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Search: Posts Made By: myrrdin
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading August 30th, 2019, 10:12 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
440 HRW are delivered vs. the WU contract. The...

440 HRW are delivered vs. the WU contract. The current level of the KW-W spread obviously is not sustainale.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading August 14th, 2019, 03:23 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
There are fundamental reasons for the pries of...

There are fundamental reasons for the pries of these spreads. But these reasons are known now, and should be included in the price.

Thus I entered these trades.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading August 14th, 2019, 02:17 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
The ZCN20-ZWN20 does not look cheap to me on the...

The ZCN20-ZWN20 does not look cheap to me on the longterm chart.

There are two spread trades in Grains that I like at current level: The KW-C spread has not often been close to 0. And the KW-W...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading June 11th, 2019, 01:49 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
I trade Oats once in a while. Currently I am not...

I trade Oats once in a while. Currently I am not invested.

Options can be traded with all brokers I worked with. But open Interest is very limited. According to the Interactive Brokers tool there...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading March 3rd, 2019, 07:07 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
Depends on what you are interested in. ...

Depends on what you are interested in.

Regarding Seasonal Trading Jerry Toepke from MRCI offers a good educational weekly newsletter.

Regarding COT data Floyd Upperman offers such service. He...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading March 3rd, 2019, 03:28 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
There are different kinds of spreads. Intra...

There are different kinds of spreads.

Intra commodity-spreads consist of two legs of the same commodity, eg. buying CN and selling CZ. Margin for these spreads is significantly lower than buying...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading March 2nd, 2019, 03:40 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
I was asked about my opinion regarding Soyoil in...

I was asked about my opinion regarding Soyoil in another thread, but answer it here to allow other traders to find it in a couple of weeks.

Honestly, I do not have a strong opinion on Soyoil. I do...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading February 24th, 2019, 09:31 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
I bought the KWN-WN end of last week for the...

I bought the KWN-WN end of last week for the following reasons:

The spread has not been at such a low level in February since 1984 (I do not have access to older data).

Delivery for the W...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading November 2nd, 2018, 06:24 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
1) No, usually not. I am not good in foreseeing...

1) No, usually not. I am not good in foreseeing the short-time moves of the price.
2) I usually choose zero cost collars.
3) No, usually the strike price is too close to the current price or the...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading October 13th, 2018, 09:38 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
I currently hold the following positions in...

I currently hold the following positions in grains & beans:

Long CK9-CZ9
Short CH9 P3.8

The USDA report of last week was bullish for corn, and sales for corn look strong for the foreseeable...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading October 1st, 2018, 09:57 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
It is short CZ9, as mentioned above. It reflects...

It is short CZ9, as mentioned above. It reflects my opinion that corn price will rise moderately until March for the reasons described below.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading September 29th, 2018, 03:32 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
I currently hold the following positions in...

I currently hold the following positions in grains & beans:

Long CK9-CZ9
Short CH9 P3.7

The USDA report on corn yesterday was bearish, but sales look strong for the foreseeable future.

In...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading September 29th, 2018, 03:24 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
I was asked about my opinion on soybeans in the...

I was asked about my opinion on soybeans in the softs thread.

Yesterdays USDA report was bearish soybeans. But my recent argument (see post below) is still valid: In case Mr. Trump and the Chinese...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading August 10th, 2018, 02:48 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
I have to study the reports in detail before...

I have to study the reports in detail before having an opinion.

But I will not have an opinion on S&D for the soybean complex before the issue between Mr. Trump and China is over. Thus, I...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading August 10th, 2018, 11:41 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
USDA Report in about 20 minutes. The August...

USDA Report in about 20 minutes. The August report is known for being the potential cause of large price movements. Be careful.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading August 3rd, 2018, 10:32 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
I currently hold the following positions in the...

I currently hold the following positions in the Grains and Beans:

WNZ8 and WNV8 C6 - WN9.

This year, there are weather problems in most of the wheat growing countries with the exception of the...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading July 9th, 2018, 01:19 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
I liquidated this spread some weeks ago without...

I liquidated this spread some weeks ago without significant profit or loss.

I was wrong in recent months assuming a significant rise of the corn price. Reasons were:

Safrina crop received...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading June 29th, 2018, 10:52 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
USDA Report in about one hour. The June report...

USDA Report in about one hour. The June report often is boring, but also can be a market maker. Be careful.

Best regards, Myrrdin
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading May 12th, 2018, 06:50 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
I liquidated the 5*CZ-2*SX position. The USDA...

I liquidated the 5*CZ-2*SX position. The USDA report was bullish Soybeans. In addition there is some risk that China and Mr. Trump will find an agreement within the next couple of months. In this...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading May 9th, 2018, 01:16 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
Tomorrow, Thursday, at 11 am (Chicago Time) /...

Tomorrow, Thursday, at 11 am (Chicago Time) / 18.00 (Central European Time) USDA will publish its May report.

This report can be a game changer, as new crop gets more and more important.

I...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading May 9th, 2018, 01:11 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
My positions in the grains & beans currently are:...

My positions in the grains & beans currently are:

Short CZ P4, P4.1 (short-dated contract, expiring in June)
Supply & Demand (S&P) bearish according to recent USDA Report

KWN-WN
Dryness
...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading April 2nd, 2018, 06:14 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
My favorite positions in the grains & beans...

My favorite positions in the grains & beans currently are:

Short CZ P4 (short-dated contract, expiring in June)
Supply & Demand (S&P) bearish according to recent USDA Report

Short KWN P5...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading March 6th, 2018, 05:29 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
Prospective planting Intentions Report will be...

Prospective planting Intentions Report will be published end of March.

Spring insurance guarantee prices were set for corn at $3.96 (2017: 3.96) and for sysbeans at 10.16 (2017: 10.19). Prices for...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading February 28th, 2018, 04:15 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
Correct, I prfer to risk 1 - 3 % of the account...

Correct, I prfer to risk 1 - 3 % of the account value per trade.

The size of the trade depends on the stop I place. When I liquidate the trade at double the price I had received as a premium, I...
Forum: Commodities Futures Trading February 20th, 2018, 02:18 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,573
Posted By myrrdin
I assume you mean KWN8. KCN8 is coffee. ...

I assume you mean KWN8. KCN8 is coffee.

According to MRCI seasonal data I would enter the KWN-WN from ths long side, and not the WN-KWN. Also dryness in the areas where Kansas Wheat is grown...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 72

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