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NFLX Netflix

  #31 (permalink)
 
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 Big Mike 
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Source: Bespoke Investment Group - Think BIG - Netflix's (NFLX) RemarkableRun



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  #32 (permalink)
 
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 Cogito ergo sum 
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In response to a previous post mentioning Carl Icahn new position:

Carl Icahn disclosed a 4.52%, or 2,665,557 share, stake in the company. This is down 51.89% from the 5,541,066 shares held at the end of the latest quarter ending June 30, 2013. (Source: Icahn Enterprises L.P. Announces Sale of Netflix Shares - Bloomberg)

Netflix fell 2.3 percent to $315.08 in extended trading yesterday after the filing. The stock dropped 9.2 percent to $322.52 at the close in New York, and has retreated more than 20 percent since the company reported better-than-expected third-quarter results on Oct. 21 and the price jumped to a record $396.98.


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  #33 (permalink)
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Speaking of NFLX, two trades went by the ticker way out of range earlier today. What are some reasons why this can happen (and not just in NFLX)?

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FCC is looking into Netflix's issues with Comcast and Verizon

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Mark Cuban goes long on Netflix

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  #37 (permalink)
 Underexposed 
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Hahahaha...did you see the date on that article Friday, 17 Oct 2014 | 12:15 PM ET... He does not seem to have influenced the price very much.





this announcement was greeted with a short term decline in price for an hour or so. Also did you read the "Weasel words in that announcement????


Quoting 
The investor announced via Twitter Friday that he planned to buy the stock because of its low valuation. Cuban forecast that the company could become a target of a bigger media conglomerate.

.....

Cuban currently owns more than 50,000 shares of the Internet stock and he said his plan is to "never sell it" as he sees unstoppable growth ahead.

That is pumping language.... He has 50,000 shares in the company. I wonder what price he paid for this stock....Is he trying to jack up the price to break even....one wonders.

the latest quarterly report shows in fact that the operating revenue was up from the last quarter...but the expenses Operating, Selling, etc were also up resulting a significant drop in Net Revenue as well as negative guidance.

He already has at least a current investment of 50,000 X $360 = $18 million this is a pretty significant investment. ... and he wants more??? On this boat anchor?? on suspicion some company is going to buy the company out.

Perhaps HBO which rumour has it wants in but does not have the servers system to enter this market might buy in I suppose. But I doubt HBO would takeover the company for its subscribers....they would flow over on their own.

TA





the P&F chart is not too positive...I have drawn in a resistance dotted band...I am not sure how strong that would be if the stock price rose.

There is a reasonably strong diagonal support that crosses the column at $360 and meets a weak horizontal support at $360....that would make $360 a fairly strong support....if that breaks you are looking at $330-$335.... if that breaks there are many many weak supports lower than this.





you can see here a support that does not show up on a P&F chart at $410...the trap door opened and down it went....forget about that weak resistance I talked about earlier....$410 is the strong resistance.

See the Lower Bollie and the share price???? the price is miles below the lower Bollie....There could be a pullback since it has been this way for 2 days....But one wonders if there will be a pullback...or a sideways drift for the next couple of days....hard to say.

I lean to the sideways drift as the Slow Sto/MACD/BBWidth are still VERY bearish...until this resolves itself there is still more falling to be done....Gaps don't automatically fill IMHO...It might pull back to $370 in the next few days but this would not be a sign of good things to come.

the Slow Sto must rise and MACD/BBwidth must reverse direction for that to happen





Mixed messages here....I have never seen the CMF act this way....Price plummets but the CMF soars That would normally be bullish (if the price was rising)...don't know how to evaluate this.....the RSI is ugly and falling in steps. The ADX (black line) is showing a stronger trend the DI+/- is a roaring BEAR...if you were watching this stock the warning signs were there a week earlier when the DI+/- had a bearish cross on Oct 7





I think Ichmoku in Japanese means something like "one glance" and it is aptly named. This is a butt ugly chart...the indicators below are horrible too. There is nothing redeeming here.

Conclusion

This stock is horrible. Does Mark Cuban's pronouncement have much effect on me....NOPES

Listen....Netflix is falling like a stone in water. This media show catches the man's tweet and interviews him.

The man is into the company to the tune of $18million at the current price...more if he bought at a higher price. What is he going to say??? ABANDON SHIP...ALL IS LOST!!! yeah right!

He is just trying to shore up his investment...he MIGHT, COULD (all those weasel words) buy more shares. I wonder if he made his fortune catching falling knives.

there is more bad news to come IMHO

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Last Updated on October 19, 2014


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