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Price Forecasting with chaos


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Price Forecasting with chaos

  #71 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

as noted in the previous chart, there are strong resistance from 1.3450 to 1.3480, after a rally up, a sell order (around 516 orders) was done at 1.3450, exited half at 1.3405, the rest trailing stop above 1.3444 . attached is the chart showing the price for today.

Edit: This is a day trade, the rest of positions looking to exit at 1.3370 (BP of the bigger EQ) if price reaches there or 1.3444 (Stop loss) if price retraces back (refer to 2nd chart to see the BP).

Edit 2: stop will be moved to 1.3430 if price break 1.3400

Edit 3: when price moves down near 1.3372, trailing stop will be moved to 1.3418, looking to close 1/2 of the remaining positions at 1.3372 and looking to close the rest at 1.3330 if price does reaches there.

Edit 4: trailing stop now moved from 1.3418 to 1.3410, if closed 1/2 of remaining positions at 1.3372, trailing stop will be moved to 1.3401 for the rest (refer to chart 3, showing EQ 13452---13412---13372 and how price is moving towards it to complete the equilibrium)

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  #72 (permalink)
 SARdynamite 
Belgium
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: SaxoTrader
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Trading: ESTX
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Fat Tails View Post
There is a choice of market profile indicators.

Market Profile by @ Vitaliy



This one is from hegh/hegh2000/ad2r, french developper. No russian blood in there

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  #73 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54



ecmf View Post
as noted in the previous chart, there are strong resistance from 1.3450 to 1.3480, after a rally up, a sell order (around 516 orders) was done at 1.3450, exited half at 1.3405, the rest trailing stop above 1.3444 . attached is the chart showing the price for today.

Edit: This is a day trade, the rest of positions looking to exit at 1.3370 (BP of the bigger EQ) if price reaches there or 1.3444 (Stop loss) if price retraces back (refer to 2nd chart to see the BP).

Edit 2: stop will be moved to 1.3430 if price break 1.3400

Edit 3: when price moves down near 1.3372, trailing stop will be moved to 1.3418, looking to close 1/2 of the remaining positions at 1.3372 and looking to close the rest at 1.3330 if price does reaches there.

Edit 4: trailing stop now moved from 1.3418 to 1.3410, if closed 1/2 of remaining positions at 1.3372, trailing stop will be moved to 1.3401 for the rest (refer to chart 3, showing EQ 13452---13412---13372 and how price is moving towards it to complete the equilibrium)

Price reached 1.3372 and 1/2 of the remaining position are closed and the trailing stop was move to 1.3391 when was hit a while ago, therefore all positions are closed. attached is the chart. from the chart, all positions should be close at the 1.3358 due to the perfect EQ 1.3390 - 13374 - 13358.

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  #74 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54


SARdynamite View Post
This one is from hegh/hegh2000/ad2r, french developper. No russian blood in there

hello SARdynamite,

the charts shown are not based on Market Profile, please read theSeeker's link in post 30 for more details and my uploaded notes.

Hope this help.

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  #75 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

attached are the charts for EURUSD during the ECB announcement, in chart 1 a price forecast was done before the ECB rate cut and price was 1.3404-1.3408.

Chart 2 was the chart after ECB rate was announced.

In chart 3 if price breaks 1.3310, it will go down to 1.3250

Edit: This shows that outside event does not affect the outcome of an equilibrium instead it contribute to the completion of an equilibrium. AN equilibrium is akin to the invisible hand of the market.

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  #76 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

attach is the chart showing the perfect EQ 13466-13400-13333 which is now broken and price should move lower to complete the bigger equilibrium around 13250.

Attached Thumbnails
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  #77 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

attached is the updated chart for EURUSD, if price break 1.3256 and if ES break 124350 - 124200 (about 10-12 pts away currently), it may be the start of a new down trend.

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  #78 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

attached are 2 charts for Taiwan index futures, by finding the equilibrium on the day, trade can be done once the eq is broken. The break of eq offers the best entry compared to using other conventional indicators. Trade can even be done without any historical data, just need to find the equilibrium in real time and observe how price moves with the "invisible hand of the market".



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  #79 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

attached is a chart of CSI 300 China Index futures, as shown on the chart, if an equilibrium can be clearly found, it is not hard to enter into a trade. just follow the eq especially when it break. Price has broken 2549 and it will go down further.

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  #80 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54


attached is a chart for a day trade based on price forecasting, buy order was trigger around 1.3326 (price move about BP 1.3322) and take profit was at 1.3366 as forecast on the chart.

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