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The Italian Job


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The Italian Job

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  #1 (permalink)
 redratsal 
Milan (I)
 
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  #3 (permalink)
 gulabv 
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Awesome job redratsal! Can't wait for part II !!

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  #4 (permalink)
 Big Mike 
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Nice job

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  #5 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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  #6 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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  #7 (permalink)
 Big Mike 
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I saw where you mentioned your max stop loss and scaling in, but I did not see where you talked about your profit targets. ?

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  #8 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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Big Mike View Post
I saw where you mentioned your max stop loss and scaling in, but I did not see where you talked about your profit targets. ?

Mike

The default Target (set by ATM) is 30 ticks, nevertheless profit targets are not fixed, I set them once I have entered the trade and move them according to PA and S/R levels. I will comment with screen shots each and every trade, it will be easier to understand my target setup.

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  #9 (permalink)
 bluemele 
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Wow, a lot of time spent on those videos!

Someone wants an prize! Good for you and a great amount of detail!

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  #10 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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My trades in the last 90 minutes:




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  #11 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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I live in Europe and l like to trade CL and 6E during the UK session, the markets are often less volatile if compared to the US session. Quite often I reached my daily targets before the US starts. My daily targets are not based on fixed values but rather on my mind set, generally I do not have more than 5 daily trades.

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 bluemele 
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redratsal View Post
I live in Europe and l like to trade CL and 6E during the UK session, the markets are often less volatile if compared to the US session. Quite often I reached my daily targets before the US starts. My daily targets are not based on fixed values but rather on my mind set, generally I do not have more than 5 daily trades.

What are you risking per reward?

5,000 USD for how much USD profit?

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  #13 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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bluemele View Post
What are you risking per reward?

5,000 USD for how much USD profit?


My approach is analyzed trade by trade, the R/R might change from time to time, I do not use it. Scaling in might be very dangerous therefore I decided to set a 5000 USD Management stop loss based on my MAE and my recovery time. I do not want to show data based on my backtests but rather comment from time to time my daily trades.

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  #14 (permalink)
 bluemele 
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redratsal View Post
My approach is analyzed trade by trade, the R/R might change from time to time, I do not use it. Scaling in might be very dangerous therefore I decided to set a 5000 USD Management stop loss based on my MAE and my recovery time. I do not want to show data based on my backtests but rather comment from time to time my daily trades.

Ok, this is quite different, so where is the maximum loss you would sustain, or there is none? You would just 'feel it' etc..?

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  #15 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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bluemele View Post
Ok, this is quite different, so where is the maximum loss you would sustain, or there is none? You would just 'feel it' etc..?

5000 USD as mentioned in video 3

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  #16 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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With concern to Vwap Bands there is a debate on the forum, please refer to this thread . Some Vwap indies are plotting the bands correctly and some others are not. I have been talking with Fat Tails and his indicator together with the hvwap are plotting correct Standard Deviations. I am posting my vwap, which apparently is not always plotting correct bands. Having always tested my results with this vwap I will not change it.

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 BCNTrader 
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Very interesting, we both start the day trading the UK session (I trade 6E and 6B) and we both use VWAP.

I'm looking forward to see how you trade it, because I see price bouncing from the VWAP lots of times, if we start the day with a rising VWAP any cross below seems an opportunity to buy (not blindly waiting for signals, etc). I think that the VWAP is the only indicator that I added to my charts without "other people beliefs" to see by myself how price reacts to it. The only thing I added to it was the slope color you told me on my journal, it's really helpful. I tend to see it like "50% fibs", I like to take profits on it but I can't enter a trade just because "a 50% fib". Looking forward to see more setups, thanks for sharing it.:bmt:

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 redratsal 
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In this trade target was originally set below TL1 but the price never reached the target. Theoretical profit +227 USD


The price went down and I scaled in 4 contracts, new Target was moved according to LH and LL and the new TL2. The trade was closed below TL2 with +583 USD


That was my last trade for the day.



