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Trading

  #751 (permalink)
 
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 aquarian1 
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From the moment the chemical attack was blamed on Assad, however, I expressed my doubts about the claims. It simply makes no sense for Assad to attack civilians with a chemical weapon just as he is winning his war against ISIS and al-Qaeda and has been told by the US that it no longer seeks regime change. On the verge of victory, he commits a suicidal act to no strategic or tactical military advantage? More likely the gas attack was a false flag by the rebels -- or perhaps even by our CIA -- as a last ditch effort to forestall a rebel defeat in the six year war.

Would the neocons and the mainstream media lie to us about what happened last week in Syria? Of course they would. They lied us into attacking Iraq, they lied us into attacking Gaddafi, they lied us into seeking regime change in Syria in the first place. We should always assume they are lying.

Who benefits from the US attack on Syria? ISIS, which immediately after the attack began a ground offensive. Does President Trump really want the US to act as ISIS’s air force?

The Ron Paul Institute for Peace and Prosperity : After Trump?s Syria Attack, What Comes Next?

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  #752 (permalink)
 
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 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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Yesterday I took a few minutes to enjoy the spring sun, some green tea and read.

I opened Truth of the Stocktape, WD Gann and read:

"You should keep a chart of all your investments. It requires but little time to keep a monthly high and low chart and it will show you when you should get out."

I have decided to keep a hand chart of ES. I will start with a weekly chart and then should time permit, a daily.

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  #753 (permalink)
 
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 aquarian1 
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Here is a computer version of the RTH weekly




It seems that 2262.25 needs to be broken (plus some because that is only closing the gap)


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  #754 (permalink)
 
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 aquarian1 
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Pompeo’s word choice was no accident. By accusing Wikileaks of being a “hostile intelligence service” rather than a publisher of information on illegal and abusive government practices leaked by whistleblowers, he signaled that the organization has no First Amendment rights. Like many in Washington, he does not understand that the First Amendment is a limitation on government rather than a granting of rights to citizens. Pompeo was declaring war on Wikileaks.

The Trump Administration’s declaration of war on whistleblowers and Wikileaks is one of the greatest disappointments in these first 100 days. Donald Trump rode into the White House with promises that he would “drain the swamp,” meaning that he would overturn the apple carts of Washington’s vested interests. By unleashing those same vested interests on those who hold them in check – the whistleblowers and those who publish their revelations – he has turned his back on those who elected him.

Julian Assange, along with the whistleblowers who reveal to us the evil that is being done in our name, are heroes. They deserve our respect and admiration, not a prison cell. If we allow this president to declare war on those who tell the truth, we have only ourselves to blame.

source:
The Ron Paul Institute for Peace and Prosperity : Candidate Trump: ?I Love Wikileaks.? President Trump: ?Arrest Assange!?

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  #755 (permalink)
 
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 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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10:29 AM 5/1/2017

This is a sample post for documentation example.
One needs to know what kind of day is setting up and choose an appropriate strategy.
You can't use a trend trade swing strategy on a choppy cabbage day for example.

So on this day in the morning it looks narrow (<12pts) and indecisive - no clear trend - with the first push downward, (FE=LE), and the main trend - if you can call it that up to take out stops above the 2288.75 level - see temp1.png

On a choppy day you have to either:
a. not trade it (my choice)
b. be aware of false moves and head fakes.

At this point (10:40 AM 5/1/2017) I am in the trade long from
2282.50 at 9:00:17 am
Stop is 2282.75
Price is 2285.25
Target is 2390.25


-------------Temp 2 shows the pre- opening preview of the day --------


---- Temp 3 shows what I was looking at before the trade and the trade entry and post trade critique ---
Note: finding errors - I was away chatting with a friend and not watching ES so the entry is early. critiquing this trade I would have not entered on the first push down but waited. So for this fine tuning critique you need a chart that is closer in than 5 min.



-----temp4 shows in the trade - where my target is and why ------

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  #756 (permalink)
 
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 aquarian1 
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end of Monday

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  #757 (permalink)
 
aquarian1's Avatar
 aquarian1 
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This was an experiment on an exercise.
See

for an explanation.

I think that a shorter time and odd minute would be better (eg 7 min)
Definitely not good for a cabbage day!
------------
Tme Traveller

Yest 4 May 2017
High: 2387.75
Low: 2376
Open: 2386.75
Close: 2385.75

Trade 1 Sell 2389.50 close 2388.00 = +1.50 pts
Trade 2 Sell 2389 close 2387.00 = -1.00 pts


7:39am
order entered to buy at 7:39 YClose: 2385.75
Reason: upwards in second part of o/n

8:15am
Sold @ 2389.50 = Enter trade1
Reason: mini double top 2390.75,2390.50

8:30am
Hold short
Reason: I think the first push will be down


8:45 AM 5/5/2017
CAR 2388.00 =Close trade1 and enter trade 2
Reason: I think it will push to o/n high
(8:48 best time for CAR doji on 1 minute)

9:00 am
Hold long

9:30am
CAR 2387.00 = Close trade2 and enter trade 3
(looking a narrow cabbage day setting up)

10:00, 10:30, 10:45
Hold short

10:45 AM 5/5/2017
At this point I'm going to call it quits.
On cabbage days this is too much like paint drying.
Conclusion if I had stayed with my 8:30 decision HOLD SHORT then I could have closed at 9:30



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  #758 (permalink)
 
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 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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source:
Baruch Undergraduates Sweep Traders@MIT Competition

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  #759 (permalink)
 
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 aquarian1 
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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  #760 (permalink)
 
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 aquarian1 
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From time to time I get an idea for a new formula - but the spreadsheet is so full and there are so many I sometimes lose track.

Last night I noticed one near where the SE price is calculated once the FE is in place and these have times estimates.
I put them in the weekly summary section:

Here are the time matches:



Here are price matches

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