NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





Bill's 8 for Dec 2011


Discussion in Stocks and ETFs

Updated
    1. trending_up 7,274 views
    2. thumb_up 8 thanks given
    3. group 1 followers
    1. forum 33 posts
    2. attach_file 29 attachments




 
Search this Thread

Bill's 8 for Dec 2011

  #1 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
Thanks Given: 1,509
Thanks Received: 2,593

This thread is just for fun.

Bill Merriman had 8 stocks he felt would out-perform their peers from 11 Dec 2011 to 11 June 2012

These are:
NVS $55.06
HUM $86.49
NDZ $9.02
PTR $121.95
AIZ $39.41
MRVL $14.13
KMB $69.96
UBS $12.08

(Prices are the opening prices of Monday 12 Dec 2011.)

He screened 2,000 stocks for those with several "planets" in Jupiter on their first trade charts.

I'm going to:
* go through their charts one by one as time permits
* post my thoughts on them
* make buys and sells from a paper $100,000 USD protfolio
and then see how well I can do with them by June.


--------------------------------------------------------------------
Please Note:
There is a thread for wise-acres to make their cracks, jibs, and half-wittisms on astrology.

It is filled with vitrol.
If you are negative and non-constructive then please do not make your posts there. Thanks.

------------------------------------------------
I have made this new thread to be a "safe zone" for like minds to discuss the subject free from ridicule and harassment. I hope you will respect this.

I would really like to find others who are interested in pursuing the potential use of astrology in trading and hope that my make this thread others may feel encouraged to be brave and share there ideas.

If you would like to include numerology, harmonics, or cycle theory especially on a metaphyiscal leaning that would also fit in here. I hope you come forward (or if more cautious perhaps contact me with PM.

Many thanks!

..........
peace, love and joy to you
.........
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
Better Renko Gaps
The Elite Circle
Increase in trading performance by 75%
The Elite Circle
MC PL editor upgrade
MultiCharts
ZombieSqueeze
Platforms and Indicators
NT7 Indicator Script Troubleshooting - Camarilla Pivots
NinjaTrader
 
Best Threads (Most Thanked)
in the last 7 days on NexusFi
Just another trading journal: PA, Wyckoff & Trends
33 thanks
Tao te Trade: way of the WLD
24 thanks
My NQ Trading Journal
14 thanks
HumbleTraders next chapter
11 thanks
GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal
11 thanks
  #3 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
Thanks Given: 1,509
Thanks Received: 2,593


Tuesday 13 Dec 2011

Here's the charts for NDZ.
The charts are 10yrs, 5 yrs, 1 year and from 3 Aug to now.

My observations:
Chart1: Big resistance at $12 - looks very solid and will probably be hard to break through.
Chart2: We're in a congestion area shown be the dotted red box
Chart3: If we can get through the $9.40 level (lower red line) then $10 is resistance.
Chart4: It may (or may not - ha ha) hold at $8.80, If it does and bounces then we could buy.


Conclusion
I'm going to wait a day or two for this. It could hold at $8.80 level or break down. I'd rather pay a little more for it and have a safer buy.


..........
peace, love and joy to you
.........
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
  #4 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
Thanks Given: 1,509
Thanks Received: 2,593

Saturday 10 Dec 2011

Here is Hum's chart.

It looks pretty good. $85.16 would have been the price to buy at. Friday's close:
Humana Inc. (HUM)86.85 1.48 (+1.73%) = Friday, Dec 9th, 2011

Here are the charts:

[IMG]https://nexusfi.com/attachments/57001[/IMG] [IMG]https://nexusfi.com/attachments/57002[/IMG] [IMG]https://nexusfi.com/attachments/57003[/IMG]
So on this stock I would say is a buy on a pullback to just above $86 say $86.03

..........
peace, love and joy to you
.........
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
  #5 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
Thanks Given: 1,509
Thanks Received: 2,593

Tuesday Dec 13 2011

So we would be long HUM at $86.03 (yesterday). Here's the 15 min chart.

[IMG]https://nexusfi.com/attachments/57182[/IMG]

..........
peace, love and joy to you
.........
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
  #6 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
Thanks Given: 1,509
Thanks Received: 2,593

here are the PTR charts



There is really not much to say (nice) about this from the long side.

This looks sure to keep faling for the next while.
Stay away until until you see what happens in the 110-112 area (doesn't look like much of a wait.

10yr - coming down to green uptrend line from $160 area peak.
5yr - coming down. could hold at 110 area but $100 looks more likely for first support
1 yr - clumsy H&S - direction down
from Aug 2011- down to 110.

Conclusion: Stay away until it has stopped falling.

..........
peace, love and joy to you
.........
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #7 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
Thanks Given: 1,509
Thanks Received: 2,593

Two days ago, on talking numbers Ms Doolittle was negative on oil and suggested a big fall coming (it was $98.50 then and she was estimating $87 soon and perhaps $75 in a few weeks)

wow - good stuff Abbigail!

Talking Numbers ? Yahoo! Finance


..........
peace, love and joy to you
.........
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
  #8 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
Thanks Given: 1,509
Thanks Received: 2,593

I was thinking of buying a negative S&P etf to match against each long holding as I bought them.

I decided to see how much each moved and how much ETF I would need to balance downside - as I am bearish on the market.

Of course each stock won't have a reliable beta to the S&P 500 - but I'll try a clumsy hedge.
HUM dropped since Monday (looking pretty ugly actually). I think 250 SDS would have approximately balanced the drop. So depending on the action tomorrow I'll buy some SDS (its an ultrashort ETF) to help mitigate further downside in HUM.

Tomorrow is a BUY day in the Taylor 3 day cycle for the ES -which I'm studying right now.


..........
peace, love and joy to you
.........
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
  #9 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
Thanks Given: 1,509
Thanks Received: 2,593

Here are the charts for NVS.

There was a nice jump up today.

Perhaps we'll get a gap close.


..........
peace, love and joy to you
.........
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
  #10 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker: IB
Trading: ES
Posts: 4,034 since Dec 2010
Thanks Given: 1,509
Thanks Received: 2,593


SDS I've bought some for the account
250 shares @20.71
(we already have 150 HUM at $86.03)


..........
peace, love and joy to you
.........
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote




Last Updated on October 17, 2015


© 2024 NexusFi™, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy - Downloads - Top
no new posts