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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal


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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

  #3421 (permalink)
 
Palais Brongniart's Avatar
 Palais Brongniart 
Paris France + Dresden Germany
 
Experience: Advanced
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GFIs1 View Post
@Palais Brongniart
To answer your question I made a short homework for you. I collected all trades 2018 shown in this thread.

Results Jan 2018 to April 2018:

Negative trades: 13
Sum of negative trades: -365 points
Ø per negative trade: -28 points

Positive trades: 16
Sum of positive trades: 876 points
Ø per positive trade: 51 points

TOTAL
29 trades gave 511 points. The average per trade was 23 points
Best trade gave 136 points (March 1st)
Worst trade gave minus 40 points

GFIs1



So that’s r/r of roughly 1:2.


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  #3422 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
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Palais Brongniart View Post
So that’s r/r of roughly 1:2.


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Thanks
Well - it is not so bad
GFIs1

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  #3423 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
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Dax short 9:30 to 14:00

entry @ 12472
exit @ 12512 (SL)
result -40 points

GFIs1

...stopped out early. Price in daily Kumo, large drop in first 1.5 hours.
Erratic moves still on the plate

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  #3424 (permalink)
 
gisot's Avatar
 gisot 
Milan, Italy
 
Experience: Beginner
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Hi
when early in the day your system tells a down day by 14h00 or 13h30 ... and then this does not happen (we still have 10 min. to go, however, I do hope it will turn down) does this mean that most likely, despite initial expectations, we are anyway expecting to have an up day? For the little I have been learning so far, I understand that when a clear bullish signal is proven wrong, THEN such signal can be considered a new strong bearish signal, and viceversa. So, based on this, can we expect DAX spiking way up today? or, in your opinion, the bearish bias for the DAX is still valid?
Thanks.

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  #3425 (permalink)
CPRICE76
LONDON
 
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GFIs1 View Post
Dax short 9:30 to 14:00

entry @ 12472
exit @ 12512 (SL)
result -40 points

GFIs1

...stopped out early. Price in daily Kumo, large drop in first 1.5 hours.
Erratic moves still on the plate

Hi there, I am confused as to why you placed a trade at 09.30 cet when that was the exact time of the german PMI which caused the spike higher??

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  #3426 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
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guidoisot View Post
Hi
when early in the day your system tells a down day by 14h00 or 13h30 ... and then this does not happen (we still have 10 min. to go, however, I do hope it will turn down) does this mean that most likely, despite initial expectations, we are anyway expecting to have an up day? For the little I have been learning so far, I understand that when a clear bullish signal is proven wrong, THEN such signal can be considered a new strong bearish signal, and viceversa. So, based on this, can we expect DAX spiking way up today? or, in your opinion, the bearish bias for the DAX is still valid?
Thanks.

Well - the system here has not a bullish nor a short signal. It follows with high probability the trend within the hours of the most trades. This is not working always but quite often. So to be open - what the DAX does over all day traded is not important to make some high probable points. In fact the less traded hours in the day - for the Dax cash afternoon until 17:30 and the future until 22:00/15 (depending on the broker) are pushed by larger trades because the market is not that liquid. Therefore concentrating on the most "honest" hours with enough trades is a good advice.

GFIs1

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  #3427 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
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Nice up gap today... might kill the upper daily cloud line

Dax long 9:30 to 14:00

entry @ 12607
exit @ 12599
result -8 points

GFIs1

did not kill the upper cloud

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  #3428 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax short 10:30 to 12:00
well - left some points on the table - now exit time earlier

entry @ 12420
exit @ 12348
result 72 points

GFIs1

Attention: tomorrow ECB!

PS: entry rule was wrong for 1h... but exit perfect

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  #3429 (permalink)
 
gisot's Avatar
 gisot 
Milan, Italy
 
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Hi
there is a nice support zone around 12300, just 50 points down from where we are right now.
Are you going to stick to the plan and exit anyway at 12h00?

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  #3430 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
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guidoisot View Post
Hi
there is a nice support zone around 12300, just 50 points down from where we are right now.
Are you going to stick to the plan and exit anyway at 12h00?

Absolutely - 12h is turning point
You will see the bottom there for today.
Was sticking to the plan and got out @ 12:00 as previewed. (rule)

Good trades
GFIs1

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Last Updated on March 27, 2024


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