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Search: Posts Made By: shodson
Forum: Platforms and Indicators April 20th, 2022, 01:27 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 1,571
Posted By shodson
Wow, I didn't know Amp didn't support Ninjatrader...

Wow, I didn't know Amp didn't support Ninjatrader anymore. I wonder why. They seem to support just about everybody else.

If it were me I would take a look at Multicharts or Multicharts.NET, but I...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 1st, 2022, 01:42 AM
Replies: 268
Sticky: The Tax Thread
Views: 153,548
Posted By shodson
I know if you hold a stock or ETF for more than a...

I know if you hold a stock or ETF for more than a year and sell it you are taxed at a lower capital gains tax rate. Does the same hold true if I am short a stock for more than 12 months and then...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 1st, 2021, 08:06 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 1,423
Posted By shodson
This might be the Mark Fisher 3-day video. Looks...

This might be the Mark Fisher 3-day video. Looks pretty old. I'm not sure if it's from 2003, but it was posted on YouTube in 2014.

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCHa95R_0jQ18fRWGHbiNQUw

I...
Forum: Traders Hideout October 5th, 2021, 07:55 PM
Replies: 358
Views: 54,317
Posted By shodson
This recent Medium article had an interesting and...

This recent Medium article had an interesting and somewhat comical look into a similar question: Why No One Teaches You How to Build a Profitable Trading Strategy
...
Forum: Options August 25th, 2021, 07:21 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 2,346
Posted By shodson
The most liquid stocks usually also have the most...

The most liquid stocks usually also have the most liquid options. I define liquid based on dollar-volume, which is avg(price * volume), because that measures how much money is flowing in and out of...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index August 17th, 2021, 07:43 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 2,701
Posted By shodson
I just want to reiterate what bobwest said, it's...

I just want to reiterate what bobwest said, it's all about expectancy. I have a strategy that only wins 20% of the time, but it makes money because when it loses the losses are tiny, but the winners...
Forum: Crypto Futures August 17th, 2021, 05:35 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 7,464
Posted By shodson
Any ByBit users here? My friend's made +$2M...

Any ByBit users here? My friend's made +$2M trading ETH derivatives on ByBit this year, trades on a 15min chart, 24x7, so his personal overall life enjoyment is kinda rekt, but he's starting to reel...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index March 27th, 2021, 12:15 AM
Replies: 137
Views: 17,704
Posted By shodson
Well, look at that! I guess I'm wrong, at least...

Well, look at that! I guess I'm wrong, at least for the current market. I guess since the VIX can explode violently to the upside, this would rapidly reward call buyers. The VIX rarely goes down as...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index March 26th, 2021, 12:51 PM
Replies: 137
Views: 17,704
Posted By shodson
Options are priced according to supply and...

Options are priced according to supply and demand. Black Scholes and other pricing models are only useful for suggesting an option value. However, UVXY options are skewed, i.e., they favor the puts,...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index March 24th, 2021, 11:11 AM
Replies: 137
Views: 17,704
Posted By shodson
Erikie - I bought the call spread for 1.00 ...

Erikie - I bought the call spread for 1.00

suko - Yes, I am frequently short UVXY. I also use stops, but pretty far out, like 2x my entry price so I give it a lot of room for temporary...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index March 22nd, 2021, 08:14 PM
Replies: 137
Views: 17,704
Posted By shodson
I'm still short 3,500 shares of UVXY from 11.36,...

I'm still short 3,500 shares of UVXY from 11.36, I have an April 10/20 bull call spread as a hedge, also waiting/wondering when a new reverse split will be announced. I'm not worried about my call...
Forum: Stocks and ETFs February 4th, 2021, 01:18 PM
Replies: 243
Views: 26,780
Posted By shodson
I exited the trade this morning. I had achieved...

