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The MARKET, Indices, ETFs and other stocks
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The MARKET, Indices, ETFs and other stocks

  #1 (permalink)
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The MARKET, Indices, ETFs and other stocks

This thread is for posting any chart for stock market indices, stock ETFs and individual stocks. Charts and technical analysis, news only as a secondary item to describe the price movement on a chart. I am opening this thread for myself, but everyone is welcome to post their material. My postings are a discipline for myself .................... A technical discussion on the status of the stock market would be fabulous.

I will start with a couple daily charts: with these daily charts the point is to be long on a green bar and short on a red bar. Green and red mean institutional buying and selling. BUT only in the direction of the daily stochastics or weekly stochastics or a combination of both. And there is an OB line at 68 and OS line at 32. These lines (zones) can be used for further analysis.

SPX:
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Sell not short (still a green bar). Daily stochastics has crossed but better yet K broke the OB line. Weekly stochastics are pinched, with more down action, we will have a cross to the downside.

NDX: The same look as the SPX.

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I want to look at PBR:

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I sold it yesterday because of the daily stoch pinch and this:

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And I want to see CAT:

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Personally I would be out of CAT: If you would of got in on the first green bar, you would have a 10 point profit. And CAT is why I started this thread. I had watched it for a while then I didn't look at it and it passed me by. I am big on stock index ETFs; but a few stocks here and there. Why not?


Last edited by Tiberius; November 1st, 2011 at 04:42 PM.
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  #3 (permalink)
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SPX - Stage Analysis


Hi @Tiberius - as requested, here's my stage analysis chart of the S&P 500.

The weekly chart has moved into Stage 1A, by breaking out above the August high and moving above the 30 week weighted moving average. The moving average has flattened out, so on a weekly basis it's considered the start of a base and needs more time. Weinstein's method is for medium to long term trades so the time buy is when the stock first breaks out into Stage 2A. So in this case that could possibly happen if we get a move up to challenge last weeks swing high and it breaks above it. So the level to watch is 1300 on the weekly IMO.

On the daily chart the SPX had a breakout over the last few weeks and fell back sharply for a retest of the breakout yesterday and today. So it's now got a low risk set up IMO with a tight stop loss below Tuesday's low. So I'm going to go long on break above today's high with a target of 1292 and see how I do.

Here's the chart

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read um and weep

Thanks @isatrader for your great chart:

Here is the SPX chart to maybe compliment the stage chart by isatrader:

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And an SPY chart:

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Before Friday starts

The Speculators: They lead the Market.

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The Investors: They follow the Market.

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big day to decide the daily stochastics

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before Tuesday begins

The Speculators:

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The Investors:

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Target


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On the daily chart the SPX had a breakout over the last few weeks and fell back sharply for a retest of the breakout yesterday and today. So it's now got a low risk set up IMO with a tight stop loss below Tuesday's low. So I'm going to go long on break above today's high with a target of 1292 and see how I do.

SPX is still grinding higher. But the 200 day MA at 1272.90 needs to be overcome. But I think I'll get to my 1292 target before the end of the week as it's within two days average true range now.

"Fate does not always let you fix the tuition fee. She delivers the educational wallop and presents her own bill" – Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.
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Humpty Dumpty


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SPX is still grinding higher. But the 200 day MA at 1272.90 needs to be overcome. But I think I'll get to my 1292 target before the end of the week as it's within two days average true range now.

@isatrader thank you for your post. Your charts and analysis are most important.

This morning the market has taken a dump from yesterday's hump. So I will wait to post daily charts.

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Last edited by Tiberius; November 9th, 2011 at 09:43 AM.
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This morning the market has taken a dump from yesterday's hump. So I will wait to post daily charts.

Looks like a bear shakeout of the weak longs IMO, but the 200 day MA at 1272.97 is crucial level for me personally. My swing trade stop loss is at 1236.53 now.

(Update) My stop loss has been hit. Negative sentiment is too strong today, so going neutral until I get a new set-up.

"Fate does not always let you fix the tuition fee. She delivers the educational wallop and presents her own bill" – Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.

Last edited by isatrader; November 9th, 2011 at 03:10 PM. Reason: Update
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$SPX Point & Figure Charts


For a different perspective on the S&P 500 I like to use point and figure charts as they remove the daily noise from the equation, so they show support and resistance levels very clearly. I also include price by volume at each price level and volume on each column so you can see if a move has real backing or not.

Volume levels have been very light all year, even during the summer sell off, but the October rally finally saw some volume returning, which is needed for a sustained move to develop. The volume on the pullback currently is very light, so a positive sign so far. But on the 20 point box chart, price needs to move above 1300 and be backed by an increase in volume similar to last September to be able to break through the sizable resistance between 1270 to 1350 and the numerous people desperate to recoup their loses from earlier this year. As the light volume suggests a lot of people are trapped in that range.

Below are the charts:

Long term chart - 20 point box size

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Short term chart - 10 point box size

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"Fate does not always let you fix the tuition fee. She delivers the educational wallop and presents her own bill" – Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.
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