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BTC short term sentiment


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BTC short term sentiment

  #11 (permalink)
bob666s
Auckland + auckland/new zealand
 
Posts: 65 since Jun 2016
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updated sentiment, and statistically derived price bias based on the variables used to derive sentiment.


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  #12 (permalink)
bob666s
Auckland + auckland/new zealand
 
Posts: 65 since Jun 2016
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Updated CME Bitcoin Futures, Futures-Options implied sentiment:



Most of the Sept. downside bets from earlier in the week have been squeezed.

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  #13 (permalink)
bob666s
Auckland + auckland/new zealand
 
Posts: 65 since Jun 2016
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short term sentiment is looking like shorts getting crowded

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  #14 (permalink)
bob666s
Auckland + auckland/new zealand
 
Posts: 65 since Jun 2016
Thanks Given: 8
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updated sentiment

Front Month:


2nd month:

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  #15 (permalink)
bob666s
Auckland + auckland/new zealand
 
Posts: 65 since Jun 2016
Thanks Given: 8
Thanks Received: 43

CME implied sentiment update:

It looks like nearly all of the bearish bets built up the previous week had been squeezed in the previous 2 sessions.

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  #16 (permalink)
bob666s
Auckland + auckland/new zealand
 
Posts: 65 since Jun 2016
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I've begun to estimate implied sentiment at the OTC dealers, too.



Current retail longs are getting a bit crowded.

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  #17 (permalink)
bob666s
Auckland + auckland/new zealand
 
Posts: 65 since Jun 2016
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Big buy flow on BTC calls in the previous day, this is usually bullish but with stocks moving lower, and OTC forward/swap retail longs getting crowded, the rally could slow.




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  #18 (permalink)
bob666s
Auckland + auckland/new zealand
 
Posts: 65 since Jun 2016
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CME traders turning relatively optimistic.


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  #19 (permalink)
bob666s
Auckland + auckland/new zealand
 
Posts: 65 since Jun 2016
Thanks Given: 8
Thanks Received: 43

estimated otc platform customer sentiment:

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  #20 (permalink)
bob666s
Auckland + auckland/new zealand
 
Posts: 65 since Jun 2016
Thanks Given: 8
Thanks Received: 43


CME implied sentiment updates:

v21: we're at relatively high optimism, with the number at 90percentile


x21: bullish still, but not at extreme.

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Last Updated on October 13, 2021


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