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Tomorrow's chart
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Tomorrow's chart

  #31 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Gabriyele View Post
FDAX target zone @ 6853.0

Hey Gab - "sama sama" the indonesian would say

Despite some retracing on monday I see a not yet finished downmove in the DAX in the coming weeks making
a possible
1) down to 6200
2) retracing to 6400
3) faster move to 5800 level

Just a bigger picture to our day to day forecasts as higher levels do not seem to be reached now.
Lets see how it plays out.

GFIs1

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  #32 (permalink)
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a request

Hi Gab,

Could you post a chart for CL and were you think it might go on Monday?

Thanks,

Rachel

PS THank you for sharing your chart on CL in the trading room this past Friday.

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  #33 (permalink)
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my 2 cents from private banker


To me, price always fall as we come into paying taxes. They are exiting their positions to pay their taxes and soon as the tax deadline has been meet, price will rally up a bit.

I agree with private banker about the state of things. But they aren't going to let this market drop just before the next election. They are not going to start doing more QE, till after the election, so we could possibly stay bouyant for a while but eventually it could happen.
Unless there is another crisses, then anything is possible.

Rachel


Gabriyele View Post
@Private Banker
Keep preaching the Truth PB!!

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  #34 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Rachel View Post
I agree with private banker about the state of things. But they aren't going to let this market drop just before the next election. They are not going to start doing more QE, till after the election, so we could possibly stay bouyant for a while but eventually it could happen.
Rachel

please stay always alert - as steep moves down are highly possible under these circumstances...

GFIs1!

PS: as an optimist - I am not bashing at all - just pointing out that money management should be first!

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  #35 (permalink)
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Rachel View Post
To me, price always fall as we come into paying taxes. They are exiting their positions to pay their taxes and soon as the tax deadline has been meet, price will rally up a bit.

I agree with private banker about the state of things. But they aren't going to let this market drop just before the next election. They are not going to start doing more QE, till after the election, so we could possibly stay bouyant for a while but eventually it could happen.
Unless there is another crisses, then anything is possible.

Rachel

Thanks for your thoughts and they would make sense if the market were full of retail investors. The issue I have with that theory is a majority of professional traders utilize business entities which are on completely different tax schedules. This also applies to all the funds out there. So, I don't think that theory makes that much sense.

As for this year being an election year, just know the market has crashed during an election year before and wouldn't be surprised to see that happen again based on many people's view of the current administration. So, to think we stay even based on that doesn't make sense but as we know anything can happen. Equities have been rising ONLY because of the global effort done by the world's central banks to provide an astonishing amount of liquidity to the global markets which has induced a large appetite for risk. Once that liquidity goes away, we will see traders/investors unwind in a hurry. As I mentioned the market (ES) has been balancing at two big areas in the last few months. We've just fallen down from the upper balance area, hit the next level where we found rejection upon the initial test. We then ran back up to the upper balance area's value area low and was completely rejected. Going into Friday's close, we saw substantial selling taking place. I think we test this lower balance area with the potential for further rejection. Should we break lower, a very low volume area exists based on the last run up which could have price literally free fall through it. We'll have to see of course.

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  #36 (permalink)
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CRUDE FORECAST (180min)

@Rachel
yep exactly that the CRUDE forecast of the CL based on the most common pattern AB=CD

if the 50% level holds!!!!

Otherwise observe the lower levels: 61.8%, 78.6%, 88.6%, 100%

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  #37 (permalink)
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FDAX

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@GFIs1

GFIs1 View Post
Hey Gab - "sama sama" the indonesian would say

Despite some retracing on monday I see a not yet finished downmove in the DAX in the coming weeks making
a possible
1) down to 6200
2) retracing to 6400
3) faster move to 5800 level

Just a bigger picture to our day to day forecasts as higher levels do not seem to be reached now.
Lets see how it plays out.

GFIs1


6616.5 is the BUY zone meaning if the price can move above that point then look for the higher highs.
Otherwise, yes, the BEAR is calling!

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  #38 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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DAX Monday

...reached the 6650 level

chart attached...

looking to where the journey will go

GFIs1

PS: closing 17:30 @ 6650

Attached Thumbnails
Tomorrow's chart-daxmondaylevel.png  

Last edited by GFIs1; April 16th, 2012 at 12:34 PM.
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  #39 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Dax Wednesday

Honestly - about tomorrow's DAX move I have no clue.
But for wednesday there is a high probability to see a move
down to 6396.
Will wait for tomorrow's entry to decide which
trade shall bring some extra points.

See attached chart with the red TARGET.

GFIs1

Attached Thumbnails
Tomorrow's chart-daxwednesday.jpg  
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  #40 (permalink)
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david - if i did it correctly - i replied to your pm

gio

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