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Ron Paul Won Early Primaries, Mathematicians Find. Election Judge Threatened for Calling Fraud
I posted about this on FB right after it happened, but I failed to discuss it here. I'd have been better off on futures.io (formerly BMT) as there are enough people with an understanding of basic math.
In essence, when charting the vote results for a particular polling station or group of stations, the early voting, the trendlines have fairly shapr angles, but very quickly, the trendlines approach an equilibrium. From that point forward, the trendlines stay pretty close to the overall % of vote for each candidate.
Now, for state elections (and moreso for national elections) the trendlines can alter a bit as news affects the momentum and sentiment for the candidates. Usually when this happens, the dominant candidate sees an increase in their % of votes and all the other candidates see a reduction in their percentages, but the other candidates share equitable loss of voting %.
In essence, if you see Bush surge toward the end of polling (in terms of % of people voting) you would expect that his increase in %, comes at a cost to the other candidates.
What you would NOT expect to see is one particular candidate bear the brunt of that increase.....something is amiss and doesn't match reality.
In essence, if you see Romney surge in % for voters, you would expect that Gingrich and Santorum and all candidates % to reduce equally (i.e. if Romney voters begin to show up in force, his % increases, say from 20% to 25%, and that additional 5% of the composition means the rest of the field has to go down in % an equal amount....)
What's very peculiar about the data is....
A) The surge began way early in the voting results (earlier than is explained by a typical news surge)
B) Romney surge is much more pronounced than ANYTHING we've ever seen before in election data
C) Romney surge correlates nearly PERFECTLY to the same downward trend of Ron Paul % composition
D) Other candidate compositions remain near their equilibrium compositions
E) The diverging results between Romney and Ron Paul are like nothing ever seen in the past primary results.
The only logical explaination is that at some point, the tabulation computations were abruptly switch to take a portion of Ron Paul votes and flip them to Romney votes. This results in the upward spike to Romney (and the corresponding downward spike to Ron Paul).
If I remember correctly when I first saw the news/analysis about this...it was a 1:2 ratio, so for every 2 Ron Paul votes, one of those votes was awarded (fraudulently) to Romney.
There is of course, a mile long list of voter intimidation, rules changes, outright ignoring rules, manipulation by the media, etc....there's enough to bring criminal cases for election fraud.
THIS however, shows forensic and documentable proof that the Romney campaign intentionally and deliberately stole votes from the Ron Paul campaign.
The idiots should have at least stole votes equally from all the other candidates, that would have at least made it more difficult to spot.
"A dumb man never learns. A smart man learns from his own failure and success. But a wise man learns from the failure and success of others." |
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