Haha! Breakeven! What a word that is! It sure beats anything that starts with 'neg' haha

Well, Very nice and clean today, a day any could have made good money. I could have walked away with 1.5 points average+ today, but I kept trading.

First trade was good. Maybe a little early, but good in my opinion.

Second trade was not a great area, but MACD's seemed short to me.

Third trade seemed like a pivot for sure. The bulls were pushing it up a lot and I wanted to conserve my gift if needed so I moved my stop by 1! That was the difference!

Video

bluemele 

Haha! Breakeven! What a word that is! It sure beats anything that starts with 'neg' haha Well, Very nice and clean today, a day any could have made good money. I could have walked away with 1.5 points average+ today, but I kept trading. First trade was good. Maybe a little early, but good in my opinion. Second trade was not a great area, but MACD's seemed short to me. Third trade seemed like a pivot for sure. The bulls were pushing it up a lot and I wanted to conserve my gift if needed so I moved my stop by 1! That was the difference!

How do you feel about Henry's statement, "I don't do business without a home plate."

HighRise1202 

How do you feel about Henry's statement, "I don't do business without a home plate."

Well, I agree with it. A "home plate" or a "setup area" or whatever you want to call it is probably the biggest reason to take a trade from what I have learned. However, you sure do 'miss' a lot of great runs without the obvious 'home plate' and that is what I struggle with.

An area can be created in so many ways and confluence is very important, but I tend to get a bit aggressive with confluence if I imagine it! haha...

Horst says to stick w/ the home plates that create the safest and longest runs. From looking and learning that is the 76% retracement on most clear retracements but you will find many who disagree etc.. I used to love the 61%, but I get into too much trouble there, and all-n-all, Fibs are not a perfect science.

I could make an area out of any tick mark on a chart! I think the key is to understand how much weight to put under that with the corresponding MACD multi-time frame indicators!

Ok, another example today of poor trade management. My # of trades are dwindling and I am getting comfortable again just waiting. Amazing how it took me so long to get comfortable again with that.

I am hitting pivots, but my confidence is still a bit low from Feb's mess, and I have to put that behind me. I think I am going to go back through the tough days and do a market replay and see what I wasn't seeing and move on.

I am seeing pivots (although I didn't expect that deep a short just yet). My long term is lining up, so more down to 50%...

Video

bluemele 

Ok, another example today of poor trade management. My # of trades are dwindling and I am getting comfortable again just waiting. Amazing how it took me so long to get comfortable again with that. I am hitting pivots, but my confidence is still a bit low from Feb's mess, and I have to put that behind me. I think I am going to go back through the tough days and do a market replay and see what I wasn't seeing and move on. I am seeing pivots (although I didn't expect that deep a short just yet). My long term is lining up, so more down to 50%...

Have you tried audio alerts? I find them invaluable for waiting. One I use is called PriceGuard. It gives you two alerts. Just set them near fibs. For example, set them near the 23 and 76 fibs. Or set them at 50 and either 23 or 76, depending on where the price is. If price hits 50, I look for a retracement to deeps and then catch a long reversal from there.

HighRise1202 

Have you tried audio alerts? I find them invaluable for waiting. One I use is called PriceGuard. It gives you two alerts. Just set them near fibs. For example, set them near the 23 and 76 fibs. Or set them at 50 and either 23 or 76, depending on where the price is. If price hits 50, I look for a retracement to deeps and then catch a long reversal from there.

No, I haven't! Interesting, I will take a look.

Hit the major pivot, trade management sucked.

First trade I am still OK with, 2nd trade I made was horrendous and wanted to put in a small stop but it jumped on me, but it wasn't an area either.

Third trade was nice, but I wasn't patient to let it run. More of the same.

Video

highrise, where do you get that type of fib line alert for ninja, if i can ask. thanks hector

I am aware that my approach is slightly different, but I do use fib confluence zones.

To avoid the noise I only look at those in time frames > 15 minutes.

The chart below shows the fib confluence lines for today. Sometimes it is possible to catch the high and low of the day. But this is not always the case.

Fat Tails 

I am aware that my approach is slightly different, but I do use fib confluence zones. To avoid the noise I only look at those in time frames > 15 minutes. The chart below show the fib confluence lines for today. Sometimes it is possible to catch the high and low of the day. But this is not always the case.

Yes, the longer you go out, the fewer false starts one may get into!

If I learned properly to use the longer time-frames, I would probably be much more profitable w/ the confluence zones.