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TA works really?
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Created: by alchemist74 Attachments:3

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TA works really?

  #11 (permalink)
Elite Member
Sofia, Bulgaria
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB,TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: Options,ES,6E,ZB,SPX,RUT,CL
 
Posts: 47 since Jul 2010
Thanks: 6 given, 42 received

OK TA works, but how can it be explained that TA works on turn upside down charts? Or the fact that you can find the same PA/TA patterns in charts as solar activity or medical charts, etc.

And again i still use TA/PA but last 1-2 yrs i trying to find/understood how to trade only with statistical models.

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  #12 (permalink)
Elite Member
Sofia, Bulgaria
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
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This are my trades today based only on volatility statistical model - my own model.

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  #13 (permalink)
Elite Member
Berlin, Europe
 
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Fat Tails's Avatar
 
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alchemist74 View Post
This are my trades today based only on volatility statistical model - my own model.

Looks interesting, what is the base of your model?

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  #14 (permalink)
Elite Member
Sofia, Bulgaria
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB,TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: Options,ES,6E,ZB,SPX,RUT,CL
 
Posts: 47 since Jul 2010
Thanks: 6 given, 42 received

I will post it here when i finish it. It is based on extremes on volatility + basic trend setup +MM + ... It produce trend and counter trend signals, as usual best are with trend . Need Exit strategy too but based on statistical model not on other things.
When i finish it i will post code here, i promise ! Need to understood a bit more about how market behave on low and high volatility and how probablility works.

Sorry for my bad English

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  #15 (permalink)
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Houston,Tx
 
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I'm not an educated man like others on here ... so I don't get into a lot of these deep intellectual ... what is the secret to the key of life trading discussions... it makes my head hurt.

My philosophy is simple... if it's still raining ... and the Mississippi River is already at flood stage ... I think there's a good chance of overflowing the levies... regardless of what the statistical analysis the Army Corp of Engineers put together says ...

I'm just a simple man trading a simple plan.

My daddy always said, "Every day above ground is a good day!"
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