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Search: Posts Made By: k20a
Forum: Options January 24th, 2016, 09:55 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
What is high volatility though ? People think...

What is high volatility though ? People think volatility is high end of 2007, mid to high 20's VIX. Then came the 30's and it must be very high ? From 20's all the way upto 80's I'm sure people were...
Forum: Options October 17th, 2015, 01:49 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Just an observation, not a criticism of the...

Just an observation, not a criticism of the thread (I found value this thread):

Interesting to observe that interest in this has died down relatively after a bad period (end of Aug) is just like a...
Forum: Options February 2nd, 2015, 09:45 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Sorry I quoted tbs8877's post, - should've added...

Sorry I quoted tbs8877's post, - should've added the word probability. 98% probability OTM and 2 delta are related.
Forum: Options February 2nd, 2015, 08:11 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Wrong expectation to have IMO..2 delta/98% OTM is...

Wrong expectation to have IMO..2 delta/98% OTM is if you hold til expiry no matter what, and does not consider premium at all. You could theoretically be blown up/negative net liquid value during the...
Forum: Options January 30th, 2015, 06:57 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Excellent results, power of compounding..you made...

Excellent results, power of compounding..you made 273k in '14 compared to 366k of previous 6 years. Every year will look better and better !

I also had my best year in terms of low draw downs....
Forum: Options January 28th, 2015, 08:05 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
You are not understanding the meaning of...

You are not understanding the meaning of expectancy, look it up again. There is no expectancy attached with ANY trade. Take a stock of AAPL for example. Buying a share of AAPL has NO expectancy to...
Forum: Options January 28th, 2015, 05:23 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
5 years of this thread and many positive feedback...

5 years of this thread and many positive feedback from many different posters and you are not convinced that its possible that managing this "naked catastrphic risk" can turn it into positive...
Forum: Options December 24th, 2014, 01:48 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Different size, depending on how you position...

Different size, depending on how you position size.

Margin is generally lower (if you dont have portfolio margining) on the futures INITIALLY. When BIG moves occur, futures margins increases much...
Forum: Options October 20th, 2014, 12:38 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Just a dollar amount is pretty irrelevant. What...

Just a dollar amount is pretty irrelevant. What was the percentage on account ?

If your biggest loss in 8 years is only $2700 and I am going to assume "wonderful business of self directed trading"...
Forum: Options October 8th, 2014, 01:00 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Interesting question..George Soros will say it...

Interesting question..George Soros will say it always was and still is fundamental product and Ed Seykota will say it always was and still is a technical product.

Then on the fundamentalist side...
Forum: Options September 10th, 2014, 10:55 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
As above has said, experience is better than...

As above has said, experience is better than backtest but why not do both. You can find free data from since April 1983 till now. I chose a specific OTM strike away from futures price at the specific...
Forum: Options September 2nd, 2014, 11:32 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
If selling a weekly put with delta of 0.25 is a...

If selling a weekly put with delta of 0.25 is a nuclear bomb then perhaps we should be BUYING those nuclear bombs to make explosive $$$ ? It's all in how the trader plays & manages them, don't put...
Forum: Options August 8th, 2014, 04:11 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
ES is liquid yes but I don't trade that as I...

ES is liquid yes but I don't trade that as I already trade SPY/IWM in my equities account. No reason why you can't trade it in addition to other futures if you don't trade SPY.
Forum: Options August 8th, 2014, 11:49 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Very interesting. Yes my statements were for...

Very interesting. Yes my statements were for equities. I have not looked at predicting commodities so it may be there. Still my belief is that all liquid, freely traded markets by world wide...
Forum: Options August 4th, 2014, 01:01 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Keep in mind this is for equities but I think...

Keep in mind this is for equities but I think everything applies to all options except margin.

-Naked strangle, sometimes only one side if other side has crap premium. Verticals I don't like...
Forum: Options August 3rd, 2014, 02:44 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
I think you missed the point of my post..I didn't...

I think you missed the point of my post..I didn't say you use 0.03, I could've used 0.01 or 0.10 doesn't matter results are the same(as long as it's below 0.5). I simply showed that the article does...
Forum: Options August 2nd, 2014, 02:47 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Not on a relative basis. Let's look at 0.03...

Not on a relative basis.

Let's look at 0.03 delta.

SEP will be 104.5 (6.88% away from price) with 13 DTE
OCT will be 109(11.3% away from price) with 46 DTE
NOV will be 112(14.7% away from...
Forum: Options August 2nd, 2014, 11:22 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
That article focuses mostly on PROFIT and leaves...

That article focuses mostly on PROFIT and leaves out a very important RISK, delta. For a extracting max profit goal, selling further away in time is the position to go for. From a risk managing...
Forum: Options July 21st, 2014, 02:25 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
VIX indices and a few of its derivatives are...

VIX indices and a few of its derivatives are Tuesday expiries.
Forum: Options July 20th, 2014, 10:49 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Both are fine, if you're comfortable daytrading...

Both are fine, if you're comfortable daytrading and disciplined with stop no "just an extra 2c more above my stop.." mentality then manual is fine. I like to watch videos with alerts on so I use...
Forum: Options July 19th, 2014, 04:17 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Well as promised, here are some of my recent...

Well as promised, here are some of my recent trades I have done for SPY. With current volatility, they are best used for selling on expiration day. IB uses my timezone for timestamping trades, so...
Forum: Options July 17th, 2014, 10:21 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Yes I agree with you in theory. But in the real...

Yes I agree with you in theory. But in the real world in which we have to trade in - do you still make the same conclusion, after taking into effect having to deal with liquidity/optimal opportunity....
Forum: Options July 17th, 2014, 07:43 AM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Good points kevin, but it assumes a few points I...

Good points kevin, but it assumes a few points I have some concerns with:

- All 10 trades in Diversification being equal only happens on paper theory. I am having trouble finding even 5 liquid...
Forum: Options July 15th, 2014, 02:07 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
I have done and continue to do weekly on SPY &...

I have done and continue to do weekly on SPY & other etf for many years naked. ES essentially equals SPY with portfolio margin, on the surface. But SPY has better liquidity, less commission & most...
Forum: Options July 15th, 2014, 01:37 PM
Replies: 7,370
Views: 2,025,520
Posted By k20a
Hi all, new here. This thread is simply epic. ...

Hi all, new here. This thread is simply epic.

I have been selling options on etfs for a few years and have been testing futures options with small amount for the past few months. I was mainly...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 25

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