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T For Trading

  #381 (permalink)
 
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 devdas 
Al,India
 
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01 Oct - 2012 : First short was taken as for continuation of down trend , being developing below yday 's demand/supply inflection zone. With time consumption in 2nd SD zone, this was natural to take that action. But it didnt worked and had to quit with local heavy buy side delta.
It hinted its doing something else, but didnt appeared very good for long either. There was very slow rise in channel but i was not considering it worth ... neither that is a decision element in my plan. Long taken after a short squeeze prompt and again buy side delta. Though i had decided to long on clear penetration of yday demand/supply inflection zone...but it was my discretion and to put trade in relation to squeeze low so that it do not fall beyond max risk.









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  #382 (permalink)
 
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 devdas 
Al,India
 
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Stuck between two....little indecision...tough to have Long...but holding with larger bias.

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  #383 (permalink)
 
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 devdas 
Al,India
 
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Out from Long.

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  #384 (permalink)
 
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 devdas 
Al,India
 
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Completed a high probable short - just sell low and buy even lower low....

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  #385 (permalink)
 
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 devdas 
Al,India
 
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03-Oct-2012 : Both trade taken as per perceived context, but i took trades with little confirmations ( delay) and obviously with some momentum on trade side. First long was taken with larger bias risking against down opening. At location A, i was waiting price to test LTZ around 5742 , that would have also make a good pullback on 15-min. But acted on reverse. Exit of long was purely opportunistic , coinciding with Friday high.

Now for second trade i was not in hurry to act. I could easily recognize the four step development after it retraced much from day's high. This was not the case at the time of Creek Jump bar entry...rather it could only be said ( after consolidation at B completes) with some reasonable sign that its four step development and current move is most probably heading for lower 2nd SD after reversing from upper 2ndSD. I had already LTZ as a reference level ( which is from dissipative profile of 1st Oct ) that was potentially the target this time. Hence short taken.

There is a finer point - if Creek Jump Bar entry was used for entering short then its outcome would have been solely attributed to momentum alone. I understood my all previous Creek Jump entries in past that were successful just because of momentum - just a 50:50 coin toss. But this short was not on that, its just on context.

Momentum dont architect context , rather its context that architects momentum - Lesson learned.








There are many nested four steps with their own hierarchy.


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  #386 (permalink)
 
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 devdas 
Al,India
 
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I didnt followed my plan, to being present within 15 min of opening- was sleeping and came late.
Its on multi month high and hooking targets of some nested four step development.
For me now, after it has completed 100% of ADR[5], is just observe. Move in direction of trend now may come late...no idea,...might be big trend...no idea, might be reversal--perhaps wont take in this today's context.
But definitely costed me of being not following simple rule.

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  #387 (permalink)
 
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 devdas 
Al,India
 
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Just a bit of rotation here n thr..VWAP test didnt infuse anything enthusiastic.

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  #388 (permalink)
 
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 devdas 
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I could dig two levels where i think to act - 5810 and 5792. Former is most probable to test....latter seems far for.

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  #389 (permalink)
 
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 devdas 
Al,India
 
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Its up 16 Points from VWAP test....i missed this too...seems im not in sync today.

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  #390 (permalink)
 
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 devdas 
Al,India
 
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Correct hierarchy in adoption

1) Being comfortable(With Market Structure) and following Trading Plan.

2) Not Being comfortable( With Market Structure ) but forcefully following Trading Plan.

3) Being Comfortable ( With Market Structure ) but not following Trading Plan.


I failed today on 2nd.



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