Note:

Gom CD was showing a low volume activity

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 redratsal 
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on 6E 60 min chart we are on a 2 days range




if price stays within the range we have good opportunities



Warning: If the price should go below the lower range at 1.4360 we have a possible 100 pips jump until the next support

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  #20 (permalink)
 redratsal 
Milan (I)
 
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CL on the 60 Min broke the lower range and dropped for more than 200 pips. There are + 100 pips between the range and the next support. Hazardous to scale in under these conditions; if I am in a trade I get out as soon as possible.


Breakout and churn bars on the better volume are persistent

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 Big Mike 
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Tip


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futures.io (formerly BMT) members will vote for the winner at the end of June.

Thanks for participating, @redratsal!




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  #22 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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No trades today, in Italy we are celebrating the Republic Day and I will probably be out for this long weekend. I will start posting again on Monday.

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 Big Mike 
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redratsal View Post
No trades today, in Italy we are celebrating the Republic Day and I will probably be out for this long weekend. I will start posting again on Monday.

Enjoy your mini



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  #24 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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Family is still sleeping I just wanted to post a trade I did early morning


I will enjoy my long weekend and post back on monday

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 BCNTrader 
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Well done! I have the same VWAP indicator and I added the SD2s lines but in a light color, to not interfere in my trading decisions. I saw it bounce two times and I thought, if @redratsal were trading it he would have made money haha. Have a nice weekend!!!

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 bluemele 
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@redratsal,

I am confused that you risk 500 ticks for a trade (not really risking it all I guess) and then limit trades to buy-down/sell-up to increase the likelyhood of profit.

But, like today, you have a 15 tick target and what happens if it shoots down 80 ticks quickly (which I have seen it do)? Do you reverse like you mentioned, and if so, what if you reverse right where it turns again, and again and again, and then consolidates etc..

I guess I am trying to understand your money management a bit better and how that has worked out for you. I have spent many months trying different concepts and curious on your thoughts.

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 redratsal 
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bluemele View Post
@redratsal,

I am confused that you risk 500 ticks for a trade (not really risking it all I guess) and then limit trades to buy-down/sell-up to increase the likelyhood of profit.

But, like today, you have a 15 tick target and what happens if it shoots down 80 ticks quickly (which I have seen it do)? Do you reverse like you mentioned, and if so, what if you reverse right where it turns again, and again and again, and then consolidates etc..

I guess I am trying to understand your money management a bit better and how that has worked out for you. I have spent many months trying different concepts and curious on your thoughts.

Your questions are legitimate; my method is based on past results which are more than acceptable from what I need. I am not risking 500 ticks on every trade, Price Action is determing the exit point. As you will discover with my daily results this method is giving a very high percentage of winning trades (yesterday I did just one trade because I was on Holiday; I wanted to honor my daily posting on the thread). The problem having a high daily success of trades is not accepting a loss and if the market turns strongly against you and you keep scaling in it can lead to very bad consequences for your bank account, hence the stop limit management. The real problem with this method is not how to make money but rather how to keep it


I do reverse if the market is strongly against me, I look forward to show an example, the best for me is to avoid the trade, with all the instruments I have available. Assuming that the market is much less in a trend than in a range day that is where I am digging my trades. The method is based on countertrends, you can apply it to breakouts as well, but this is another thread

With only 5 trades it is difficult to understand a method that is why I will post for the next 60 days and have a brainstorming with the forum.

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 redratsal 
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Yesterday I did not trade, I was on Holiday but I noticed a short exhaustion on 6E. In the chart below you will notice that there is a strong decrease of Volume Delta Value which is not bringing the price down as expected but rather bringing it up. I assume the longs are closing their positions but there are no shorts interested and new longs are coming in bringing the price to HHs . That is a typical situation where I don't want to be in for a countertrend setup, if it's the case, I get out asap and try to limit my loss.




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  #29 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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Just wanted to thank all the members who viewed and thanked this thread, this is a trailer of the 2003 remake movie, the original was made in 1969

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 redratsal 
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Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is exactly what it sounds like: the average price weighted by volume. VWAP equals the dollar value of all trading periods divided by the total trading volume for the current day. Calculation starts when trading opens and ends when trading closes. Because it is good for the current trading day only, intraday periods and data are used in the calculation.

