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Low Action caused by June trading?
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Low Action caused by June trading?

  #1 (permalink)
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Low Action caused by June trading?

Hello guys,

this is the first year of my trading, so Id like to ask - is it June trading responsible for the general slowdown of currencies or do you not observe anything like June/summer trading?
Many thanks

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  #3 (permalink)
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If you look at the volatility of the last 2 weeks versus the prior two weeks you will notice that it has increased between 5% and 10% for all major FOREX pairs.

The only exception of USDJPY, where volatility has only increased by about 3%.

This is not a slowdown but the markets are gaining speed.

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Hey Fat Tails,

Im talking more about Delta. There are times when the delta is packed with information, nowadays all is calm and I have had over a week without a proper signal. No trade so no loss. Im asking to know whether Im to count on a longer period of notrades (i.e. whether people here on futures.io (formerly BMT) or you personally observe some differences in trading during summer).

Many thanks.

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https://futures.io/elite-circle/5242-intraday-seasonality-volatility-when-trade-when-not-trade.html

Generally speaking, things slow down in the summer. But I classify that the same as saying don't trade during lunch, don't trade on Friday, etc... I simply trade when there is opportunity, and don't trade when there is not.

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Fat Tails View Post
If you look at the volatility of the last 2 weeks versus the prior two weeks you will notice that it has increased between 5% and 10% for all major FOREX pairs.

The only exception of USDJPY, where volatility has only increased by about 3%.

This is not a slowdown but the markets are gaining speed.

Hi @Fat Tails which of your tools allow you to see this if any?

Thanks.

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  #7 (permalink)
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dakine View Post
Hi @Fat Tails which of your tools allow you to see this if any?

Thanks.

The SessionVolatilityBands measure the average daily range, when set to ETH. You can display the average daily range for any lookback period. For example for $EURUSD.

The chart attached shows that

- the daily range for the last 10 business days (2 weeks) was 130.5 pips
- the daily range for the last 20 business days (4 weeks) was 125.5 pips
- by deduction the daily range for the 10 business days prior to the last 10 business days was 120.5 pips

Therefore the daily range has expanded by about 8% if you compare the last two weeks to the prior two weeks.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

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Eubie View Post
Hey Fat Tails,

Im talking more about Delta. There are times when the delta is packed with information, nowadays all is calm and I have had over a week without a proper signal. No trade so no loss. Im asking to know whether Im to count on a longer period of notrades (i.e. whether people here on futures.io (formerly BMT) or you personally observe some differences in trading during summer).

Many thanks.

When trading FOREX there is no delta per se. I only know delta for currency options and for portfolios with a component denominated in foreign currency, which needs to be hedged. Which delta are you talking about?

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  #9 (permalink)
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Fat Tails, Cumulative Delta.

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