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Probability 101
Started:March 24th, 2012 (12:23 PM) by Hotch Views / Replies:8,970 / 61
Last Reply:February 6th, 2015 (10:28 AM) Attachments:5

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Probability 101

Old February 6th, 2015, 07:09 AM   #61 (permalink)
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Fat Tails View Post
The simplest statement containing a paradox caused by self-reference is the statement known as the liar paradox:

"This sentence is false."

If it is false it must be true, and if it is true it must be false. No way out of this.

Well, the way that logicians get out of this is to declare that you just can't do self-reference. I've always thought that was a neat way out of the trap: make it against the rules.


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Old February 6th, 2015, 10:28 AM   #62 (permalink)
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danielk View Post
Exactly! A classic example of a question i'd normally simply reply to with "dude, your question sucks!"

However would you agree that changing answer C. would be irrelevant? an all round 'false' result is false, regardless of it being 60%, 0% or 250%

You could change option A to 0%.

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