The VWAP is calculated using the following formula:


where:
PVWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price
Pj = price of trade j
Qj = quantity of trade j
j = each individual trade that takes place over the defined period of time, excluding cross trades and basket cross trades.


Vwap is used to identify liquidity points. As a volume-weighted price measure, VWAP reflects price levels weighted by volume. This can help institutions with large orders. The idea is not to disrupt the market when entering large buy or sell orders. VWAP helps these institutions determine the liquid and illiquid price points for a specific security over a very short time period.

VWAP can also be used to measure trading efficiency. After buying or selling a security, institutions or individuals can compare their price to VWAP values. A buy order executed below the VWAP value would be considered a good fill because the security was bought at a below average price. Conversely, a sell order executed above the VWAP would be deemed a good fill because it was sold at an above average price.

Some intraday examples:








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  #31 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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This is a trade over 6E, entry, as usual, is on the upper Vwap 2SD. The target normally would have been above the VWAP, I noticed a Long Exhaustion on the GOM CD, although Delta value was going up price was not moving accordingly. I wanted to wait and see if PA could pierce the VWAP and turn the slope into negative, as it effectively did. First trade of the day +312 USD

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  #32 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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This one is with CL, took 8 contracts and 3 hours of trade +906 USD




I don't know if I'll continue trading, my stomach is burning (probably the culinary weekend), and my Heart Beat measurements ( ) are telling me to stop.

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 trendisyourfriend 
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redratsal View Post
This one is with CL, took 8 contracts and 3 hours of trade +906 USD

redratsal, as the image is difficult to read could you confirm that you went long at different places as price went down (averaging up) ? is that correct ?

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 redratsal 
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redratsal, as the image is difficult to read could you confirm that you went long at different places as price went down (averaging up) ? is that correct ?


Yes, That is correct except I was averaging down, in this particular case, starting from left to right Blue arrows are long entries and magenta is the all out exit.

How to rec trades with NT

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 redratsal 
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Tip
All my charts are timed CET (GMT+2) therefore you'll need to deduct 6 hours to get NYSE


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 redratsal 
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This 1 contract trade on 6E is done after the opening of the floor session. My gomcd is set to reinit session true therefore the delta value is set to 0, allowing me to understand how the new partecipants of the session are interacting with the past. The better volume on the 5 min chart is helping me spot a breakout. +188 USD


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 redratsal 
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Find attached the daily report, since NT is calculating profit on each single trade, the percentage profitable is not properly displayed as my trades are aggregated by multiple contracts (scale in) with an average price and a unique price out. Having used 1 contract for the 1st trade, 8 contracts for the 2nd, and 1 contract for the 3rd the total trades should be 3 and not 10 as reported.


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 redratsal 
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I use Better Volume in my 5 min charts to identify low volume, churn, climax and B/O bars. As this indicator is not always reliable, the bars can assume a different meaning according to PA (see file attached), I use the generated patterns as a second thought to reinforce my assumtions on price action or to anticipate its moves. For example if I am already in a trade and I see a churn and climax bar against my trade it helps to prepare me for a temporary move against my trade or vice versa. These thoughts do not apply at the opening of each session, as the market is particularly active and it is recurrent to see climax or churn bars.

Find attached a tutorial of Better Volumel from the OP




Attached Thumbnails
The Italian Job-better_volume_indicator.pdf  
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 redratsal 
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Time might play against me, if I am in a trade more than 2 hours with PA going clearly in one direction and against me I need to revise my profit target and try to get out as soon as there is an opportunity (there might not be another chance). There are a lot of opportunities in the market, especially with this kind of setup, I don't need to focus too much on the same trade. I don't analyze the single trade in terms of Risk/Reward but rather as a piece of my daily puzzle, if I use 8 or 1 contracts my only objective is to close in profit, PA will determine the size of it.

It is also important that I get distracted, I don't want to keep staring at my charts, once I set my targets, stops, and limit orders I can take care of other things and come back occasionally on my trade.


