NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





Price Forecasting with chaos


Discussion in Trading Journals

Updated
      Top Posters
    1. looks_one John Chen with 325 posts (330 thanks)
    2. looks_two ecmf with 157 posts (54 thanks)
    3. looks_3 SpartanLTD with 24 posts (14 thanks)
    4. looks_4 Simba with 15 posts (2 thanks)
      Best Posters
    1. looks_one TheSeeker with 6 thanks per post
    2. looks_two John Chen with 1 thanks per post
    3. looks_3 SpartanLTD with 0.6 thanks per post
    4. looks_4 ecmf with 0.3 thanks per post
    1. trending_up 130,767 views
    2. thumb_up 508 thanks given
    3. group 52 followers
    1. forum 641 posts
    2. attach_file 503 attachments




 
Search this Thread

Price Forecasting with chaos

  #161 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

Here is another 2 more charts, from the first chart we have a trade

Time Frame = intraday
Trend = up
Entry = above 12776
Stop = below 12722
Target = 12847

The 2nd chart shows that it will have been a successful trade

Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	EURUSD0112c.gif
Views:	182
Size:	52.5 KB
ID:	59512   Click image for larger version

Name:	EURUSD0112d.gif
Views:	193
Size:	58.2 KB
ID:	59513  
Reply With Quote

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
Pivot Indicator like the old SwingTemp by Big Mike
NinjaTrader
Exit Strategy
NinjaTrader
Trade idea based off three indicators.
Traders Hideout
Better Renko Gaps
The Elite Circle
The choice of instruments to trade
Psychology and Money Management
 
Best Threads (Most Thanked)
in the last 7 days on NexusFi
My NQ Trading Journal
21 thanks
Diary of a simple price action trader
20 thanks
Just another trading journal: PA, Wyckoff & Trends
17 thanks
Tao te Trade: way of the WLD
13 thanks
HumbleTraders next chapter
9 thanks
  #162 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54


ecmf View Post
With reference to this post 158, if price break above 12719, it will pave the dotted yellow rectangle. The equilibrium 12665 - 12742 - 12819 is decisive.

Sorry for typing too fast, price should break above 12819 instead of 12719, it was correct in the original post 158.

As of now, price as indeed broke up through 12819 and it is now paving the dotted yellow rectangle.

Reply With Quote
  #163 (permalink)
 
kbit's Avatar
 kbit 
Aurora, Il USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TradeStation
Trading: futures
Posts: 5,854 since Nov 2010
Thanks Given: 3,295
Thanks Received: 3,364



ecmf View Post
Sorry for typing too fast, price should break above 12819 instead of 12719, it was correct in the original post 158.

As of now, price as indeed broke up through 12819 and it is now paving the dotted yellow rectangle.


I haven't read a lot of your thread here but it seems pretty good.
I just had a couple questions....do you have projections on where price will end up ?
I have 1.2844 as a resistance level...do you expect that to hold or get taken out or no opinion ?

Reply With Quote
  #164 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54


kbit View Post
I haven't read a lot of your thread here but it seems pretty good.
I just had a couple questions....do you have projections on where price will end up ?
I have 1.2844 as a resistance level...do you expect that to hold or get taken out or no opinion ?

Hello kbit,

many thanks for your interest and your question.

Price is random but we will know what to expect when an equilibrium is broken and not before that. The current bigger equilibrium is 12660 - 12790 - 12920 and as shown in our previous posts that price will pave the dotted rectangle once it went above 12819 and it is now doing actually that.

The attached chart 2 show that the current BP 12818 is lower than the previous BP 12828. If price break below 12818 it will paved the lower green dotted rectangle but if it break above 12847, it will pave the upper yellow rectangle.

Hope this helps.

Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	EURUSD0112e.gif
Views:	204
Size:	51.0 KB
ID:	59531   Click image for larger version

Name:	EURUSD0112f.gif
Views:	173
Size:	53.6 KB
ID:	59532  
Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #165 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

For the retracement, euro continued it downtrend. Attached is the chart showing a potential trade.

Time frame = intraday
Trend = down
Entry = below 12818
Stop = above 12828
Target = 12687 (we can and should use trailing stop to max our profit taking)

Update:
new eq: 12672 - 12652 - 12632 so move stop to 12672

Update 1:
new eq: 12623 - 12652 -12681 since previous stop is 12672, keep it.

Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	EURUSD0113a.gif
Views:	171
Size:	42.7 KB
ID:	59544  
Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #166 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

with this continued downturn of eurusd, the pair should go down further as mentioned in this post 150

Reply With Quote
  #167 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

after yesterday slow session due to US holiday, market activity picks up again and again we have a buy opportunity as shown in the chart.

Time Frame = Intra day
Trend = up
Entry = above 12713
Stop = below 12668
Target = around 12804

Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	EURUSD0117a.gif
Views:	179
Size:	57.1 KB
ID:	59808  
Reply With Quote
  #168 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

After the buy opportunity, a chance to sell comes along below 12780. The last 2 BPs are at 12780.

Time = intra day
Trend = down
Entry = below 12780
Stop = above 12817
Target = trailing stop

Reply With Quote
  #169 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

The chart show what is the "invisible hand of the market doing" for EURUSD, the big trend is still bearish and it is now building up the upper part of the current equilibrium before continuing the down trend.

Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	EURUSD0117b.gif
Views:	166
Size:	53.2 KB
ID:	59813   Click image for larger version

Name:	EURUSD0117c.gif
Views:	162
Size:	57.2 KB
ID:	59816  
Reply With Quote
  #170 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54


Trade taken for today, refer to the chart. This is a scalping trade while price is paving as noted in the previous post.

Time frame = intra day
Trend = side way (paving)
Entry = sell below 12766
Stop = above 12786
Target = before 12734

Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	EURUSD0118a.gif
Views:	147
Size:	50.2 KB
ID:	59886  
Reply With Quote




Last Updated on July 4, 2022


© 2024 NexusFi™, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy - Downloads - Top
no new posts