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Search: Posts Made By: myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures Today, 10:49 AM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
I intend to enter the following short option...

I intend to enter the following short option trades in the near future:

Sell CTZ C80
I am interested in this trade for quite a while, but do not intend to enter below 70 for the CTZ contract....
Forum: Options on Futures July 25th, 2017, 05:34 AM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
In case it is your opinion that the daily limit...

In case it is your opinion that the daily limit of the underlying future helps you to get out of a short option trade in case of a "black swan", I have to disappoint you. Options do not have a limit....
Forum: Options on Futures July 24th, 2017, 02:26 PM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
For me these two accounts are very different...

For me these two accounts are very different stories.

In my stocks account I have parked the money that probably my children will get some time. I hold stocks of companies that - according to my...
Forum: Options on Futures July 24th, 2017, 12:20 PM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
As Ron's study shows - as expected - the risk of...

As Ron's study shows - as expected - the risk of ending up in the money is larger for ATM options. But drawdowns often are more severe for OTM options, and can enforce being stopped out. This fact is...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading July 24th, 2017, 10:26 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,166
Posted By myrrdin
Seasonals for lumber show downwards until...

Seasonals for lumber show downwards until October. Lumber price is close to its 10 year high.

As it is difficult to foresee, if lumber will make a further move upwards, I proceeded as follows:
...
Forum: Options on Futures July 24th, 2017, 10:08 AM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
As you trade with IB you should be aware that...

As you trade with IB you should be aware that margin for naked short options on futures is extremely high. In case I sell options on my IB account I always sell option spreads. Here you get a...
Forum: Options on Futures July 24th, 2017, 07:44 AM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
Definitely fees and slippage are criteria that...

Definitely fees and slippage are criteria that limit the price of short options to the downside.

Fees depend mainly on your broker, on the service you expect from your broker, and on the size of...
Forum: Options on Futures July 24th, 2017, 03:41 AM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
As the FOMC Meeting has the potential to move the...

As the FOMC Meeting has the potential to move the Dollar it has potential to move Crude Oil prices. I do not have an opinion on the decision of the FOMC meeting.

And remember: Usually deep OTM...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading July 23rd, 2017, 02:56 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 156
Posted By myrrdin
The CoF report was clearly negative regarding...

The CoF report was clearly negative regarding marketiings as well as placements. Fundamental data still suggests that we will see cash price at approx. $120 at expiry of August and October futures....
Forum: Options on Futures July 23rd, 2017, 02:50 PM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
Currently I hold the following positions in the...

Currently I hold the following positions in the short options portfolio:


LHQ P70 / C88
LHV P58 / C74
LHZ C70
Longterm trades. I rolled down the October calls from 78 to 74. Intend to add the...
Forum: Options on Futures July 22nd, 2017, 10:29 AM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
I rarely trade FC options, as there is a very low...

I rarely trade FC options, as there is a very low volume.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures July 21st, 2017, 09:53 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 586
Posted By myrrdin
Never forget: The sum of all profits in trading...

Never forget: The sum of all profits in trading of futures and options on futures is zero ! (minus fees ...)

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures July 21st, 2017, 07:22 AM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
Maximum risk at expiry is $10,000 per spread. But...

Maximum risk at expiry is $10,000 per spread. But if the price explosion would be today risk would be much smaller than $10,000. There is software available to calculate the value of options under...
Forum: Options on Futures July 21st, 2017, 07:16 AM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
In this case there was resistance just above the...

In this case there was resistance just above the high, and I intended to sell there. But unfortunately the price did not get there.

Other criteria are:

I do not sell options which are too cheap...
Forum: Options on Futures July 21st, 2017, 04:11 AM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
Yes, I sold the CLZ C58 and bought the CLZ C68 as...

Yes, I sold the CLZ C58 and bought the CLZ C68 as protection. I consider the risk of a unforeseen huge move upwards in CL in case of a catastrophe as significantly larger than for other commodities....
Forum: Options on Futures July 21st, 2017, 03:37 AM
Replies: 6,238
Views: 672,165
Posted By myrrdin
You will have much fun with it. I owned RVs (or...

You will have much fun with it. I owned RVs (or "Wohnmobile" in German) for many years. In Germany these cars are usually smaller, and based on a regular Volkswagen-Bus.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures July 20th, 2017, 04:06 PM
Replies: 6,238
Views: 672,165
Posted By myrrdin
Sorry - a simple question from a non-native...

Sorry - a simple question from a non-native speaker: What is an RV ?

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures July 20th, 2017, 01:33 PM
Replies: 6,238
Views: 672,165
Posted By myrrdin
I do not think anybody can predict when the...

I do not think anybody can predict when the volatility spike will come.

Ron's trading concept and other similar concepts work, because he is invested long enough to make enough profits to...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading July 20th, 2017, 12:07 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 156
Posted By myrrdin
In case you hold positions in the cattle market...

In case you hold positions in the cattle market please be aware that on Friday, 21st of July, after the close the monthly Cattle on Feed Report and the semi-annual Cattle Report willl be published.
...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading July 20th, 2017, 12:04 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 156
Posted By myrrdin
According to seasonal charts , bear spreads for...

According to seasonal charts , bear spreads for hogs should work well for the next couple of months.

I hold the LHG8-LHV7 for a while, and recently added the LHG8-LHZ7.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures July 20th, 2017, 12:00 PM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
Entered the short CLZ C58-C68. Seasonals...

Entered the short CLZ C58-C68.

Seasonals point downwards, and COT data still looks bearish.

Currently I do not intend to sell puts.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Options on Futures July 20th, 2017, 11:57 AM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
I tried to sell the NGX C400 as well, but was not...

I tried to sell the NGX C400 as well, but was not filled.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading July 18th, 2017, 04:05 PM
Replies: 48
Views: 2,294
Posted By myrrdin
The MW trade was one of my best in 2017. I...

The MW trade was one of my best in 2017. I liquidated recently, and do not intend to re-enter. The future might move up to 9 $, but could move downwards as well. Options are very thin, and too...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading July 18th, 2017, 02:24 PM
Replies: 48
Views: 2,294
Posted By myrrdin
From a seasonal point of view, KWZ-WZ looks...

From a seasonal point of view, KWZ-WZ looks promising. It should be strong until October.

The spread should get support from strong MW, and from the fact that it rarely goes below 0 at this time...
Forum: Options on Futures July 18th, 2017, 12:23 PM
Replies: 1,031
Views: 49,359
Posted By myrrdin
As I am retired it is difficult to define...

As I am retired it is difficult to define vacations. But I travel a lot ...

If I do not have access to my account or do not want to take care of the account I liquidate some of my positions, place...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 959

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