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Bill's 8 for Dec 2011
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Bill's 8 for Dec 2011

  #1 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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Bill's 8 for Dec 2011

This thread is just for fun.

Bill Merriman had 8 stocks he felt would out-perform their peers from 11 Dec 2011 to 11 June 2012

These are:
NVS $55.06
HUM $86.49
NDZ $9.02
PTR $121.95
AIZ $39.41
MRVL $14.13
KMB $69.96
UBS $12.08

(Prices are the opening prices of Monday 12 Dec 2011.)

He screened 2,000 stocks for those with several "planets" in Jupiter on their first trade charts.

I'm going to:
* go through their charts one by one as time permits
* post my thoughts on them
* make buys and sells from a paper $100,000 USD protfolio
and then see how well I can do with them by June.


--------------------------------------------------------------------
Please Note:
There is a thread for wise-acres to make their cracks, jibs, and half-wittisms on astrology.
https://futures.io/traders-hideout/2821-astrology-cycles-trading-based-planets-13.html
It is filled with vitrol.
If you are negative and non-constructive then please do not make your posts there. Thanks.

------------------------------------------------
I have made this new thread to be a "safe zone" for like minds to discuss the subject free from ridicule and harassment. I hope you will respect this.

I would really like to find others who are interested in pursuing the potential use of astrology in trading and hope that my make this thread others may feel encouraged to be brave and share there ideas.

If you would like to include numerology, harmonics, or cycle theory especially on a metaphyiscal leaning that would also fit in here. I hope you come forward (or if more cautious perhaps contact me with PM.

Many thanks!

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.

Last edited by aquarian1; December 14th, 2011 at 03:43 AM.
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  #2 (permalink)
Quick Summary
Quick Summary Post

So we now have 2 portfolios, Bill's8 the first one I started which has 8 stocks and the SDS ultrashort and Bills15 which was the full list. As Jupiter has been in Taurus for a while (but in retrograde motion until the 26 Dec) I looked back for a starting date for the Bills15 and picked Nov 28 the trine of Venus to Jupiter.

For the Bills15 I bought all 15 stocks at opening prices on Monday the 28th of November (taking out the discretionary part of timing of when to buy) and I don't have any SDS.

I'm interested to see how it matches to Chart of the Day - which is barcharts screen (basically a breakout to new highs strategy). I'll slowly add in purchases in that one until I'm up to The $250,000 like the Bill15.

Here's the Bills15 and the prices paid on 28 Nov
NVS 53.06
HUM 83.19
NDZ 9.14
PTR 124.58
AIZ 36.53
MRVL 13.61
KMB 69.57
UBS 11.51
HSP 30.85
NRG 19.21
PWE 16.62
MGM 9.63
SPLS 14.03
SBUX 41.79
ISRG 423.00

10 Jan 2012 (I had made a mistake in converting over the smaller selection of 8 stocks and its too much work maintaining it - so I'll let it die).

These 15 were bought on the date of Venus trine Jupiter

Here's my entries into the yahoo protfolio tracker.

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Last edited by aquarian1; January 10th, 2012 at 03:53 PM.
 
  #3 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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Tuesday 13 Dec 2011

Here's the charts for NDZ.
The charts are 10yrs, 5 yrs, 1 year and from 3 Aug to now.

My observations:
Chart1: Big resistance at $12 - looks very solid and will probably be hard to break through.
Chart2: We're in a congestion area shown be the dotted red box
Chart3: If we can get through the $9.40 level (lower red line) then $10 is resistance.
Chart4: It may (or may not - ha ha) hold at $8.80, If it does and bounces then we could buy.


Conclusion
I'm going to wait a day or two for this. It could hold at $8.80 level or break down. I'd rather pay a little more for it and have a safer buy.

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  #4 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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Saturday 10 Dec 2011

Here is Hum's chart.

It looks pretty good. $85.16 would have been the price to buy at. Friday's close:
Humana Inc. (HUM)86.85 1.48 (+1.73%) = Friday, Dec 9th, 2011

Here are the charts:

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So on this stock I would say is a buy on a pullback to just above $86 say $86.03

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  #5 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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Tuesday Dec 13 2011

So we would be long HUM at $86.03 (yesterday). Here's the 15 min chart.

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  #6 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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here are the PTR charts

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There is really not much to say (nice) about this from the long side.

This looks sure to keep faling for the next while.
Stay away until until you see what happens in the 110-112 area (doesn't look like much of a wait.

10yr - coming down to green uptrend line from $160 area peak.
5yr - coming down. could hold at 110 area but $100 looks more likely for first support
1 yr - clumsy H&S - direction down
from Aug 2011- down to 110.

Conclusion: Stay away until it has stopped falling.

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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  #7 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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Two days ago, on talking numbers Ms Doolittle was negative on oil and suggested a big fall coming (it was $98.50 then and she was estimating $87 soon and perhaps $75 in a few weeks)

wow - good stuff Abbigail!

Talking Numbers ? Yahoo! Finance

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  #8 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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I was thinking of buying a negative S&P etf to match against each long holding as I bought them.

I decided to see how much each moved and how much ETF I would need to balance downside - as I am bearish on the market.

Of course each stock won't have a reliable beta to the S&P 500 - but I'll try a clumsy hedge.
HUM dropped since Monday (looking pretty ugly actually). I think 250 SDS would have approximately balanced the drop. So depending on the action tomorrow I'll buy some SDS (its an ultrashort ETF) to help mitigate further downside in HUM.

Tomorrow is a BUY day in the Taylor 3 day cycle for the ES -which I'm studying right now.

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  #9 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
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Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 3,238 since Dec 2010
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Here are the charts for NVS.

There was a nice jump up today.

Perhaps we'll get a gap close.

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  #10 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: IB and free NT
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES
 
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Posts: 3,238 since Dec 2010
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SDS I've bought some for the account
250 shares @20.71
(we already have 150 HUM at $86.03)

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