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 redratsal 
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This is my 2 in 1 trade over 6E. I call it Stop n Go; the purpose is to raise the avegare price, in this case closing the trade 1 and buying at a higher price. I closed the 1st trade with a loss of 175 USD because I didn't like PA, especially for the 2 spikes on GomCD, 6E was clearly on a trend and I didn't want to risk more than I already did. I traced the TL and I thought to myself that if the price would go up I could re enter (with the same contracts as I left the trade 1) thus increasing the odds for a better 2nd trade. From a conceptual point of view it is like pausing the first trade and restarting the strategy with better conditions.

I do not reccomend Stop n Go's, but I have to explain my trades and this one was a perfect example.


Price after Trade 2 continued to rally up

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 redratsal 
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As John Bollinger thaught us, 6E got out of the squeeze and price is running on the upper band with a nice expantion, not wise to trade countertrends under these circumstances (same applies for CL), at least during the UK session, we'll see what the US have to say about it.


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 trendisyourfriend 
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redratsal,

I must admit your strategy is different than a majority of the systems we see on futures.io (formerly BMT) where most systems try to surf with the trend. I would be afraid to have large drawdowns but again this is my first impression as i never used such a responsive system. Basically, you are using a progression to win each battle. I have always heard that such a system is dangerous but i suppose it depends on the pilot. Good job.

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 redratsal 
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trendisyourfriend View Post
redratsal,

I must admit your strategy is different than a majority of the systems we see on futures.io (formerly BMT) where most systems try to surf with the trend. I would be afraid to have large drawdowns but again this is my first impression as i never used such a responsive system. Basically, you are using a progression to win each battle. I have always heard that such a system is dangerous but i suppose it depends on the pilot. Good job.

Thank you TIYF I really appreciate your comments, you can adapt the strategy to trend following or Break Outs it is just a question of PA, from my point of view the management of the trade is 10 times more important than the entry point. I don't want to mix up things but I will discuss variations of the theme later.

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 redratsal 
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This is a trade on CL with 1 contract + 316 USD


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 trendisyourfriend 
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Thank you TIYF I really appreciate your comments, you can adapt the strategy to trend following or Break Outs it is just a question of PA, from my point of view the management of the trade is 10 times more important than the entry point. I don't want to mix up things but I will discuss variations of the theme later.

You are right about the management part unless you use a fixed target and stop but in this latter case you would need to be more accurate with the entry. When you start a new campaing so to speak against the trend and you open new positions as the trend develops, at which point would you consider throwing in the towel if the trend gets stronger. Can you identify the signs that would help you identify early on the potential of a big failure ?

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 redratsal 
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You are right about the management part unless you use a fixed target and stop but in this latter case you would need to be more accurate with the entry. When you start a new campaing so to speak against the trend and you open new positions as the trend develops, at which point would you consider throwing in the towel if the trend gets stronger. Can you identify the signs that would help you identify early on the potential of a big failure ?


Post #39, partially answers the issue, time and PA are the factors, also if no retracements and increasing LL's and
LH's are showing up, in the specific case it was UK session which has a different volatility if compared to US. There is also a reverse possibility, I look forward to illustrate one. I am not so scientific and I don't keep too many statistics, I try to understand and interprete the market in real time and not ex post. I am sure there will be an example, I will be glad to come back on it.

I am very strict with my management stop, at last I will throw the towel when I reached it. It is very easy getting used with winning trades and not accepting a loss. Since I started this thread I haven't had a loosing trade and my results are not bad so far, still I keep in mind that one trade could wipe out all my cumulated profits.

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 redratsal 
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That was my last trade of the day, CL +678 USD




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 redratsal 
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As the Better Volume #38, Pattern's on candles can help locate a change of direction, they are not always reliable, I use the generated patterns as a second thought to reinforce my assumptions on price action or to anticipate its moves.


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 redratsal 
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I realize my method is unconventional and might raise some questions; many points, like scaling in or going against the trend, are basic “no go” rules that we all read about. Quite often, I have been a contrarian and I never took for granted what I was told not to do. Just because an issue had a bad impact on somebody’s trading doesn’t mean it can’t be exploited.

Trading somebody’s else method is very difficult and aleatory, once you think you managed it you get rejected by the market and need to start all over again. Old trading books and manuals are still true today, yet there is much to be explored about trading. I like to get and test it my way and I never take something as gospel , wheter this comes from a guru or an amatorial trader. I’ll never stop learning, places like futures.io (formerly BMT) help me to enrich my know how and keep me updated but as far as my trading is concerned, the final word is always mine.

