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Anyone knowledgeable on history of japan economy and Markets?
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Anyone knowledgeable on history of japan economy and Markets?

  #11 (permalink)
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The best way to understand an economic situation is to not fall into the trap of trying to graph the variables on to some other event in the past.
For whatever variable you can find that is the same with the US and japan you can find 100 that are different so why bother.
The only thing you can get out of such analysis is knowingly wrong conclusions that biases what you would have found had you not bothered.

There is obviously a formal definition for such economic terms as depression and recession if you bother to do a little googling, I mean come on.

As far as american way of life we are largely teen girls who are pissed that daddy bought them a bmw for their sweet 16 and not a maserati.

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  #12 (permalink)
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dutchbookmaker View Post
The best way to understand an economic situation is to not fall into the trap of trying to graph the variables on to some other event in the past.
For whatever variable you can find that is the same with the US and japan you can find 100 that are different so why bother.
The only thing you can get out of such analysis is knowingly wrong conclusions that biases what you would have found had you not bothered.

There is obviously a formal definition for such economic terms as depression and recession if you bother to do a little googling, I mean come on.

As far as american way of life we are largely teen girls who are pissed that daddy bought them a bmw for their sweet 16 and not a maserati.

Upon your return , I'm sure you'll have a response....


....."Experts on Japan's lost decade of bad loans, deflation and economic stagnation say there are similarities between that episode of the 1990s and the current economic crisis in the United States.
At a seminar at the International Monetary Fund in Washington,
Takeo Hoshi of the University of California (San Diego) said the lesson of Japan's 1990s financial crisis is the absolute need to get bad loans out of the banking system.

Japan endured a decade of economic stagnation after a property and stock market bubble burst in 1990. Unsure how to halt falling prices (deflation), Japan's central bank cut interest rates to zero while the government repeatedly boosted spending to stimulate the economy. Nothing succeeded, says Hoshi, until the government removed non-performing loans from the banking system."



Commercial real estate loans drive U.S. bank failures in July

Commercial real estate loans drive U.S. bank failures in July | The Real Deal | New York Real Estate News


CMBS Market Loses Steam as $1.5 Billion Issuance Implodes

http://www.costar.com/News/Article/CMBS-Market-Loses-Steam-as-$15-Billion-Issuance-Implodes/130989


"William Gorin, MFA's President, added, "In the second quarter, Non-Agency MBS generally experienced widespread price weakness which created a buying opportunity. Due to underlying borrower characteristics and certain structural features, our portfolio was less impacted by the overall price movement, declining an average of 3.4 points. We believe that the factors that impacted Non-Agency MBS prices were continued negative housing market news, concerns over continued sales of Maiden Lane II assets (MBS assets formerly owned by AIG and now owned by the Federal Reserve), and overall weak economic data. While housing fundamentals remain weak, we believe that we have appropriately factored this into our cash flow projections and credit reserve estimates. We continue to favor high yielding Non-Agency MBS at discount prices, as we believe the value of these assets will be positively impacted over time as the existing private label MBS universe continues to decline in size due to prepayments, defaults and limited issuance.""

MFA Financial, Inc. Announces Second Quarter 2011 Financial Results - MarketWatch


....."After receding in May and June, the delinquency rate for securitized loans 30 days or more past due or in foreclosure climbed 51 basis points in July to reach 9.88%, according to New York-based Trepp LLC. Itís the highest delinquency rate in the history of the CMBS market."

CMBS Delinquencies Rise to Record High in July, But With a Caveat

They better come up with something soon (if possible) or 2008 will look like a walk in the park .


....................................................


If you ask 100 different economists to define the terms recession and depression, you would get at least 100 different answers

Recession? Depression? What's the difference between a recession and a depression?
...................................................

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