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Search: Posts Made By: CobblersAwls
Forum: Options February 6th, 2018, 01:13 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
A great article by Epsilon theory on how smart...

A great article by Epsilon theory on how smart people in finance sometimes over-engineer things and create monsters:

Too Clever By Half - Epsilon Theory...
Forum: Options December 27th, 2017, 08:36 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
This is a really interesting piece! I mainly read...

This is a really interesting piece! I mainly read it as a way to try and figure out wtf was going on in that chart, but they explain the concept really well and actually it's come at an interesting...
Forum: Options June 6th, 2017, 07:17 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
You make some good points in this post and the...

You make some good points in this post and the two following it, but you are also plucking numbers out of thin air. Since when did Ron trade 1k contracts? I believe the point was made that there was...
Forum: Options June 6th, 2017, 02:07 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
You can say this about anything in finance....

You can say this about anything in finance. Eventually systems stop working or take heavy drawdowns. Over the last 8 years selling vol has been extremely profitable - but what if this strat continues...
Forum: Options May 5th, 2017, 01:54 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Would there ever be times when you bought vol,...

Would there ever be times when you bought vol, for example if we fell even further to say a point where we'd only been lower 1% of trading days? Or would you just stop selling vol below a certain...
Forum: Options July 8th, 2016, 06:51 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
This would only work in a trend breakout. During...

This would only work in a trend breakout. During range-bound markets (most common mode) you would constantly be getting stopped in/out of positions and would end up losing money on commissions and...
Forum: Options June 28th, 2016, 12:53 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Brilliant

Great read Ron.

Although I don't trade options I've followed this thread for a while now. This is amazing information you're providing!
Forum: Options January 9th, 2016, 04:40 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
But doesn't a rise in yields and strength in USD...

But doesn't a rise in yields and strength in USD typically lead to a decline in stock values? This all seems completely normal to me as participants wean themselves off the stimulant that was QE and...
Forum: Options August 27th, 2015, 04:30 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Hi, I have a few Q's regarding your points: ...

Hi, I have a few Q's regarding your points:



Wouldn't you lose a lot of money over the last 6/7 years prior to the recent events though? It seems to me that as we have risen out from the 08...
Forum: Options August 24th, 2015, 05:08 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
I understand this is a painful period and many...

I understand this is a painful period and many will be reeling from the losses. This is a rare market event but essential why you are able to sell put options for decent premium in the first place....
Forum: Options August 21st, 2015, 12:45 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Extremely unfortunate, but I suppose if you need...

Extremely unfortunate, but I suppose if you need a silver lining, if you stick to the probabilities game - which options is technically all about - then at least you should have an increased positive...
Forum: Options August 18th, 2015, 10:17 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
I disagree. I would say that people are finally...

I disagree. I would say that people are finally coming to terms with it, but that even still there are doubts we will see a rate rise in september. The first initial rate move itself will bring a...
Forum: Options August 14th, 2015, 08:46 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Thanks for sharing and in an honest manner rsm,...

Thanks for sharing and in an honest manner rsm, often it isn't the best trades that teach people the most but the most difficult ones. There are many beginners in options here including myself who...
Forum: Options August 14th, 2015, 03:09 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
This is very interesting. Would you say that,...

This is very interesting. Would you say that, although there is not much difference in profitability, the fact you were able to hold trades for around 6 days less using the 40% rate makes it less...
Forum: Options August 12th, 2015, 10:37 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Very interesting, I was wondering how often...

Very interesting, I was wondering how often options traders checked on their positions. When trading outrights you'll mainly be stuck to the screen whilst you have positions on, whereas I was...
Forum: Options August 12th, 2015, 07:38 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Hey Ron, From my understanding with stock...

Hey Ron,

From my understanding with stock options, there are different risks to consider such as dividend payments and potential stock splits. I will look into the ROI differentials but have not...
Forum: Options August 11th, 2015, 12:10 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Dear ron99 and others with experience, I was...

Dear ron99 and others with experience,

I was wondering, do you ever take a 'directional bias' when writing options? I have been toying with TOS and took the following trades in order to test out...
Forum: Options July 29th, 2015, 08:16 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Well said. Since asking the Q's I have gone back...

Well said. Since asking the Q's I have gone back to re-read the entire word document from the Summary section as it nicely compiles all the key points. I have found a lot of answers to most of my Q's...
Forum: Options July 27th, 2015, 10:26 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Hi Ron, I think I found my error. I was...

Hi Ron,

I think I found my error. I was looking at the Premium (red box) on BBG and thinking I had to then multiply that by the contract size. It looks like that is the $ amount I would receive...
Forum: Options July 27th, 2015, 08:48 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Yes, I don't plan to trade products I know...

Yes, I don't plan to trade products I know nothing about - hence the abundance of Qs.
Forum: Options July 27th, 2015, 07:57 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Another Q

I also have a Q regarding Buying and Selling Options in the same contract in the same month at different strikes. For example - looking on Bloomberg I have the following which I think looks good:
...
Forum: Options July 27th, 2015, 05:17 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
IM

Hi,

I've opened a sim account with TOS to try out some different strategies and get familiar with options as I've only ever really traded OTC/Futs products. I'm having trouble figuring out how to...
Forum: Options May 15th, 2015, 01:06 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Haha, as simple as that I see! Thanks very much....

Haha, as simple as that I see! Thanks very much. I think I have muddled up some concepts here.

Cheers,

Awls
Forum: Options May 15th, 2015, 08:57 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Cracking thread ron99 and others. Currently...

Cracking thread ron99 and others. Currently reading through the lot trying to learn more about options as part of my general learning. Still quite ignorant, but would like some help on something.
...
Forum: Options May 12th, 2015, 01:12 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,026,305
Posted By CobblersAwls
Excellent, thanks. That makes things a lot...

Excellent, thanks. That makes things a lot clearer and I can look to read up in each individual part, ie the goal of selling a strangle. And yes, from the F.I desk although my focus will be energies
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