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AR01 Long Term Investing (Web Based) - Suggestions Needed
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AR01 Long Term Investing (Web Based) - Suggestions Needed

  #1 (permalink)
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AR01 Long Term Investing (Web Based) - Suggestions Needed

Hello all,
I'm looking to develop a long term investing plan to provide to friends and family members who have the buy and hold strategy for their stock market investments (not bonds). The bear markets in the past decade got me started on this path. However, what I have come up with so far for me is fairly complicated for the individual who doesn't read technical charts.

So to share with others I have started trying to work on something that has the following requirements:
  • Web based solution (FreeStockCharts.com - Web's Best Streaming Realtime Stock Charts - Free)
  • Standard indicators
  • VERY Simple rules that can be summarized and understood by anyone
  • Minimize the whipsaws
  • Not attempting to call tops or bottoms
  • Something that can be reviewed in 5 minutes a week
  • Avoids the bear markets so they can sleep at night and gets them some profit in the bull runs.

Maybe this is not the best path. Maybe I should just tell them to buy Vanguard 2020 / 2030 / 2040 funds. But I want to give it a shot anyway and I would love participation from others. Do you already have something you would be willing to share? Let's all collaborate.

I'll post this for now and my next post will be an example.

Andrew

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  #3 (permalink)
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Example 1 - S&P500 Weekly, 50MA 13 displacement


This is a S&P500 Weekly chart with a 50SMA and a 13 displacement. Long when price closes above the line. Out when price closes below the line.

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AR01 Long Term Investing (Web Based) - Suggestions Needed-sp500-weekly-50sma-13-displacement.png  
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Example 2 - SP500 Weekly Aroon Osc at 46

Example 2 - SP500 Weekly Aroon Osc at 46, Long when Aroon is above 0, Cash when below 0

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Example 3 - SP500 Weekly DPO 40

Example 3 - SP500 Weekly DPO 40, Long when DPO is above 0, cash when below 0

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  #6 (permalink)
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For a very simple system - take a diversified portfolio of potential stocks, and use something like a 200day MA, determine a simple price action filter to help minimise whipsaws, and only go long or square.
The money management over the portfolio will be important.

This should cover most of your list of requirements.

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