It is a long and winding road, besides the Challenge, which is the really funny part, the Italian job is an experiment and wants to explore something unconventional and definitely different, I think this is part of the spirit Mike intended for BM Challenge II.

Back to trading....

This is my first trade of the Day +225 USD


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 redratsal 
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This 2 contracts trade is over 6E, the PA has been bouncing from the upper Vwap 2sd and lower one, in the 60 min chart PA bounced from the Support at 1.4630 without touching it, below that line a dangerous jump of 130 pips (in this case I would have reconsidered my targets). The reversal up bar on the 5 min chart, after I entered the 1 contract, anticipated the up leg. Target below the next R (6 Range Chart) +325 USD



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 redratsal 
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In order to reduce risk I never enter 2 trades contemporary with different instruments, in this case I was in with 6E and a Volume allarm was playing on my 5 min CL chart. The alert was repeated for 4 bars, it is to me a clear sign to stay out for counter trends. If I was in the trade I would have probably reversed, CL did 200 pips in less than 40 minutes.




The trade with 6E, 5 contracts, was closed with +856USD


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 redratsal 
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 redratsal 
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This is the Total of the day +1512 USD


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 redegenerated 
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good job!!! very good results...

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 redratsal 
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Today was my 5th day of trading my cum profit is over 5000 USD which is also my money management stop. Assuming, the method keeps such performance, with the actual stats, it would take 5 days to recover my first management stop. This is of course a worse case scenario, the target is to cumulate more profit and build a confort zone.

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 redratsal 
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good job!!! very good results...

Grazie Mille

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 redratsal 
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Today is rollover for the 6E, I will probably focus on CL and keep watching june vs sept volumes on 6E until the switch takes place.

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 redratsal 
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Tip
NT offers several merging methods, all my instruments are MergeBackAdjusted, a wrong adjustement could distort some indicators' outputs. For a better and detailed understanding on the subject please refer to this thread post # 3


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 redratsal 
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First trade of the day with CL +225 USD

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 redratsal 
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Second trade on CL with 2 contracts +572 USD

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 BCNTrader 
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Instead of thanks there must be a button to say "I'm amazed" haha... Congrats, you're very consistent

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 redratsal 
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My Third trade on CL +288 USD


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 redratsal 
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I did not want to trade the 6E today, and the up n down spikes on the 5 minutes charts, were reinforcing this thought, I looked at the 60 min chart and the only trade I wanted to take was on the Support line of the 60 min chart at 1.45. It took some time and 3 contracts for the pullback; the trade was closed with +450 USD




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 trendisyourfriend 
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Redratsal,

I was monitoring the 6E this morning too and had identified a few important key levels. My assumption was that price could go as low as the Value area Low for the week at 1,4490 and that the next level that would be defended by buyers was at 1,4475. 1,4475 is the starting level where initiative buying took place a few days ago.

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 redratsal 
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trendisyourfriend View Post
Redratsal,

I was monitoring the 6E this morning too and had identified a few important key levels. My assumption was that price could go as low as the Value area Low for the week at 1,4490 and that the next level that would be defended by buyers was at 1,4475. 1,4475 is the starting level where initiative buying took place a few days ago.

Thanks for your sharp assumption, happy that with different models we came to similar conclusions


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 redratsal 
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That was the last trade of the Day CL with 2 contracts +498 USD



Total of the day +2000 USD


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 trendisyourfriend 
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redratsal View Post
Thanks for your sharp assumption, happy that with different models we came to similar conclusions

redratsal,

The reason why i posted a chart with horizontal volume nodes was to show less risky areas to place some of your entries. You are probably a more agressive trader than i judging from your trades. I don't expect it will change your perspective but we never know it can speak volume for someone else .

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 BCNTrader 
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redratsal View Post
Thanks for your sharp assumption, happy that with different models we came to similar conclusions


A trading colleague told me about this 60min chart as a Head and Shoulders pattern that were forming (at 4am EST) but I had no balls to short it with Trichet speaking.

