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The expected move in TOS will be a basic calculation. I have seen this covered multiple times before on the likes of Tasty Trade from the God father himself( Tom Sosnoff).
The reason for the discrepancy will be due to a different calculation method or a different expiration date.
The analyze tab is likely using:
Stock price x IV/ 100 x √ days to expiration/ 365) to calculate a 1STD move.
The expected move (1.733), could be calculated using a different estimation method: eg
(ATM call price + ATM Put price)x 1.25( usually 0.85-1.25 is used here)
^This is arbitrary. I think TOS originally used 0.85 for the expected move, and 1.25 for the 1STD move.
*The other explanation could be that the expected move 1.733 is based on the expiration date when the analysis tab could be from now to the end of the week etc
I don't use TOS, but this should be easy to get to the bottom of.
"Free markets work because they allow people to be lucky, thanks to aggressive trial and error, not by giving rewards or incentives for skill. The strategy is, then, to tinker as much as possible and try to collect as many Black Swan opportunities as you can"
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