I exited the trade this morning. I had achieved about a 20% return on the initial premium collected in three days, on a contract expiring > 70 days. The IV had dropped from 400% to 270%, and the puts...
Forum: Stocks and ETFs February 1st, 2021, 12:55 PM
Replies: 243
Views: 26,780
Posted By shodson
This morning I sold Apr16 310.0 straddles on GME...

This morning I sold Apr16 310.0 straddles on GME for $343, so I make profit anywhere in between -33 and +653 by April expiration. Implied vol was about 400% at the time. It seemed like free money...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 21st, 2020, 01:09 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 1,125
Posted By shodson
Why do you think you have to have a separate ATM...

Why do you think you have to have a separate ATM template for each stock? You can use the same template, but you might have to adjust the distance of the stops and targets, because it trades at a...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors December 18th, 2020, 08:56 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 2,390
Posted By shodson
I didn't mean to imply by "whiff" that there was...

I didn't mean to imply by "whiff" that there was scant evidence. True, the govt's usually not going to go through the trouble of a trial, tying up resources, ifi they don't they feel they have a good...
Forum: Trading Reviews and Vendors December 18th, 2020, 11:40 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 2,390
Posted By shodson
FTC on a full-court press against Raging Bull

Here is the temporary restraining order.

https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/documents/cases/21_-_tro_signed.pdf

Their assets have been frozen, employees furloughed, etc.

From an email they...
Forum: Emini and Emicro Index December 13th, 2020, 06:13 PM
Replies: 137
Views: 17,704
Posted By shodson
Volatility as measured by the VIX and its...

Volatility as measured by the VIX and its derivatives don't change much intraday, but they can have significant long-term trend moves or large impulse moves across multiple days, weeks, and months....
Forum: Traders Hideout October 18th, 2020, 01:40 AM
Replies: 144
Views: 27,998
Posted By shodson
Not all hedges need to equally negate your gains...

Not all hedges need to equally negate your gains as much as they protect. Consider an options butterfly that has a 20:1 reward:risk ratio as an example of such hedging



Total risk <= 2%, may...
Forum: Traders Hideout October 12th, 2020, 07:23 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 1,753
Posted By shodson
TWS doesn't support backtesting

TWS doesn't support backtesting
Forum: Traders Hideout June 8th, 2020, 02:57 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 9,517
Posted By shodson
Treat it as a long-term trade, and trade around...

Treat it as a long-term trade, and trade around it for the short-term. For example, if you are long-term bearish, then stick with it, but have a level where your long-term thesis is wrong and you...
Forum: Trading Journals May 15th, 2020, 05:29 PM
Replies: 770
Views: 147,602
Posted By shodson
My stocks algo had a losing day. I haven't had a...

My stocks algo had a losing day. I haven't had a good winning day on this in a while.

https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=299217

It's net negative for the last few weeks. That's to...
Forum: Trading Journals May 15th, 2020, 05:04 PM
Replies: 770
Views: 147,602
Posted By shodson
My NG spread is converging nicely, bringing in...

My NG spread is converging nicely, bringing in more profits as we near June contract expiration. TD Ameritrade gave me a nasty warning about not allowing traders to enter new trades on the June...
Forum: Trading Journals May 15th, 2020, 04:59 PM
Replies: 770
Views: 147,602
Posted By shodson
My CL spread was completely closed this AM, so I...

My CL spread was completely closed this AM, so I closed the spread for a $4.5k per contract profit.

https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=299215

I won't be putting on another spread CL...
Forum: Traders Hideout May 15th, 2020, 03:45 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 1,842
Posted By shodson
I see you're from San Diego. This trading group...

I see you're from San Diego. This trading group has a bunch of Tradestation programmers in it. They are having a meeting this Saturday (via Zoom) if you want to check it out and potentially make some...
Forum: Trading Journals May 14th, 2020, 08:00 PM
Replies: 770
Views: 147,602
Posted By shodson
Seasonal considerations for tomorrow, compliments...

Seasonal considerations for tomorrow, compliments of TradeMiner...

https://futures.io/attachment.php?attachmentid=299146
Showing results 1 to 25 of 1562

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