9:05 PM 9/10/2017
I have completed my updating for the weekend.
I was hoping for some clarity for tomorrow. - non really
I think CL will be countertrend up tomorrow - Monday
and ES too soon to say - I want to see the o/n action.
If it tops at 2471 its current level and drops some say 2461 and then 2166 at open with a negative news tone we could have a repeat of last Tuesday.

In any case, some supper and probably watch some ML video - ah the life of leisurely!!

Geoffrey Hinton talk "What is wrong with convolutional neural nets ?"

A case for building capsules and clusters
If it find a cluster it outputs
the high probability of its type exists in the domain
the center of gravity of that cluster which is the generalized pose of that entity

very good at filtering out noise because high-dimensional coincidences do not happen by chance

For Friday I had anticipated
CL down and HOD.tse up - happened - but I wasn't ready (with charts etc)
MOnday
CL countertrend up and HOD down - happened - didn't trade HOD.tse as waiting for low to buy it
Tueday today
CL to resume downtrend after early push up in the day - so far on track

a. dominant competitive - wants to catch ever tick : Trade and then aim, fail to exit profitable trade wanting more and ride it to a loss
b. socializer (smile laughs goes out a lot) hate missing out - over-trade feel you missed the trade, mesmerized by flashing ticket orders.: Trade everything
c. analytic type - understand everything to minute detail -(fear of being wrong) : Analyze find perfect entry and then hesitate, don't pull the trigger and then chase it
d. fear of loss - security ( females especially see this according to Konchar) - not clear what he had for this type but I guess it's cut winners short and hold losers?

July 2007

Konchar

I am not planning to do a combine but I made a strategy sheet for FIO members who are.

The original is in Lotus123 and I have exported the same thing to Excel. (except excel lost the blue format for unprotected cells so it is harder to see where to input your data instead and not write on formulas. Anyone is free to change these to a blue color should you wish to help your fellow combinists who use excel)

What you do with it is enter in your winning days and losing days and it tells you things like where you are in respect to your draw-down max loss profit target etc. There are also areas to work out an average winning day and average losing day. (with average winning trade size and number and average losing trade size and number). There is another area for your ratio of winning days and losing days. Together this gives you your expectancy per trade.

You don't need to use these areas if you don't want they are sandboxes.

The key strategy area is the column where you enter daily net total profit or loss. With this you can see how the sequences of winning and losing days impacts things. Naturally if you have some big wins at the beginning the watermark comes nipping at your heels - so there are two ways to knock you out.

Look who is crashing the list of the world?s greatest hedge-fund managers - MarketWatch

Ftse had a 1% drop I wonder how ES will open Monday.

the combine noose