Welcome to Fed Day. Volatility should start around 2pm ET and continue through the press conference into the close. Just balancing BS until then. I am practicing trading today still while doing some more excel stuff, and laughing at how much I am getting chopped up in this mess, it's why I normally just don't find much on fed days. Even when the movement starts, it can be pretty deceptive; sometimes full of opportunity, fed days are very dangerous as well.

My premise is that at least 47s, and likely 46, should be tested before any significant move higher; I just don't think the LOD is in, market is just waiting for more info so it balances to pass the time. Market really wants to go lower, it just doesn't have the support to go either way just yet. Let me rephrase: market really wants to go higher in the long term, but IMO for conviction, at the least 46/47 should be tested, in order to "rally the troops," thus, it wants to go lower in the short term due to lack of upside conviction. Just my 0.02, and anything and everything can happen.

Let's try this again...

I really don't think it matters much if you use S/R or volume profiling...

If I look at the levels from a S/R perspective (yellow) that I'm interested in for profit targets, they line up with LVN's on yesterday's profile (blue).

I'm seriously considering taking the +1.25pts on this thing...



Out at BE.

Hi it7,

What is your approach to trailing your stops?

Also, what is your approach when price stalls or is unable to pass a level. How much time or space do you give it to get through a level? Do you have any set rules with this?

Thanks.

DarkPoolTrading 

Hi it7, What is your approach to trailing your stops? Also, what is your approach when price stalls or is unable to pass a level. How much time or space do you give it to get through a level? Do you have any set rules with this? Thanks.

Well, I'll give you the best answer I can, as I can tell you my approach is different based on what is unfolding and the context that it's unfolding in. A lot of times I make decisions on the fly as things unfold. To complicate matters more, I've adopted a scale out style for trading ES, where I simply take some off the table at 2 or 3 points, just because that is a normal rotation for the market.

Take yesterday for example:




and the day before yesterday:





So if it's a really fast trend, I guess I like to use prevous swings to trail a stop with. For normal environments (decent trend for example) I'll use a combination of stalls, fixed scale outs, hard targets based on the context, etc. When I'm trading a range, I'll typically go all in all out.

I do not follow all of this stuff all the time, but generally, that's how I see things.

Hope that helped. Just ask if you want more clarification.

Has potential if the fuel is there....

some scale outs, and now an add back as we test OS high

another add

Ok, I'll quit blowing up this thread now.

That last sharp move when we attempted to push higher again shook me out. I'm flat and done for the day. 8 scratches/losers and ONE winner. AND I'M UP 0.5R.

I'm so pumped about this crappy day! That's how risk is managed folks. Again, 8 losers/scratches and 1 winner and up on the day. That really fires me up.