I do not think that this could happen even in a decade.

Sure, but keep in mind it went from 5.25% to 0% in 15 months.


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  #13 (permalink)
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Jeez imagine what the "economic recovery" will look like when they even start bumping rates up. Like mike, love to be short when bernake announces that. Agreed that it needs to go way above the average. I wouldn't be surprised though if they didn't change the rates until after Obama gets out of office. That might be too large of a shock wave for the media to cover up.

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  #14 (permalink)
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Keep in mind that, contrary to popular wisdom, history shows the Fed follows short term market rates - not sets them, ultimately just another illusory part of the fallacy of potent directors.

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  #15 (permalink)
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Seen so many times in the past: Saying ONE thing and doing the opposite is quite common by FED et al:
That means attract more people from the street to get them on the already moving train to just
let the big herd run into the fences.
In Europe some main rates have changed already from the historical lows to wander right up in the first
quarter 2013.
Stay alerted in the short and middle term to get the "used to it" lowest rates any longer.


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