Friday

FDAX
Gap: Down gap
Gap closed: No
Position price at 9:30: below prior day HL
IB direction: Long

DAX Short trade
Entry 10:00 @ 15592
Exit 13:30 @ 15634
SL 42 pts
Result -42 pts

Historical results with this setup:
537 pts (10 trades/win% 80%)

FESX, a short 9:30-10:30 SL 13pts looks good. > 0.5 pts profit

Both based on only 10 historical trades, but with the not closed down gaps, this is what it gives

Let’s see

Results

This week I had 2 FDAX trades in this journal, 46 points loss.

Total results for this journal:


Well, next week better. Have a good weekend

Monday

FDAX
Gap: No gap
Gap closed during IB: x
Position price at 9:30: above prior day HL
IB direction: Long

Doesn't give a good trade, as there are not many occassions that match the filter 'above prior day HL'.


FESX: Long trade 11:30-14:00 SL 15pts (based on 34 trades/76% winners) > edit 21:12: Loss 2pts

NQ is giving some nice trades:



Just gonna watch it

edit 18:05: So, from the image, 1130 entry is 1800 CET and SL24 = 71pts (24% of the ATR, and the ATR is pretty high currently......)

edit 8:42: would be a loss of 47,5 pts. Anyway, US trades should run till latest 21:30 CET to stay out of the 'market closing'

Tuesday

FDAX
Gap: No gap
Gap closed during IB: x
Position price at 9:30: inside prior day HL
IB direction: Long

In this case, it's hard to pick the trade. 1030-1100 is giving better win %, but the points/trade when trading till 14:00 are much better...


DAX Long trade
Entry 10:30 @ 15657
Exit 14:00 @ 15611
SL 46 pts
Result -46 pts

Historical results with this setup:
457 pts (22 trades/win% 77%)

Let’s see

FESX: Long 9:30-11:00 SL 16pts looks ok. >> 16p loss

Wednesday

FDAX
Gap: No gap
Gap closed during IB: x
Position price at 9:30: inside prior day HL
IB direction: Long

Not looking great for a trade.
I'll be very selective in the next weeks. 3 losses in a row is reason to be more careful and to review. Also, the next days are weird due to future contract roll-over, then it's christmas week, then new years week.

FESX, a long trade from 11:30-14:30 SL 12pts looks good. >> 2,5 pts profit

Friday

Yesterday there were no good trades coming out of my system. FIO was offline due to the hurricanes, so couldn’t post.

Today the future contracts roll-over at 13:00 and IFO at 10:00.

FDAX
Gap: Down gap
Gap closed during IB: No
Position price at 9:30: below prior day HL
IB direction: short

12 years of data X 4 roll-over per year, gives a sample size of 48. I will only look at IB to see if anything tradeable comes out, and trade till latest 12:30.

Nothing good, so no trade today.

Same for FESX.

Results

This week I had 1 FDAX trade in this journal, 46 points loss.

Total results for this journal:

Monday

The next 2 weeks before and after Xmas I will only take trades that look really good, that means a good balance between win%, pts per trade and sample size.

FDAX
Gap: Down gap
Gap closed during IB: No
Position price at 9:30: below prior day HL
IB direction: long

Not good for a trade, also not for FESX

Tuesday

FDAX
Gap: Up gap
Gap closed during IB: No
Position price at 9:30: above prior day HL
IB direction: short 93pts

This situation only give a few historical trades, so no trade for me.

FESX same same...