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 redratsal 
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BCNTrader View Post
A trading colleague told me about this 60min chart as a Head and Shoulders pattern that were forming (at 4am EST) but I had no balls to short it with Trichet speaking.

It was indeed a nice pattern, i prefer to wait for pullbacks from such down legs because i know the move already happened and i am acting accordingly. Unfortunately patterns are not always reliable but this one was a good call.

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 redratsal 
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 redegenerated 
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good morning
i just see an empty post...is it correct?

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 redratsal 
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redegenerated View Post
good morning
i just see an empty post...is it correct?

Good morning redegenerated thanks for the reminder, I think now the problem is fixed

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 redratsal 
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My first trade of the Day with 4 contracts on CL. It was a long one, the target originally was fixed below Vwap, when the GOMCD turned above zero I decided to wait for the market to pierce the Vwap but it rejected it 3 times as a Resistance. On the 4th attempt I realized it was still my first trade of the day and decided to close the trade on the Vwap +463 USD


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 redratsal 
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Trading Sim or Trading live might have a completely different impact on the outputs. It is important that what has been learned in Sim must be replicated with a real account. These are my trades with the same method applied to a live account (confidential parts have been removed)


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 redratsal 
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I will be absent Monday, I will post again on Tuesday.

Have a nice weekend

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 Big Mike 
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Have a nice weekend



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  #77 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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It's hard to catch up when you had a long weekend, I have 1000 unread posts on futures.io (formerly BMT). I think taking a break from time to time is good for my trading, although I really enjoy this activity sometimes I feel like I have to change the daily routine, I think it helps focus on other priorities and at the same time it helps my trading biorhythm.

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 redratsal 
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I don't see particular levels on CL and 6E today , I will take any entry signal, critical areas could be:

CL: 95.55 and 99.38
6E: 1.4307 and 1.4516


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 redratsal 
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My first trade of the day with 2 CL contracts, target on the TL and R, although there is a reversal up doji on the 5 min I did not want to move the target under the vwap, it was my first trade and it was important for my mood to start well the journey. + 371 USD


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 redratsal 
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With regards to my last trade, sometimes it is fascinating how the market behaves in an ordered way


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 redratsal 
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This is my 2nd CL trade with 3 contracts, I didn't want to risk too much as the buyers are pretty strong (gomcd), target on the TL. +408 USD



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 redratsal 
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That was my 3rd and last of the day 6E trade with 2 contracts, target on the TL + 300 USD




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 redratsal 
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These are today's levels:

CL 98 - 99.67
6E 1.4308-1.4437



Today is also CL inventories

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 redratsal 
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This is my first trade of the day, long with 5 CL contracts. In this trade there was a clear unbalance between buyers and sellers; looking at the chart it took 1500 delta values to make a down leg of around 75 pips, whereas it took the same delta value to make 25 pips on the up leg with a 1:3 ratio move in favor of sellers. I decided to close the trade near the TL with a loss of -362 USD.



Below the PA 10 minutes later with Price going down 20 pips away from my closing price ( the MAE would have been 1250 USD higher). I will not make a stop n go, I'd rather wait for another opportunity.

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 redratsal 
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I have checked my vwap with Fat Tails' newest version and they are matching perfectly on 6E and CL




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 redratsal 
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Like I mentioned in post #83, 1.4308 was an important support level for the 6E, the market went below and started a down trend. The next support level (see image attached) was 100 pips below at 1.4208



The rule would have been not to trade, but the purpose of a method is also to show bad trades and how to reduce the risk with the trade management. I took a trade at around 11.00 am CET and scaled up to 5 contracts. I decided to stop the scaling at 5 contracts, I wanted to see if the market would test the 1.4208 and I needed my stop management below this level.



The market retraced but not enough, as the down trend was pretty strong and I have been in the trade for 4 hours I decided to avoid a stop management at 5000 USD and I closed the trade at 1.4245 with a loss -1500 USD



Like I mentioned in post #27, the real problem with this method is not how to make money but rather how to keep it. Since the cumulated profit (from june 1st) is over 8000 USD and today I avoided for 2 times a stop management I am still confident that there will be other chances to recover this loss.

