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Ahhhhh.........I have been alerted that enquiring minds want to know...........Hmmmmmmm........well.......I don't want to start a thread on this method at this time.
I have worked with Cunparis on a couple of projects over the last year.......as you all know he is a tireless worker and a brilliant technician which is why I share various ideas with him. He brings something to the party if you know what I mean. Before I post trading ideas and indicators on the forum I test them for a period of months. This idea is testing out rather nicely especially for Cunparis on the Dax which I have never traded. (I'm sleeping during this time)
Also, I have asked Cunparis to keep this particuliar set up confidential.
So, for now the testing continues.........thanks for your interest.
That trader is @FulcrumTrader who has posted in this thread. He has an original method of trading that he has been using for years now. Take a look at his website & his posts on other forums, they're definitely full of good information.
For the past few months I haven't ventured outside of my own journal thread here (except for Jeff's excellent Three Setups Thread). So I had no idea that Gomi has made that. That's wonderful news! I think market profile & volume profiling are very important and it's great that Gomi has made available a free tool for Ninjatrader developers.
Last week I posted my monthly stats for a few markets. I forgot to post the stats for ES.
Now that I'm on the right track, I don't think it's useful for me to post my trades every day. There are very few comments about them and any in-depth review of my trades I post on my blog, sometimes with realtime live videos.
One of the key themes of this thread was the quest for consistent profitability. After 3 months profitability on ES daytrading and 10 months ES swing trading, I think I'm on the right path. When I have 1 year consistent profitability on swing trading that will be a major milestone for me. For daytrading the bar is less because there are a lot more trades (exactly 100 last month), however it's more volatile. I think 6 months would make me pretty confident.
There is one area I want to improve and that's my current focus: I feel I accept too much risk and scale in too often. I feel these issues can be a crutch to cover up a less optimal edge. For example if my timing were perfect I wouldn't have to scale in and I wouldn't have a big MAE. Now I don't believe it's possible to be perfect timing every time but at the same time I know I can improve. Mainly I can pass up questionable trades and go for the really good ones.
Last month I had 5 losers on ES. 2 were when I [stupidly] placed an order just minutes before a news release. So setting those aside, that's 3 losers. Is that good or bad? Did I take too much risk to get those trades to scratch breakeven or with a small profit? Or was I just good at managing my trades?
I'm not sure, but my goal is to trade 100 contracts on ES. And to do that I need a lot tighter trade management. Tighter stops. Less scaling in. One can't just scale in 100 contracts when one is already in for 100, and then scale in again. Easy to do with 2,4,6 contracts but 100,200,400 just not possible.
So for now my focus is this: little or no scaling in and tighter stops. Basically I want to trade 1 contract like I would 100. If I can do that then there won't be any problem increasing size.
Today's trading is a good example of what I want to do:
No scaling in. MAE 2 pts or less. I got 3.75 pts. That's not a large amount, however when trading 100 contracts that'd be $18,750.
Another interesting stat - the daily p/l. Only one losing day and it was the day that I put on a 2 lot order 2 minutes before PMI was released (I didn't know it was released early to subscribers)..
Had I not made that major mistake I wouldn't have had any losing days. But trading is about controling mistakes.
I agree with u....in part....because if scaling in IS PART of your MM strategy and you keep the overall risk the same it should not be an issue....so in your case if u want to trade 100 contracts maybe you should plan in advance to enter 50% scaling in so u can have a wider stop (vs ALL IN at once) with the same $$ risk.....I know sometimes your trade will run with half your position (which means your timing was great, positive #1), but you can extend your target to compensate part or just make less money (but still making money !!!! positive #2)....now if during 6 months ALL your trades run with 50% of your position...well my friend your timing has been PERFECT so go back to ALL IN....the key thing is in both you make money....