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 redratsal 
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This was my last trade of the day with 1 CL contract +USD 300




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 redratsal 
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redratsal View Post
Like I mentioned in post #83, 1.4308 was an important support level for the 6E, the market went below and started a down trend. The next support level (see image attached) was 100 pips below at 1.4208



The rule would have been not to trade, but the purpose of a method is also to show bad trades and how to reduce the risk with the trade management. I took a trade at around 11.00 am CET and scaled up to 5 contracts. I decided to stop the scaling at 5 contracts, I wanted to see if the market would test the 1.4208 and I needed my stop management below this level.



The market retraced but not enough, as the down trend was pretty strong and I have been in the trade for 4 hours I decided to avoid a stop management at 5000 USD and I closed the trade at 1.4245 with a loss -1500 USD



Like I mentioned in post #27, the real problem with this method is not how to make money but rather how to keep it. Since the cumulated profit (from june 1st) is over 8000 USD and today I avoided for 2 times a stop management I am still confident that there will be other chances to recover this loss.


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 redratsal 
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First trade of the day, 6E 1 contract, target below the 12R TL +425 USD

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 redratsal 
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My 2nd trade with CL 2 contracts, Target below vwap +521 USD

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 redratsal 
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My third trade with CL 1 contract, target below Vwap + 236 USD


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 Big Mike 
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Excellent job so far, thanks for sharing

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 Big Mike 
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redratsal View Post
It's hard to catch up when you had a long weekend, I have 1000 unread posts on futures.io (formerly BMT). I think taking a break from time to time is good for my trading, although I really enjoy this activity sometimes I feel like I have to change the daily routine, I think it helps focus on other priorities and at the same time it helps my trading biorhythm.

My motto: I'll rest when I'm dead.





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 redratsal 
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This is a short trade on CL with 2 contracts, original target was on vwap but I closed it at break even because I was in a rush for an appointment; 30 seconds later the market started going down and I missed a 600 USD target.


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 trendisyourfriend 
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Big Mike View Post
Excellent job so far, thanks for sharing

Mike

I agree with BigMike. I am really impressed by your trade management and your consistency. At the beginning i had some doubts as your MM looks more like a gambling progression (a type of Martingale) but nonetheless it is interesting to follow your thread. It gives me some ideas.

I am still wondering when you start a new campaign of trades, why don't you wait for the candle to turn red instead of entering exactly at the 2 SD from the VWAP ? Maybe it would lower your risk a bit, no ?

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  #96 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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I am still wondering when you start a new campaign of trades, why don't you wait for the candle to turn red instead of entering exactly at the 2 SD from the VWAP ? Maybe it would lower your risk a bit, no ?

I use the 5 minutes chart for my entry signal and to wait for the red candle might be a loss of momentum especially if I go for a 15/20 ticks target. I am sure the method can be improved but I am satisfied with the actual results and I did not test, with consistent data, alternative solutions.

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 trendisyourfriend 
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I use the 5 minutes chart for my entry signal and to wait for the red candle might be a loss of momentum especially if I go for a 15/20 ticks target. I am sure the method can be improved but I am satisfied with the actual results and I did not test, with consistent data, alternative solutions.

In all of your examples your entries seem to be defined on the range chart. What's your signal on the 5 min ? Don't you place a limit order at the 2nd SD and the other entries at +/- 10 ticks accordingly ?

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  #98 (permalink)
 redratsal 
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In all of your examples your entries seem to be defined on the range chart. What's your signal on the 5 min ? Don't you place a limit order at the 2nd SD and the other entries at +/- 10 ticks accordingly ?

Vwap and its standard deviations are on the 5 minutes charts, normally I include it in the left corner (picture in picture) of my trades. Trades are managed with 6R, 12R

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 redratsal 
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In all of your examples your entries seem to be defined on the range chart. What's your signal on the 5 min ? Don't you place a limit order at the 2nd SD and the other entries at +/- 10 ticks accordingly ?

I will put my rules in the quick summary together with a daily cumulated profit and loss balance

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 redratsal 
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No more trades for today



I have updated the quick summary

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